凌芸的日常
微博🧣(芸姐的日常）海外抖音：凌芸 九年交易经验，擅长波段，长线步菊，每天分享干货！实时更新！只做真实自我！有独特的交易思维！
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黄金日线多头排列，4300-4320美元支撑带稳固，4350-4380美元为强阻力区，MACD红柱略缩，RSI中性偏强，超买回调压力可控。
4小时：急跌后收长下影线，EMA均线支撑有效，MACD绿柱缩量、有拐头，空头动能减弱。
1小时：短线回调后在中轨企稳，布林带收口，多空在4320-4340美元博弈，等待方向选择。
上涨逻辑美联储2025年累计降息75个基点，宽松预期明确；全球央行购金持续，中国央行连续13个月增持。
降息节奏分歧、今晚PCE数据扰动、美股波动联动，或引发4300美元关口反复测试
伦敦黄金现约4340美元，短线偏强震荡，4小时多头格局未破，小时图有回调需求，关键看4320美元支撑，站稳继续上看4350-4380美元，跌破则下探4300美元。
黄金：4350-4342附近空，下看4300附近破位看4270
黄金：4300-4310多，上看4340-4350-突破看4380
4小时：急跌后收长下影线，EMA均线支撑有效，MACD绿柱缩量、有拐头，空头动能减弱。
1小时：短线回调后在中轨企稳，布林带收口，多空在4320-4340美元博弈，等待方向选择。
上涨逻辑美联储2025年累计降息75个基点，宽松预期明确；全球央行购金持续，中国央行连续13个月增持。
降息节奏分歧、今晚PCE数据扰动、美股波动联动，或引发4300美元关口反复测试
伦敦黄金现约4340美元，短线偏强震荡，4小时多头格局未破，小时图有回调需求，关键看4320美元支撑，站稳继续上看4350-4380美元，跌破则下探4300美元。
黄金：4350-4342附近空，下看4300附近破位看4270
黄金：4300-4310多，上看4340-4350-突破看4380
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The Big Cake and the Second Cake Evening Thoughts
Currently, the daily trend of the Big Cake is weak and volatile, focusing on two prices:
The support line is around 85000; if the daily closing price falls below this level, it is highly likely to drop further, with support around 78000-80000.
If it rises, it will first encounter resistance at around 88000-89000, making it difficult to break through; to truly reverse the trend and strengthen, it must stabilize above 91000.
The indicators are not supportive; MACD shows a bearish signal, and while RSI shows some signs of not dropping further, it has not reached the level of reversal yet. The current rebound is basically a technical pullback after a significant drop.
The Big Cake is short around 90000-88500, looking down to 85000-86000.
The Second Cake is short around 3000-2950, looking down to 2800-2730.
Currently, the daily trend of the Big Cake is weak and volatile, focusing on two prices:
The support line is around 85000; if the daily closing price falls below this level, it is highly likely to drop further, with support around 78000-80000.
If it rises, it will first encounter resistance at around 88000-89000, making it difficult to break through; to truly reverse the trend and strengthen, it must stabilize above 91000.
The indicators are not supportive; MACD shows a bearish signal, and while RSI shows some signs of not dropping further, it has not reached the level of reversal yet. The current rebound is basically a technical pullback after a significant drop.
The Big Cake is short around 90000-88500, looking down to 85000-86000.
The Second Cake is short around 3000-2950, looking down to 2800-2730.
