加密汉哥

家人们！最近后台快被 “币圈啥时候有机会” 的私信淹了，我真想把 “机会就在眼前” 贴在你们手机屏上 尤其是山寨币，现在就是全年最该动手的黄金窗口，再磨蹭几天，真得等明年才能再碰到这行情！
作为在加密圈摸爬滚打六年的老炮，我从不在行情上 “画饼”，这次敢把话撂这，是因为三个 “发车信号” 已经明晃晃摆在那，每一个都经得起市场掰扯。
先聊第一个关键转折：10 月 11 号那场大规模清算。当时不少朋友被合约搞得心态崩了，割肉离场时还吐槽 “这市场没救了”，但在我眼里，这反而是 “洗盘结束” 的信号。大量散户被迫出局，意味着山寨币的抛压基本清空，主力后续想拉行情，阻力直接小了一大半。老玩家都知道，这种 “恐慌式出清” 后，往往会迎来一波像样的行情，这可不是我瞎猜，是过去几年市场反复验证的规律。
再看第二个信号：年末业绩冲刺的行情已经悄悄启动了。可能有人会说 “这不就是经验主义吗？万一今年不一样呢”，但我要跟你说，去年这个时候，市场已经开始蓄力了，而且这种 “年末冲业绩” 的逻辑，年年都能兑现。你想啊，就像咱们公司年底要冲 KPI 一样，很多项目方也得靠拉盘做出漂亮的 “年终数据”，毕竟谁不想年底多赚点，给团队和支持的人一个交代？这种实打实的需求，比那些虚无缥缈的 “利好消息” 靠谱多了。
最关键的是第三个信号：反人性的市场情绪已经出现了。我最近问了一圈身边的投资者，八成以上的人都不敢碰山寨币现货，嘴里总念叨 “风险太高，怕被套”。但币圈的老规矩你们忘了？“恐慌里藏机会，疯狂时藏风险” 啊！回想 2021 年、2023 年那两轮山寨币的行情，启动之前市场不都是这副 “人人不敢碰” 的模样吗？越是大家都往后退的时候，越容易错过翻倍的机会，等后面行情起来了，再拍着大腿说 “当初我要是买了就好了”，那可就晚了。
不过我得强调一句：不是让你们瞎冲！节奏很重要。第一，小仓位试错，千万别满仓，要给自己留条后路；第二，选标的的时候，优先选那些有实际生态支撑、能落地应用的，别碰那些连白皮书都写得稀里糊涂的 “空气项目”；第三，到了关键的盈利点位，记得分批止盈，把钱落袋为安才是真的赚了，别想着 “赚满最后一个子”，贪心容易栽跟头。
很多朋友总说 “错过上一波行情”，但机会从来不是等出来的，是靠判断和敢动手抓来的。这次山寨币的窗口已经打开，能不能抓住，就看你敢不敢迈出那一步了。
最后跟大家说个福利：我整理了一份 “山寨币筛选指南”，里面写了具体的选币标准、要避开的坑，还有几个值得关注的方向。关注我，评论区扣 “指南”，我直接私发给你。后续我也会每天更新市场动态和操作思路，跟着我，咱们一起在年底赚波踏实的！要是觉得我的分析有用，别忘了点赞 + 关注，不然下次行情来了，你可能就刷不到我，错过关键提醒啦～

#美国加征关税 $ETH

Over 200,000 U is steadily resting in the account! You should know that he initially entered the market with 3,000 U, and in the early stages, he even lost 40,000 U, almost losing everything.
Many people think that contracts in the crypto world are a 'gamble,' and those who are bold can win. But the first thing I told this fan was: 'Don't think about recouping your losses, learn to survive first.' Do you think those myths of doubling your money in a day are glorious? Behind them are countless people who lost everything overnight. In this market, 'surviving' is a thousand times more important than 'winning once.'
I didn't teach him any mysterious 'precise market prediction,' I just gave him a strategy that looks particularly 'timid': first, use 300 U for trial and error, only invest 30 U for each trade, and use leverage up to 100 times. Don't think 30 U is too little to make money; if the direction is right, a 1% fluctuation is enough to double your investment; even if you're wrong, this small loss won't make you lose your composure, and it won't affect your next judgment.

His parents had an accident on a rainy night, and they didn't even have time to say, 'Live well.'
When I found him, the kid was curled up in the darkest corner of the internet café, the ashtray piled high with cigarette butts like a small grave mound, the screen flickering with meaningless game graphics, his eyes that once sparkled like stars were so hollow they could fit two ping pong balls. He kept mumbling, 'Living is really pointless,' and the tone made my heart twist into a knot.
At that moment, I didn't have time to argue with him about grand principles; I just grabbed his greasy collar and dragged him out, with only one thought in my mind: if this kid gets ruined here, I won't be able to find peace for the rest of my life.

