约货和现交流会

Cryptocurrency Course Representative

BTC
The weekend market has remained consistently narrow, with small cycle trends almost linear, unable to break above 88600 and not dropping below 87600. However, last weekend it fell from around 90400 to 88500. After the clock turned, the lowest point on Monday morning reached 87500. From the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands have narrowed, and the market is expected to break out of the range. The MA60 is near 87500, providing support against further declines. The 120-minute chart clearly shows that the current small range is only between 88600 and 87500. Looking at the 4-hour and daily charts, the short-term bullish trend can be weakened during the weekend's consolidation, and caution is advised against the emergence of a top divergence.
ETH
Ethereum's daily resistance is in the range of 3030-3050. If it rebounds and reaches this range, one can continue to try short positions. Currently, there is no need for further action on the price, and a stop-loss at 3100 can allow for an additional position. The initial support target below is 2930-2900. If this range is broken, the small-level rebound is considered over, and the next support target is 2775, 2700, 2600.
SOL
For SOL, the daily resistance is in the range of 129-133. If it rebounds and reaches this range, one can continue to try short positions. Currently, there is no need for further action on the price, and a stop-loss at 135 can allow for an additional position. The initial support target below is 123. If this range is broken, the small-level rebound is considered over, and the next support target is 119-116, 110.
Operating Suggestions:
Bitcoin
Long near 87000, add to long at 86600, target 88000--88500
Short near 88800, add to short at 89200, target 87500--87000.
Ethereum
Long near 2920, add to long at 2880, target 3000--3020
Short near 3020, add to short at 3040, target 2920--2900. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #加密市场观察

The weekend is still the weekend, it's shocking,
However, there may be fluctuations tonight, after all, the monthly line is about to close,
But from what I see, the fluctuations shouldn't be too large,
I'll continue to wait and observe, after all, most of the time I'm just a spectator,
If there's a chance, I'll take action!$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

1000U rolled to 28 million! I've been winning in the crypto world for 8 years, consistently achieving 70% returns every month, and it's not just luck! Don't think that turning 1000U into 28 million in the crypto world is a fantasy—I did it through solid effort! I didn't rely on insider information, nor did I engage in any gimmicks; I simply used a strategy of '50% position as a base, protecting the market with practical methods.' Even beginners can follow this method and avoid 3 years of detours. Today, I'm revealing all my secret money-making tricks; for those looking to turn their fortunes around, pay close attention right now!

First, let's talk about the most crucial point—split your funds into five parts, and only move one-fifth each time! Set a stop-loss line at 10% in advance; if you make a mistake once, you'll only lose 2% of your total funds. Even if you make five mistakes in a row, the worst-case scenario is a 10% loss; but if you're right, your take profit must aim for over 10%! If you play like this, it will be hard for you to get stuck!

Want to further improve your winning rate? Just two words—go with the trend! Don't go against the trend! In a downtrend, rebounds are mostly traps to lure in buyers; in an uptrend, pullbacks are the real golden opportunities; this principle must be ingrained in your bones!

Those coins that have skyrocketed in the short term, whether mainstream or altcoins, you shouldn't touch them! There are very few coins capable of making several waves of main upward trends; after a short-term surge, do you still expect it to continue rising? No way! When the price stagnates at a high level, it naturally has to drop—that logic is solid!

You don't need many technical indicators; MACD is stable enough! When DIF and DEA cross upwards below the zero line and then break through the zero line, that's a clear entry signal; conversely, if the dead cross is moving downwards above the zero line, quickly reduce your position and escape—don't hesitate!

The most misleading term is 'averaging down,' which has harmed countless retail investors! The more you lose, the more you average down, and the more you average down, the more you lose—this is a major taboo in trading cryptocurrencies! Remember—never average down when you're losing money; only add to your position when you're making a profit; this is a crucial bottom line to uphold!

The relationship between volume and price is the key! When there is a breakout with increased volume during low-level consolidation, keep a close watch; if there is high volume but no price increase at high levels, quickly escape—don't linger!