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心态决定一切
我们总在追逐精准的点位、完美的策略、突发的利好利空。我们熬夜复盘，盯着跳动的数字，为一次盈利欢呼雀跃，也为一次亏损彻夜难眠。但很少有人想过：交易的终极秘籍，从来不是复杂的指标，而是一颗稳如泰山的心态。
你有没有过这样的经历？明明分析好了趋势，却因为一点波动就慌慌张张止损离场，结果眼睁睁看着行情朝着自己预判的方向狂奔而去；明明知道这是情绪化的冲动交易，却还是忍不住追涨杀跌，最后被市场狠狠教训；明明赚了不少，却总想着多赚一点，贪婪推着你不肯收手，最终把盈利吐了回去，甚至亏了本金。
这些狼狈的时刻，都不是因为你技术不够好，而是因为你的心态先乱了阵脚。
交易市场最残忍的地方，就是它会无限放大人性的弱点。贪婪、恐惧、侥幸、急躁，这些藏在骨子里的情绪，会在K线的涨跌中被无限放大，变成一把把刺向自己的尖刀。你以为自己在和市场博弈，其实你一直在和自己较劲——和自己的贪婪较劲，和自己的恐惧较劲，和自己的侥幸心理较劲。
真正的交易高手，从来不是没有情绪的木头人，而是懂得和情绪相处的智者。他们也会有判断失误的时候，也会面临亏损的压力，但他们从不会让情绪左右自己的决策。
他们懂得敬畏市场。知道市场永远是对的，不会因为自己的主观臆断就改变趋势。错了就认，及时止损，不恋战，不扛单，把亏损控制在自己能承受的范围里。
他们懂得知足常乐。盈利了不贪多，达到自己的目标就果断离场，落袋为安。他们明白，交易是一场马拉松，不是百米冲刺，一时的暴利不如长久的稳定。
他们懂得保持耐心。机会是等出来的，不是抢出来的。没有合适的点位，没有符合自己策略的信号，他们宁愿空仓观望，也不会盲目入场。耐心等待，才能在机会来临时稳稳抓住。
他们懂得接受亏损。亏损是交易的一部分，就像呼吸是生命的一部分一样。没有人能做到百分之百盈利，高手和新手的区别，就在于高手不会让一次亏损击垮自己，更不会因为一次亏损就打乱自己的节奏。
交易这条路，道阻且长。技术可以通过学习不断精进，策略可以通过复盘不断优化，但心态的修炼，却需要日复一日的沉淀。
别再把所有精力都放在研究指标和行情上了。收盘后，不妨问问自己：今天的交易，是理性主导，还是情绪作祟？这次的亏损，是策略失误，还是心态失衡？
稳住心态，你就赢了一半。毕竟，在这个涨跌无常的市场里，能守住本心的人，才能笑到最后。
稳住心态，你就赢了一半。毕竟，在这个涨跌无常的市场里，能守住本心的人，才能笑到最后。
你有没有过这样的经历？明明分析好了趋势，却因为一点波动就慌慌张张止损离场，结果眼睁睁看着行情朝着自己预判的方向狂奔而去；明明知道这是情绪化的冲动交易，却还是忍不住追涨杀跌，最后被市场狠狠教训；明明赚了不少，却总想着多赚一点，贪婪推着你不肯收手，最终把盈利吐了回去，甚至亏了本金。
这些狼狈的时刻，都不是因为你技术不够好，而是因为你的心态先乱了阵脚。
交易市场最残忍的地方，就是它会无限放大人性的弱点。贪婪、恐惧、侥幸、急躁，这些藏在骨子里的情绪，会在K线的涨跌中被无限放大，变成一把把刺向自己的尖刀。你以为自己在和市场博弈，其实你一直在和自己较劲——和自己的贪婪较劲，和自己的恐惧较劲，和自己的侥幸心理较劲。
真正的交易高手，从来不是没有情绪的木头人，而是懂得和情绪相处的智者。他们也会有判断失误的时候，也会面临亏损的压力，但他们从不会让情绪左右自己的决策。
他们懂得敬畏市场。知道市场永远是对的，不会因为自己的主观臆断就改变趋势。错了就认，及时止损，不恋战，不扛单，把亏损控制在自己能承受的范围里。
他们懂得知足常乐。盈利了不贪多，达到自己的目标就果断离场，落袋为安。他们明白，交易是一场马拉松，不是百米冲刺，一时的暴利不如长久的稳定。
他们懂得保持耐心。机会是等出来的，不是抢出来的。没有合适的点位，没有符合自己策略的信号，他们宁愿空仓观望，也不会盲目入场。耐心等待，才能在机会来临时稳稳抓住。
他们懂得接受亏损。亏损是交易的一部分，就像呼吸是生命的一部分一样。没有人能做到百分之百盈利，高手和新手的区别，就在于高手不会让一次亏损击垮自己，更不会因为一次亏损就打乱自己的节奏。
交易这条路，道阻且长。技术可以通过学习不断精进，策略可以通过复盘不断优化，但心态的修炼，却需要日复一日的沉淀。
别再把所有精力都放在研究指标和行情上了。收盘后，不妨问问自己：今天的交易，是理性主导，还是情绪作祟？这次的亏损，是策略失误，还是心态失衡？
稳住心态，你就赢了一半。毕竟，在这个涨跌无常的市场里，能守住本心的人，才能笑到最后。
稳住心态，你就赢了一半。毕竟，在这个涨跌无常的市场里，能守住本心的人，才能笑到最后。
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大饼昨晚先涨后跌，突破90000关口未能延续，目前跌至86200附近位置。大饼短线偏空震荡，小时图走弱、4小时图有支撑，关键看86000能否守住，破位则下看85000美元甚至更低位置。跌破1小时EMA均线，布林带收口向下，价格沿下轨运行，空头占优。
MACD双线零轴下方，绿柱持续，无明显缩量，空头动能未减。 RSI低于40，进入弱区，未见超卖反弹信号。 支撑85200美元，阻力86800（1小时MA30）。反弹乏力，谨慎追多；未入场观望，反弹遇阻可轻仓短空即可
大饼反弹86500-87000附近箜，下看85200-83000附近
二饼反弹2870-2860附近箜，看向2750-2700附近
MACD双线零轴下方，绿柱持续，无明显缩量，空头动能未减。 RSI低于40，进入弱区，未见超卖反弹信号。 支撑85200美元，阻力86800（1小时MA30）。反弹乏力，谨慎追多；未入场观望，反弹遇阻可轻仓短空即可
大饼反弹86500-87000附近箜，下看85200-83000附近
二饼反弹2870-2860附近箜，看向2750-2700附近
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The golden daily line shows a bullish arrangement, with a solid support range of $4300-$4320, and strong resistance between $4350-$4380. The MACD red bars are slightly shrinking, and the RSI is neutral to strong, with controllable pressure for a pullback from overbought conditions.