I held my phone and suddenly broke into a cold sweat; this scene was reminiscent of myself eight years ago. Back then, I dashed into the market with all my savings accumulated over three years of work, and within less than half a month, I lost almost enough to pay my rent. Later, by slowly exploring the patterns, I finally managed to earn back the lost money, and even during the crash from 2022 to 2023, I helped three friends in similar situations to my cousin preserve their principal, two of whom even doubled their assets.
Nowadays, many people often message me asking, 'Is there a shortcut to making money quickly?' To be honest, those who want to take shortcuts in this market mostly end up failing. Instead of searching everywhere for so-called 'insider information,' it's better to understand these key points first, which is more useful than anything else.

Having known her for so many years, watching her grow her initial capital from over 200,000 to over 80 million, I am very clear that her success today is not due to any lucky break or insider information, but entirely based on a few 'rules of survival' she has summarized. As an analyst who has been in the crypto space for many years, I have seen too many people lose everything in the market because of greed and impulsiveness, so today I must share these practical tips with everyone, as they might help you avoid years of detours!
The first rule is, 'Don’t panic during rapid rises and slow declines; the main players might be 'stockpiling'. Many newbies see the market suddenly surge and then slowly correct, and they start to panic, fearing their profits will vanish, quickly throwing away their holdings. The result is often being washed out by the main players, watching the subsequent market soar. In fact, after the main players lift the price, they won’t rush to sell; instead, they will slowly correct to absorb the hesitant retail investors’ holdings, preparing for the subsequent market. So when faced with such situations, as long as the fundamentals are sound, don’t be swayed by small fluctuations, maintain your mindset, and hold patiently.

Clearly, the supply is visibly decreasing, and there haven't been any strange issues on the demand side; logically, it should have skyrocketed like ice cream in the summer. But what happened? Prices are falling more miserably than the funds I bought last year. Even the psychological barrier of one hundred thousand dollars that stock traders are obsessed with is now flickering like a candle in the wind, barely holding on!
Many new friends have come to ask me: "Is it that someone is panic selling again?" I say with a clear conscience, this time it really isn't! Do you think the market's ups and downs are all based on emotions? Too naive! As an 'old fox' who has been watching the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury for ten years, I have long discovered the key - the U.S. Treasury's "liquidity faucet" is the real behind-the-scenes player.

Some people chase the market at the peak, drinking the northwest wind, some buy at the bottom and directly lie flat halfway up the mountain, while others stand guard in a sideways market until their feet go numb. In the end, when they open their account, they find that their capital has performed a 'disappearing act'!
As a veteran who has been in the crypto world for 8 years, I know this feeling all too well. I still remember the winter of 2016, in that small shabby room I rented in a village in Guangzhou, the bed board was moldy but I was reluctant to throw it away. My bank card had just over 100 yuan left. Passing by the fast food restaurant downstairs, I had to linger at the door for a long time just to consider whether to buy a 15-yuan meal. I was conflicted: 'Eat it, I might have to drink plain porridge tomorrow; don't eat it, but my stomach is growling and I really can't stand it.' Those days of being poor to the bone, I gritted my teeth and endured for a year and a half.

I was puzzled at the time; although the market had been unstable lately, the varieties he bought before hadn't reached the point of a drastic drop and liquidation, so how could he be losing so much?
It wasn't until he lit up his phone screen that I realized, good grief, he was fixated on a niche coin that dropped from 2 yuan to 1 yuan, pondering every day, 'Having dropped by half, it can't possibly drop further,' and without consulting anyone, he directly poured all his funds into 'bottom fishing.'
What happened? On the afternoon of the purchase, this coin just plummeted like a kite with a broken string, falling from 1 yuan to 0.8 yuan, then to 0.5 yuan, and finally crashing down to 0.2 yuan. In less than three days, 8000 yuan was reduced to only 1600 yuan, and he stared at the account page, his hand shaking even while smoking.

I stared at the screen without rushing to comfort him. After so many years in the industry, I've seen plenty of people panic and make chaotic trades in the market. The more you comfort them, the easier it is for them to get carried away. I directly asked him: “Do you want to keep gambling and risk losing even the betrothal money, or spend six months learning a trading strategy with me that can stabilize your position?”
He almost replied in seconds: “I choose the latter!” Now looking back, no one expected that this one decision would cause his account to rise directly from 5000 to 120000 in six months, without ever facing a risk of liquidation. In the end, he even used this money to hold a grand wedding.