Only trade coins in an upward trend for a higher winning rate! When the 3-day line turns upward, there’s potential for a short-term play; when the 30-day line turns upward, look bullish for the mid-term; when the 84-day line turns upward, the main upward trend is coming; when the 120-day line turns upward, it's stable for the long term! $BTC $ETH $BNB #美国非农数据超预期 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

The U.S. government, which has just ended a record 43-day shutdown, is facing another 'shutdown' crisis! Trump suddenly announced that there may be another shutdown at the end of January, with just over a month left until the temporary budget expires on January 30.

In fact, the shutdown in November was only ended by a temporary funding bill, but the core issue remains unresolved—the Democrats want to extend the subsidies of the Affordable Care Act, or else 22 million Americans may see their health insurance premiums double; meanwhile, the Republicans are adamant about controlling spending, with neither side willing to compromise. To make matters worse, the Democrats were accused of 'betrayal' by voters after their last compromise, so the pressure to concede again this time is particularly high, and the Republicans still lack 60 votes to push the bill through, making it difficult to break the negotiation stalemate.

Currently, the U.S. economy is already precarious: GDP growth is only 1.4%, inflation is at 3.1%, coupled with a high unemployment rate of 4.6%, and signs of stagflation are beginning to emerge. If there is a shutdown, the consequences could be dire—historically, a 35-day shutdown has caused a loss of $11 billion, with $3 billion that can never be recovered; the last shutdown even caused 40 airports to come to a standstill and left ports with cargo piling up unattended.

This situation also significantly affects us: the U.S. dollar index has already experienced its largest decline in nine years, and a shutdown would lead to greater volatility in U.S. stocks and bonds, which would also transmit to A-shares and Hong Kong stocks; those engaged in cross-border trade need to be cautious, as the last shutdown directly stalled the approval of import and export licenses, and this time the China-U.S. trade process is likely to be affected as well. For the cryptocurrency market, it is even more critical; after the last shutdown ended, the crypto market rebounded by 10%-15%, but this time the uncertainty has escalated, and funds may first flee to safe assets, while some are waiting to bottom out high-risk targets.

Ultimately, this is a microcosm of the governance dysfunction in the U.S., where both parties treat people's livelihoods and the economy as chips in a political game. Do you think they will compromise at the last moment? Will a shutdown trigger global financial turmoil? Should the cryptocurrency market hedge or position themselves? $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #BinanceABCs #巨鲸动向

Brothers!

The weekend market is expected to fluctuate within a narrow range of 87500-88500! The daily K-line shows an increase in bullish momentum, the 4-hour K-line shows a decrease in bullish volume, and the hourly K-line shows an increase in bearish momentum,

Stay firmly bullish during the day! Two key entry points to watch:

Buy directly near 87500-87200, target 88800-89100;

Buy decisively near 2940-2920, target 3000-3020 ​$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

The most valuable thing in the cryptocurrency world is not making a fortune overnight, but achieving steady profits! Recently, many brothers and sisters have asked me: "How can you maintain such a steady rhythm and ensure we all gain along the way?" In fact, there are no mysterious secrets; it’s just about doing the most basic things — monitoring the market, reviewing trades, and observing emotions and structures — day in and day out.

Over time, you will realize: stability is actually a habit.

During this period, we haven't chased those enticing myths of skyrocketing gains, nor have we gambled on the market's direction.

We only take action within familiar ranges, sticking to the rhythms that have been repeatedly validated.

Profits accumulate little by little, steadily.

Some may think that continuous profits come from good luck.

But I want to say: luck may suddenly disappear, but habits do not.

If the sisters are willing to believe me, I hope to guide everyone on a steadier and clearer path together.

The market has never lacked opportunities; what it lacks is our patience to "know how to filter, know how to wait, and know how to act."

As long as we maintain a calm mindset and step in the right rhythm, the gains will naturally follow.

In the coming days, I will continue as before:

For clear opportunities, I will share with everyone immediately;

When things are unclear, I will remind everyone to remain calm and wait.