4 hours: After a sharp drop, a long lower shadow is formed, the EMA moving average support is effective, and the MACD green bars are shrinking with a turning point, indicating weakening bearish momentum.
1 hour: After a short-term pullback, it stabilizes around the middle track, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and there is a game between bulls and bears at $4320-$4340, waiting for direction to choose.
The logic for the rise is the Federal Reserve's cumulative interest rate cuts of 75 basis points by 2025, with clear expectations for easing; global central banks continue to buy gold, and the People's Bank of China has increased its holdings for 13 consecutive months.
Discrepancies in the pace of rate cuts, tonight's PCE data disturbances, and the fluctuations in the US stock market may trigger repeated tests at the $4300 level.
London gold is currently around $4340, with a short-term bias towards strong fluctuations. The 4-hour bullish pattern remains intact, with a demand for a pullback on the hourly chart. The key focus is on the $4320 support; if stabilized, it will continue to look up towards $4350-$4380, while a breakdown will lead to probing $4300.
Gold: Short near $4350-$4342, looking for a break below around $4300 for $4270.
Gold: Long near $4300-$4310, looking up towards $4340-$4350, with a breakout targeting $4380.
4 hours: After a sharp drop, a long lower shadow is formed, the EMA moving average support is effective, and the MACD green bars are shrinking with a turning point, indicating weakening bearish momentum.
1 hour: After a short-term pullback, it stabilizes around the middle track, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and there is a game between bulls and bears at $4320-$4340, waiting for direction to choose.
The logic for the rise is the Federal Reserve's cumulative interest rate cuts of 75 basis points by 2025, with clear expectations for easing; global central banks continue to buy gold, and the People's Bank of China has increased its holdings for 13 consecutive months.
Discrepancies in the pace of rate cuts, tonight's PCE data disturbances, and the fluctuations in the US stock market may trigger repeated tests at the $4300 level.
London gold is currently around $4340, with a short-term bias towards strong fluctuations. The 4-hour bullish pattern remains intact, with a demand for a pullback on the hourly chart. The key focus is on the $4320 support; if stabilized, it will continue to look up towards $4350-$4380, while a breakdown will lead to probing $4300.
Gold: Short near $4350-$4342, looking for a break below around $4300 for $4270.
Gold: Long near $4300-$4310, looking up towards $4340-$4350, with a breakout targeting $4380.
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Wednesday Big Cake Two Cake Evening Thoughts
Big Cake fell from around 88000 to around 86200 after increasing in the early morning and maintained a range of 87200-86200 during the afternoon.
Currently, the daily line shows a bearish increase, the four-hour structure shows a three consecutive bearish candles with decreasing volume, the trend is downward, and the hourly structure shows a bullish increase with a partial rebound in the market. The thought remains to keep a high position.
Big Cake near 88100-87600, look for a breakdown near 85000 to continue.
Just look down.
Big Cake near 2965-2985, look down near 2850-2800.
Big Cake fell from around 88000 to around 86200 after increasing in the early morning and maintained a range of 87200-86200 during the afternoon.
Currently, the daily line shows a bearish increase, the four-hour structure shows a three consecutive bearish candles with decreasing volume, the trend is downward, and the hourly structure shows a bullish increase with a partial rebound in the market. The thought remains to keep a high position.
Big Cake near 88100-87600, look for a breakdown near 85000 to continue.
Just look down.
Big Cake near 2965-2985, look down near 2850-2800.