When that red pop-up representing 'liquidation' appeared, the price of BTC was steadily above 60,000. My phone was gripped so tightly it was burning hot, my knuckles turning white, and staring at the cup of water on the table, I almost lost control and knocked it to the ground. ​
Looking back now, this crash was nothing like an 'accident'; it was clearly something I created step by step. Back when BTC rose to 38000, I was determined to short, thinking, 'it's gone up so much, it has to drop.' As a result, the price soared to 40,000 and 50,000. Not only did I refuse to admit my mistake, but I also stubbornly held on to the belief of 'peaking and pulling back.' When I was liquidated, I just kept adding margin, borrowing from friends, maxing out my credit cards, all focused on 'recovering my losses,' looking just like a gambler blinded by losses. ​

Who would have thought that 7 years ago, I was still clutching the only 6000 yuan, huddled in the corner of a rented room, too afraid to even tell my friends about the thought of 'opening a small bookstore' in the future. Back then, I stared at the screen every day watching the market trends, only daring to order takeout below 15 yuan, fearing I wouldn't be able to pay the rent at the end of the month. What I never expected was that I relied on no 'insider information' and didn't chase those wildly rising hot stocks; instead, I slowly rolled this startup capital to 380,000 yuan using a 'foolish method' of understanding the market's temper, just enough to support this little sunlit store.

Don't say I even got to eat meat, I didn't even have a sip of soup, and some brothers even secretly asked me, 'Did you buy a fake coin?'
First, put your heart back in your stomach! As a veteran who has been watching the crypto market for nearly ten years, I dare say: not making money now is actually the most reliable signal at the beginning of a bull market. Many friends who have just entered the market think that a bull market should rise every day like a rocket, but that's a big mistake. It's like farming; you have to plow the land, fertilize it, and wait for the seeds to sprout. The current market is just 'laying the foundation', and it hasn't reached the time for concentrated results yet.

A few days ago, a fan contacted me and said he invested all his savings into a 'promising new coin,' but ended up losing everything in just three days. He repeatedly said, 'If I had known, I wouldn't have gone all in,' but where in the world is there a remedy for regret?
Having been in this circle for five years, I've seen too many people fall into the same pit: it's not that they can't see the market trends, but that they can't control their positions. Some are overly cautious during a bull market, only daring to invest 10%, watching others double their investments while they regret it; then when the bear market hits, they impulsively go all in, ending up with no money left for averaging down.
In the crypto world, there is no 'sure win,' only 'steady survival.'

​
But as an analyst who has been crawling and rolling in the crypto market for many years, I have to say: small capital ≠ guaranteed loss! Last year, a friend of mine entered the market with 1200U and turned it into 38,000U in just four months, and the key was zero liquidations throughout! Many people think he got lucky, but that's not true; he relied on a set of "small capital steady methods" that I taught him step by step back then. Today, I will break down this method in detail, so that novice friends can follow it and save at least three years of detours.
First of all, if you want to survive in the cryptocurrency circle with a small amount of capital, the first step is to put three "safety locks" on your principal. This is a life-saving skill I have summarized over the years. Divide 1200U into three parts, each part 400U, with different purposes. The first part of 400U is the "practice fund", specifically for intraday trading. There is a strict rule here: take profit at 3% immediately, cut losses at 2% decisively, and regardless of market conditions, close the software at the designated time! Don't think this rule is too rigid; you need to know that most people in the crypto circle lose because of "greed". This step helps you cultivate the determination to "take the profit when it's good", creating a gap with those who chase the highs and lows mindlessly.