Stability is not an achievement to boast about but a gentle responsibility.

Let’s continue to maintain our rhythm — moving forward steadily together. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #BinanceABCs #巨鲸动向

If you have less than 5000U in your pocket and rush into the cryptocurrency world, my first suggestion is:

First, take your hands off the order button.

This isn't about looking down on your capital; it's because the less money you have, the more it can't withstand fluctuations.

This isn't a casino; it's a battlefield—every penny you have is your last bullet.

I brought a beginner starting with 3000U, and in six months, he rolled it to 80,000U without ever blowing up his account.

He only did one thing right: executed three rules like a machine.

1. Diversification is turning "bullets" into "troops"

Don't put all your money on a single thought.

50% liquid assault team—specifically targeting BTC/ETH intraday fluctuations, making 2%-5% and then leaving, absolutely no attachment.

30% swing scouts—only trading in markets with clear weekly trends, holding positions no longer than 5 days, and not acting without signals.

20% survival bottom card—never use this at any time; this is your only confidence to survive until the end and seize opportunities.

Just like the professional trading logic of 532 capital allocation, reasonable division can help you steadily navigate fluctuations without being crushed by single risks.

2. You only need to be "friends with the trend" and not a "prisoner of volatility"

The market wastes time 80% of the time.

Learn to wait, like a sniper, only pulling the trigger twice:

· When breaking through the volatility range with volume;

· When rebounding on key support and stabilizing.

Remember: being in cash is one of your best positions.

Making money in the crypto world has never been about frequent trading, but rather about waiting 90% of the time like "Bitcoin King", only seizing certain opportunities in major market movements.

3. Use rules to seal off the "emotional backdoor"

Mechanical stop-loss: any single loss must not exceed 2% of total capital; this is the core bottom line for protecting your capital.

Profit segmentation: when floating profit reaches 10%, close 1/3 to lock in profits; when floating profit reaches 20%, move the stop-loss to cost—this trade will no longer lose, and then use trailing stop-loss to let profits run slowly.

Never add to losing positions: admit when you're wrong, don't increase your stake on losing trades. That's not persistence; it's suicide.

The core of growing small funds has never been "doubling once" but rather "never losing big money." $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #BinanceABCs #巨鲸动向

Six Key Factors for Mining 100x Potential Coins

First is 'Market Cap Consideration'. For the crypto world, the ideal market cap range should be between 50 million to 500 million USD, and below 1 billion USD is also a good choice. Regardless of future price trends, such coins at least have an imaginable 100x potential. After all, not every coin is Bitcoin; many coins with too large a market cap can instill fear in investors.

Second is 'Launch Time'. I believe the best launch time for a 'coin' is after Bitcoin's project establishment in May 2021, especially coins launched after October 2021 have more potential. These coins are more in line with market tastes in terms of both technology and packaging.

Third is 'Monthly Trend'. A 'coin' that shows a monthly trend of fluctuating downward and has already started to consolidate, and has not experienced a bull market, should not have too many trapped investors, and its rise should not face too much pressure. Such coins have more potential.

Fourth is 'Leading Effect'. Check whether this coin belongs to the leader of a certain track or is an important competitor of the leader. Leading coins among regular troops often have more explosive power and are more likely to experience follow-up and herd effects.

Fifth is 'Washout Test'. If a coin has survived more than 2 years of market washing since its launch, it can at least be considered to have a strong ability to resist risks and is unlikely to inexplicably return to zero.

Sixth is 'Market Cap Ranking'. It is best to choose coins ranked outside the top 100 by market cap. Combined with the first point, this also considers future upward space, betting on small probability events. In a bull market, there are actually many such small probabilities, making it more likely to achieve a 20 to 50 times increase. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #BinanceABCs #巨鲸动向

12-20 Afternoon Insights

Current ETH price is running in the range of 2980–2990, overall in a high-level sideways consolidation structure after the previous rebound. From the structure, the price has repeatedly tested the 3010 line without breaking through, indicating that the selling pressure above is still significant, and the short-term bullish momentum is beginning to slow down.