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December 16th Gold Evening Thoughts
Gold experienced wide fluctuations at high levels, quickly rebounding to $4,335 after dipping to $4,272 during the day, ultimately closing at $4,302, basically flat. This volatility is driven by multiple factors: the rebound in U.S. job growth in November, but the unemployment rate rose to a four-year high of 4.6%, reinforcing expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, pushing the dollar to a two-month low, enhancing gold's appeal; the safe-haven demand from the Russia-Ukraine conflict also provided support for gold prices.
On the morning of the 17th in Asia, spot gold traded around $4,324, fluctuating within a narrow range. From a technical perspective, the hourly MACD shows a golden cross, and the RSI at 54.2 is cautious; the daily RSI has risen to 55.2, indicating increased buying power, with gold prices stabilizing above EMA7 and EMA30, while EMA120 is a key resistance level. The script provided by Yunjie during the day also has a good amount of space!
In terms of operations, if it holds around the support levels of $4,300 - $4,290, one can set up long positions, targeting $4,345; if $4,353 is not broken, it presents an excellent short position. Aggressive traders may consider entering short positions around $4,345 in advance. In a fluctuating market, excessive positioning is not recommended! A stable approach is advisable!
Gold experienced wide fluctuations at high levels, quickly rebounding to $4,335 after dipping to $4,272 during the day, ultimately closing at $4,302, basically flat. This volatility is driven by multiple factors: the rebound in U.S. job growth in November, but the unemployment rate rose to a four-year high of 4.6%, reinforcing expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, pushing the dollar to a two-month low, enhancing gold's appeal; the safe-haven demand from the Russia-Ukraine conflict also provided support for gold prices.
On the morning of the 17th in Asia, spot gold traded around $4,324, fluctuating within a narrow range. From a technical perspective, the hourly MACD shows a golden cross, and the RSI at 54.2 is cautious; the daily RSI has risen to 55.2, indicating increased buying power, with gold prices stabilizing above EMA7 and EMA30, while EMA120 is a key resistance level. The script provided by Yunjie during the day also has a good amount of space!
In terms of operations, if it holds around the support levels of $4,300 - $4,290, one can set up long positions, targeting $4,345; if $4,353 is not broken, it presents an excellent short position. Aggressive traders may consider entering short positions around $4,345 in advance. In a fluctuating market, excessive positioning is not recommended! A stable approach is advisable!
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Wednesday Gold Morning Analysis
The one-hour level is showing an upward trend, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, the MACD has formed a golden cross with increased volume, and the RSI is in an oversold rebound. However, short-term signals have indicated a peak, with prices beginning to break below short-term support levels, and there was significant bearish selling pressure around 4330 last night, indicating a high likelihood of adjustment space ahead. In terms of operations, caution is needed for potential overbought pullbacks, while also monitoring the breakout situation in the resistance range of 4330 - 4350 and the key support level at 4270.
The four-hour overall is in a high-level triangular convergence oscillation state, with moving averages maintaining a bullish arrangement and the Bollinger Bands contracted. The MACD has a dead cross with reduced volume above the zero line, and the RSI has pulled back after being overbought. Currently, the gold price is operating within a specific range, with upper resistance concentrated at 4340/4342 and lower support at 4285/4281, in addition to the core support range of 4265 - 4255. Strong upper resistance is near 4350/4351, with further resistance at the 4367/4370 area. In the short term, it is essential to focus on the breakout situation in the range to adjust operational strategies.
Gold: Long around 4295-4300, targeting 4335-4250
Gold: Short around 4345-4335, targeting 4290-4275
The one-hour level is showing an upward trend, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, the MACD has formed a golden cross with increased volume, and the RSI is in an oversold rebound. However, short-term signals have indicated a peak, with prices beginning to break below short-term support levels, and there was significant bearish selling pressure around 4330 last night, indicating a high likelihood of adjustment space ahead. In terms of operations, caution is needed for potential overbought pullbacks, while also monitoring the breakout situation in the resistance range of 4330 - 4350 and the key support level at 4270.
The four-hour overall is in a high-level triangular convergence oscillation state, with moving averages maintaining a bullish arrangement and the Bollinger Bands contracted. The MACD has a dead cross with reduced volume above the zero line, and the RSI has pulled back after being overbought. Currently, the gold price is operating within a specific range, with upper resistance concentrated at 4340/4342 and lower support at 4285/4281, in addition to the core support range of 4265 - 4255. Strong upper resistance is near 4350/4351, with further resistance at the 4367/4370 area. In the short term, it is essential to focus on the breakout situation in the range to adjust operational strategies.