眼睛像粘在 15 分钟、1 小时 K 线上，连喝口水都怕错过 “行情”。结果呢？震荡行情里被来回收割，追高就站岗，割肉后立马反弹，短短三个月，本金直接缩水 80%，差点把老婆本都赔进去！​
痛定思痛后我才明白：死盯短周期就像蒙眼跑步，看似紧张刺激，实则是在给市场送 “学费”。后来我把无数次踩坑的教训，磨成了一套实战战法，如今做单稳如老狗，今天就毫无保留分享给还在坑里的朋友！​
第一步，用 4 小时图当 “导航仪”，别再瞎转悠！开仓前先看长周期，趋势一眼就能看清。如果 K 线沿着上升台阶慢慢爬，回调的低点一次比一次高，这就是明明白白的上升趋势，此时千万别脑子一热去做空，回调的时候进场，胜率直接拉满；要是高点接连往下掉，反弹的低点也不断下沉，那坚决别碰多单，逆势操作就是在 “自杀”；遇到横盘行情更要沉住气，别手贱频繁开仓，不然手续费都能把你薅秃，方向错了，再努力都是白费功夫。​
第二步，靠 1 小时图找 “精准狙击点”，拒绝瞎开枪！大方向定好后，上升趋势就紧盯 20 日均线，价格回踩均线后稳稳站住并反弹，这时候进场，相当于站在风口上；要是价格冲击前期高点没成功，还伴随着成交量萎缩，那大概率要回调，别急着冲，等回到支撑位再动手也不迟。下降趋势就盯紧压力位，价格反弹到前期高点或者 20 日均线附近，明显涨不动还往下跌，这就是做空的好机会，别在反弹刚开始的时候就急着入场，小心当接盘侠。​
第三步，15 分钟图辨 “真假陷阱”，别再被骗！方向和位置都对了，也不能急着进场，还得等 15 分钟图给出确认信号。吞没形态和 MACD 金叉，这两个条件必须同时满足，更重要的是得有成交量配合。像那种没成交量还涨的，或者无量突破的，全是假动作，千万别信，一旦进场，妥妥被套牢，到时候哭都来不及！​
其实在加密市场里，赚钱的核心从来不是盯盘时间长短，而是找对方法。我曾经也走了很多弯路，踩了无数坑，才总结出这套战法。现在我每天不用盯盘到半夜，也能稳定盈利，如果你也想摆脱亏损，少走弯路，就点个关注吧！后续我还会分享更多实战技巧和行情分析，跟着我一起在加密市场稳稳赚钱，再也不用当 “韭菜”！​
​#美国加征关税 $ETH

I wasn't in a hurry to give him false hopes, but first threw out a request: "First, divide the principal in your hands into three parts, each with about 900 chips, and lay out the backup plan, then we can talk about how to make money in the market." At that time, Old Chen was still half in doubt, feeling that this operation was too "conservative," but he still followed through. As a result, three months later, he directly sent me a screenshot of the account, and I was shocked to see 51200 chips; the key was that he had never experienced a single "forced exit" throughout the process, which was like having a "protective shield" in the wildly fluctuating crypto market.

Don't rush to laugh at my recklessness. Over the years in the crypto world, I've seen too many people stumble. In summary, I found that 90% of losses are actually related to two types of coins: 'lying flat coins' and 'printing money coins.' Today, I will break these pits down clearly. If you fall into them again, there will be no way out.
First, let's talk about 'lying flat coins.' These types of coins are like lazy people who have given up. The code hasn't been updated for a long time, the community is lifeless, and the trading platform can delist them without notice. There are three simple and practical ways to identify them: check the code hosting platform; if there hasn't been any substantial updates for over a year, mark it with a question mark. Then, look at the project community; if there are fewer than 10 messages per week and members rarely speak up, it's likely 'lying flat.' Lastly, check the official Twitter; if they only keep talking about hot concepts like AI and NFT without mentioning the project's actual progress, that should also raise a red flag.

She pitifully took out her phone and showed me the more than ten popular cryptocurrencies that she was following, saying they were all recommended by the big shots in the group, and that if she missed out, there would be no opportunity left. I helplessly shook my head and threw out the first 'filter': 'You should check the trading volume of these cryptocurrencies. If they drop for three consecutive days, eliminate them immediately! Trading volume represents market activity, and a drop for three consecutive days indicates that not many people are willing to take over, so it's very likely to fall further.' She skeptically started to check, muttering to herself, 'So trading volume is so important, I hadn't noticed it before.'

'Trading function has been restricted'—those few big characters completely bewildered me! The big shots in the group are flaunting their profits and laughing, while I can only stare at the ban notification, feeling wronged. Who can understand this?
Don't rush to criticize the platform for being 'unreasonable.' As someone who has been in the crypto space for 5 years, I can guarantee: 99% of new account bans are not due to risk control 'looking for trouble,' but because you have stepped into those 'invisible minefields' hidden in the corners. Recently, I specifically tested 3 new accounts, stepping into countless pits before summarizing this guide to avoid pitfalls. As long as you steer clear of these 5 points, I guarantee your account will be as stable as an old dog.

75 million! You have to know that three years ago, when I entered the market with 25,000 in my pocket, I couldn't even tell the K-line chart apart between rising red and falling green, and was laughed at by the 'crypto veteran' in the next seat, being called 'the reserve of leeks'.
Speaking of which, it’s all tears. In the spring of 2022, during that wave of market, I accidentally shorted LUNA at the position of 98 USD, which was quite popular at that time. Looking back now, it was purely 'a young calf not afraid of tigers', I hadn't even finished reading the project white paper, relying solely on a kind of 'anyway, the principal is small, losing is just paying tuition' determination. I never expected that in just a few weeks, my account balance directly multiplied thirty times! That night, I was staring at the computer screen, tears flowing like beads off a broken string, thinking that I finally no longer had to save frugally for the down payment, and I wouldn't have to hide from the topic of 'being broke' during family gatherings.