Gold: Long around 4295-4300, targeting 4335-4250
Gold: Short around 4345-4335, targeting 4290-4275
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Wednesday's thoughts on ETH
ETH is currently showing a converging triangle pattern, and the key support level has been broken, indicating an alternating state of overbought and oversold. In the short term, it is necessary to be cautious of its tendency to follow BTC's movements but with weaker independence; if BTC cannot break through the resistance level and retreats, ETH is likely to decline as well. Additionally, during a short-term rebound, it faces strong resistance, making sustained upward momentum difficult.
On the four-hour level: Previously, the MA5 and MA10 moving averages formed a death cross. After the price broke below the key support level of $2960, although the current RSI indicator has exited the extreme oversold range, there is a technical repair demand, but the rebound strength is limited. The lower Bollinger Band at $2830 forms potential support, while the middle band at $3020 constitutes strong short-term pressure. Overall, it presents a choppy consolidation trend, and it is very likely that there will be a wave of probing for a bottom! The short-term thought for the morning is to look at the high short and low long oscillation range!
ETH rebound at 3000-2990 short, looking down to 2870-2800$ETH #ETH走势分析
ETH pullback around 2880-2900 long, first looking at 3000-3050
ETH is currently showing a converging triangle pattern, and the key support level has been broken, indicating an alternating state of overbought and oversold. In the short term, it is necessary to be cautious of its tendency to follow BTC's movements but with weaker independence; if BTC cannot break through the resistance level and retreats, ETH is likely to decline as well. Additionally, during a short-term rebound, it faces strong resistance, making sustained upward momentum difficult.
On the four-hour level: Previously, the MA5 and MA10 moving averages formed a death cross. After the price broke below the key support level of $2960, although the current RSI indicator has exited the extreme oversold range, there is a technical repair demand, but the rebound strength is limited. The lower Bollinger Band at $2830 forms potential support, while the middle band at $3020 constitutes strong short-term pressure. Overall, it presents a choppy consolidation trend, and it is very likely that there will be a wave of probing for a bottom! The short-term thought for the morning is to look at the high short and low long oscillation range!
ETH rebound at 3000-2990 short, looking down to 2870-2800$ETH #ETH走势分析
ETH pullback around 2880-2900 long, first looking at 3000-3050
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周三早间思路分析
大饼短线回升至8.8万美元附近，日内涨约1.8%。此前曾下探后反弹，虽短期有回升动作，但整体未脱离自12.6万美元高点回落的调整趋势，且未突破9.05万美元的下跌趋势线。从短期波动来看，反弹力度暂未形成强势反转信号，需警惕若无法站稳当前价位，可能再度回调测试8.5万美元附近支撑。
四小时，技术面呈现标准的箱体震荡走势，同时已出现企稳见底的信号，不仅连续出现多根长下引线，RSI指标还处于超卖区间，MACD大概率将形成水下金叉。该级别适合进行箱体区间内的高空低多操作，止损可设为箱体下沿，止盈放在箱体上沿，盈亏比约3.5。不过需注意，当前大饼整体仍处于调整期，箱体震荡若被打破，需及时调整策略，上方需关注9.05万美元阻力位，下方需留意8.5万美元支撑位。目前我认为还是处于高空低多的状态！
大饼回调86000-86500附近多，上看88500-89000
大饼反弹88500-89000附近空，下看86000-85500
大饼短线回升至8.8万美元附近，日内涨约1.8%。此前曾下探后反弹，虽短期有回升动作，但整体未脱离自12.6万美元高点回落的调整趋势，且未突破9.05万美元的下跌趋势线。从短期波动来看，反弹力度暂未形成强势反转信号，需警惕若无法站稳当前价位，可能再度回调测试8.5万美元附近支撑。
四小时，技术面呈现标准的箱体震荡走势，同时已出现企稳见底的信号，不仅连续出现多根长下引线，RSI指标还处于超卖区间，MACD大概率将形成水下金叉。该级别适合进行箱体区间内的高空低多操作，止损可设为箱体下沿，止盈放在箱体上沿，盈亏比约3.5。不过需注意，当前大饼整体仍处于调整期，箱体震荡若被打破，需及时调整策略，上方需关注9.05万美元阻力位，下方需留意8.5万美元支撑位。目前我认为还是处于高空低多的状态！
大饼回调86000-86500附近多，上看88500-89000
大饼反弹88500-89000附近空，下看86000-85500
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周二亚市黄金直接跳水，一度跌破4300美元关口，现在在4285美元附近震荡，跌幅0.5%！
说到底，还是期货交易者获利了结、弱多头平仓在砸盘，再加上乌克兰和平谈判传佳音，避险情绪降温，黄金需求跟着歇菜。
但别急着看空！美联储年内第三次降息落地，还释放2026年继续降息的信号，持有黄金的机会成本大大降低，这可是强力支撑。不过地缘风险缓和，也会压着金价难冲高。
今晚才是重头戏！美国非农就业报告、零售销售、PMI数据集中轰炸，这可是美联储利率路径的关键线索。如果就业数据疲软，降息预期升温，黄金大概率直接起飞；反之，金价可能再遭抛售。
再看技术面：大趋势依旧看涨，价格远高于100日EMA，四小时布林带开口，RSI站稳中线，短期看涨动量在增强。
上方阻力先看4350美元，突破就冲4365、4381历史新高；下方支撑4255跌破就看4200.再往下就是4180关键位。
总结下来，黄金短期波动加剧，长期趋势向好，今晚非农就是行情的“方向盘”！把握不准的，来一起探讨蹲实时策略，一起拿捏精准点位！
新手做交易，总觉得预判对涨跌就能赚，重方向、轻点位，最后往往亏得一塌糊涂。要知道，趋势≠短期方向，市场是震荡运行的，顺势而为看的是全局趋势，不是一时涨跌。在我这儿，只做有理可依的交易：把控仓位，依托支撑阻力位下单，绝不盲目进场。如果你对行情把握不准，随时来找昊宸。专业的事交给专业的人，实战只为盈利，合作共赢！
说到底，还是期货交易者获利了结、弱多头平仓在砸盘，再加上乌克兰和平谈判传佳音，避险情绪降温，黄金需求跟着歇菜。
但别急着看空！美联储年内第三次降息落地，还释放2026年继续降息的信号，持有黄金的机会成本大大降低，这可是强力支撑。不过地缘风险缓和，也会压着金价难冲高。
今晚才是重头戏！美国非农就业报告、零售销售、PMI数据集中轰炸，这可是美联储利率路径的关键线索。如果就业数据疲软，降息预期升温，黄金大概率直接起飞；反之，金价可能再遭抛售。
再看技术面：大趋势依旧看涨，价格远高于100日EMA，四小时布林带开口，RSI站稳中线，短期看涨动量在增强。
上方阻力先看4350美元，突破就冲4365、4381历史新高；下方支撑4255跌破就看4200.再往下就是4180关键位。
总结下来，黄金短期波动加剧，长期趋势向好，今晚非农就是行情的“方向盘”！把握不准的，来一起探讨蹲实时策略，一起拿捏精准点位！
新手做交易，总觉得预判对涨跌就能赚，重方向、轻点位，最后往往亏得一塌糊涂。要知道，趋势≠短期方向，市场是震荡运行的，顺势而为看的是全局趋势，不是一时涨跌。在我这儿，只做有理可依的交易：把控仓位，依托支撑阻力位下单，绝不盲目进场。如果你对行情把握不准，随时来找昊宸。专业的事交给专业的人，实战只为盈利，合作共赢！
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Tuesday evening big pie and second pie strategy
The big pie maintains a range of 87000-85200 for oscillation adjustment and repair during the day, then rises to around 87200 near 85200 in the afternoon.
Currently, the daily line shows a small bullish bar with reduced volume, the four-hour structure shows a bullish trend with reduced volume rebound, and the hourly structure shows increased volume breaking through to the upper boundary. The non-farm data and PMI data will be released in the evening, causing significant fluctuations, and the high-level strategy will still be maintained in the evening.
The big pie rebounds around 87600-88300. A drop to around 84800-83500 is acceptable.
The second pie rebounds around 3050-3000, with a focus on 2900-2800.
The big pie maintains a range of 87000-85200 for oscillation adjustment and repair during the day, then rises to around 87200 near 85200 in the afternoon.
Currently, the daily line shows a small bullish bar with reduced volume, the four-hour structure shows a bullish trend with reduced volume rebound, and the hourly structure shows increased volume breaking through to the upper boundary. The non-farm data and PMI data will be released in the evening, causing significant fluctuations, and the high-level strategy will still be maintained in the evening.
The big pie rebounds around 87600-88300. A drop to around 84800-83500 is acceptable.
The second pie rebounds around 3050-3000, with a focus on 2900-2800.
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Intraday script big pancake second pancake short empty, both have space
Tuesday Thoughts
Yesterday, Bitcoin maintained a narrow range consolidation before encountering a cliff-like drop at the 89800 line, plunging to around 85000 before a weak rebound, with an overall decline of nearly 4800 points. The current price hovers around 86000, undergoing oscillation and repair. Friends who followed the strategy and set short positions yesterday have perfectly grasped this downward space, achieving precise harvesting once again!
From a technical perspective, on the 4-hour level, the price has broken through the lower Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Bands are overall opening downward. After breaking the band, there has been no strong pullback, still under pressure near the lower band; the MACD indicator's death cross structure continues, and the green momentum bars are still expanding, indicating that bearish forces have not yet exhausted; although the KDJ three lines have entered the oversold zone, no effective golden cross signal has formed, and the rebound strength is expected to be limited in the short term, caution is needed for the market to test downward again.
Bitcoin: Short near 86500-86000, looking down to break 85000 then see 83000 line,
Altcoin: Short near 3030-2980, looking down to 2800-2750$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察
Yesterday, Bitcoin maintained a narrow range consolidation before encountering a cliff-like drop at the 89800 line, plunging to around 85000 before a weak rebound, with an overall decline of nearly 4800 points. The current price hovers around 86000, undergoing oscillation and repair. Friends who followed the strategy and set short positions yesterday have perfectly grasped this downward space, achieving precise harvesting once again!
From a technical perspective, on the 4-hour level, the price has broken through the lower Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Bands are overall opening downward. After breaking the band, there has been no strong pullback, still under pressure near the lower band; the MACD indicator's death cross structure continues, and the green momentum bars are still expanding, indicating that bearish forces have not yet exhausted; although the KDJ three lines have entered the oversold zone, no effective golden cross signal has formed, and the rebound strength is expected to be limited in the short term, caution is needed for the market to test downward again.
Bitcoin: Short near 86500-86000, looking down to break 85000 then see 83000 line,
Altcoin: Short near 3030-2980, looking down to 2800-2750$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察
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Gold Market Review + Non-Farm Payroll Outlook: 4360 Double Top Sets Direction, Non-Farm Payrolls May Not Boost Prices!
The double top pattern at 4360 is the 'signal light' for this round of decline. The K-line has directly pierced through the support from above the moving average and is now firmly pressed down by the moving average, representing a weak market with 'floor friction'.
I mentioned early yesterday that breaking through 4380 was unlikely, and indeed both attempts to push to 4360 were knocked down; the short strategy given at 4350 reached a low of 4285, and the idea has come to fruition. Currently, the weakness remains unchanged, and we continue to expect a pullback, with 4260 being the starting point for this round of increase, as well as the core target for the upcoming period.
The highlight tonight is the November Non-Farm Payrolls, where the expected data is favorable, but gold may not necessarily rise—market behavior often shows that 'the trend does not follow the data'.
This morning, we will first look at the rebound space and then the pullback; we are currently in a phase of consolidation.
Gold 4300 short position, targeting 4320, 4340 nearby.
Gold 4350, 4345 short, looking at 4280-4255.
#Gold# #ForexGold#
The double top pattern at 4360 is the 'signal light' for this round of decline. The K-line has directly pierced through the support from above the moving average and is now firmly pressed down by the moving average, representing a weak market with 'floor friction'.
I mentioned early yesterday that breaking through 4380 was unlikely, and indeed both attempts to push to 4360 were knocked down; the short strategy given at 4350 reached a low of 4285, and the idea has come to fruition. Currently, the weakness remains unchanged, and we continue to expect a pullback, with 4260 being the starting point for this round of increase, as well as the core target for the upcoming period.
The highlight tonight is the November Non-Farm Payrolls, where the expected data is favorable, but gold may not necessarily rise—market behavior often shows that 'the trend does not follow the data'.
This morning, we will first look at the rebound space and then the pullback; we are currently in a phase of consolidation.
Gold 4300 short position, targeting 4320, 4340 nearby.
Gold 4350, 4345 short, looking at 4280-4255.
#Gold# #ForexGold#
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Tuesday Thoughts
Yesterday, Bitcoin maintained a narrow range consolidation before encountering a cliff-like drop at the 89800 line, plunging to around 85000 before a weak rebound, with an overall decline of nearly 4800 points. The current price hovers around 86000, undergoing oscillation and repair. Friends who followed the strategy and set short positions yesterday have perfectly grasped this downward space, achieving precise harvesting once again!
From a technical perspective, on the 4-hour level, the price has broken through the lower Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Bands are overall opening downward. After breaking the band, there has been no strong pullback, still under pressure near the lower band; the MACD indicator's death cross structure continues, and the green momentum bars are still expanding, indicating that bearish forces have not yet exhausted; although the KDJ three lines have entered the oversold zone, no effective golden cross signal has formed, and the rebound strength is expected to be limited in the short term, caution is needed for the market to test downward again.
Bitcoin: Short near 86500-86000, looking down to break 85000 then see 83000 line,
Altcoin: Short near 3030-2980, looking down to 2800-2750$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察
Yesterday, Bitcoin maintained a narrow range consolidation before encountering a cliff-like drop at the 89800 line, plunging to around 85000 before a weak rebound, with an overall decline of nearly 4800 points. The current price hovers around 86000, undergoing oscillation and repair. Friends who followed the strategy and set short positions yesterday have perfectly grasped this downward space, achieving precise harvesting once again!
From a technical perspective, on the 4-hour level, the price has broken through the lower Bollinger Band, and the Bollinger Bands are overall opening downward. After breaking the band, there has been no strong pullback, still under pressure near the lower band; the MACD indicator's death cross structure continues, and the green momentum bars are still expanding, indicating that bearish forces have not yet exhausted; although the KDJ three lines have entered the oversold zone, no effective golden cross signal has formed, and the rebound strength is expected to be limited in the short term, caution is needed for the market to test downward again.
Bitcoin: Short near 86500-86000, looking down to break 85000 then see 83000 line,
Altcoin: Short near 3030-2980, looking down to 2800-2750$BTC $ETH #加密市场观察
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Today's script location and direction for the big pancake and second pancake are precisely targeted,
the US stock market also directly broke down after that, reaching the Zhiying position!
You just need to patiently wait, this is what it means to hold on! $BTC $ETH $SOL #ETH走势分析
the US stock market also directly broke down after that, reaching the Zhiying position!
You just need to patiently wait, this is what it means to hold on! $BTC $ETH $SOL #ETH走势分析
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The positions and directions of the scripts for today’s big pancake and second pancake are precisely targeted.
The market for US stocks also directly broke through and reached the Zhi Ying position!
Just need to wait patiently, this is what it means to hold on!
The market for US stocks also directly broke through and reached the Zhi Ying position!
Just need to wait patiently, this is what it means to hold on!
In order to better remind everyone of the best entry points, Bitcoin has now reached a position where a pullback can be taken! Shorting for a pullback is expected to be no problem?
Bitcoin: Short around 89900-90500, looking down to 87000-86500
Ethereum: Short around 3150-3190, looking down to 3050-2950$BTC $ETH
Bitcoin: Short around 89900-90500, looking down to 87000-86500
Ethereum: Short around 3150-3190, looking down to 3050-2950$BTC $ETH
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Gold's European session looks to retreat, with a direct short at the 4350 resistance level! The target is 4280!
On Friday night, the movement of gold directly created a roller coaster, with a big bullish candle surging to around 4360, followed by a sharp drop of 100 dollars, reaching the 4260 level at one point. I believe Friday night was another sleepless night for countless people. Those holding positions must have been shaken out, but judging by my script from last week, most should have adjusted to around 4320 dollars. That's also a decent space!
A new week has begun, and gold currently shows a bearish engulfing pattern on the four-hour chart. The top bullish candle completely covers the big bullish candle, which is a strong breakout. There was a rise in the early session, but the momentum is still insufficient. The rebound is still fleeting; downward movement is the main theme. The heavy pressure above remains unchanged, and the upper resistance is clearly in the 43450-4355 area, while the lower support is also obvious at 4270-4250. Personally, I think the chance of a retreat is greater, as there are signals indicating a short-term peak! Therefore, it would be more prudent to go short on the rebound!
On Friday night, the movement of gold directly created a roller coaster, with a big bullish candle surging to around 4360, followed by a sharp drop of 100 dollars, reaching the 4260 level at one point. I believe Friday night was another sleepless night for countless people. Those holding positions must have been shaken out, but judging by my script from last week, most should have adjusted to around 4320 dollars. That's also a decent space!
A new week has begun, and gold currently shows a bearish engulfing pattern on the four-hour chart. The top bullish candle completely covers the big bullish candle, which is a strong breakout. There was a rise in the early session, but the momentum is still insufficient. The rebound is still fleeting; downward movement is the main theme. The heavy pressure above remains unchanged, and the upper resistance is clearly in the 43450-4355 area, while the lower support is also obvious at 4270-4250. Personally, I think the chance of a retreat is greater, as there are signals indicating a short-term peak! Therefore, it would be more prudent to go short on the rebound!
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In order to better remind everyone of the best entry points, Bitcoin has now reached a position where a pullback can be taken! Shorting for a pullback is expected to be no problem?
Bitcoin: Short around 89900-90500, looking down to 87000-86500
Ethereum: Short around 3150-3190, looking down to 3050-2950$BTC $ETH
Bitcoin: Short around 89900-90500, looking down to 87000-86500
Ethereum: Short around 3150-3190, looking down to 3050-2950$BTC $ETH
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