BOLL: The upper band is around 2999, the middle band is around 2974, and the lower band is around 2750. The current price is hovering just above the BOLL middle band with narrow fluctuations, the upper band slightly turning down, indicating that the rebound strength is weakening; the lower band is in a flattening phase, belonging to the consolidation repair trend after a significant decline.
The sideways movement near the middle band + the upper band under pressure structure indicates that the bulls are not strong, and the bears have not restarted, leaning towards a consolidation mindset.

MACD: DIF is still below the zero axis, but is crossing upwards, although the red bars are expanding, the increase is slowing down, indicating that the current situation is more of a rebound repair rather than a trend reversal.

Long Position Strategy (buying on dips)
Entry position: 2945 – 2925
Target position: 2990 – 3020
Stop loss position: below 2900
The area near the middle band on a dip belongs to the support confirmation zone, only buying on dips is allowed, chasing highs is not permitted.

Short Position Strategy (defending against rebounds)
Entry position: 3015 – 3035 (facing pressure from a rebound)
Target position: 2970 – 2930 – 2880
Stop loss position: above 3055
If it effectively stabilizes above 3050, the bearish outlook becomes invalid.

ETH is currently in a sideways repair structure after the rebound, both bulls and bears lack a trend, still focusing on range trading, strictly following the price points, not chasing high or cutting low. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

To be honest, I didn't expect that it's almost 2026,
that I could still see phishing techniques like address投DU,
and the victims might even be institutional addresses, with a single transfer of 50 million U.

For such a large transfer,
it should normally involve multi-signature, approval, whitelisting, and address confirmation processes,
yet it still fell for it.

Not to say anything sarcastic,
I can only say that this oversight has come at too high a cost.
I sincerely hope that assets can be recovered soon, and I remind everyone that large transfers must be carefully verified for addresses, while also wanting to know—
which institution/whale it is, so that everyone has an idea and can avoid risks in advance. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

Yesterday's market continued its familiar rhythm, with fluctuations rising from the white disk to the night, retreating from around 89300 in the early morning, and reaching a minimum of 86795 before stopping the decline.

From the current disk perspective, the 4-hour level is showing small upward fluctuations, consolidating around 88300 above the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, with a slight expansion of the bands and lower volatility than the usual Saturday; the 1-hour level shows a narrowing of the Bollinger Bands, with alternating small upward and downward movements, and decreasing volatility, with prices operating at the upper middle track. After multiple unsuccessful attempts to test resistance, it corrected downwards, in line with weekend market characteristics, and a narrow range of fluctuations is highly likely in the future. It is recommended to focus on high selling and low buying in the range.
Big Coin: rebound control around 88800-89500, looking down at 87300-86300;
Yitai: rebound control around 2980-3030, looking down at 2900-2830. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

December 20, Saturday
1. Hong Kong Financial Secretary: Currently researching the legal regulatory framework for the issuance and trading of tokenized bonds
2. David Sacks: The proposed cryptocurrency market structure bill is expected to be submitted to the Senate for review and amendment in January 2026
3. Dubai Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority becomes the world's first regulatory body to appear in the metaverse
4. ByteDance TRAE CN enterprise version launched, supporting the processing of 150 million lines of code
5. The United States' 'Genesis Program' launches a national-level AI competition, with 24 tech giants joining forces
—Content sourced from the internet—$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

12.20 - Market Analysis (BTC/ETH):

On the daily chart, the market is currently in a sideways consolidation phase, with both bulls and bears in a temporary stalemate, and no directional breakout has occurred yet. The price rebound has encountered resistance after reaching the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the oscillating pattern continues. It is recommended to observe patiently before the trend becomes clear.

On the four-hour chart, the previous decline has been fully recovered, and the current price is operating within the upper middle band of the Bollinger Bands, with the bottom pattern beginning to take shape. However, the key resistance level above has been repeatedly tested, and whether it can break through this position will become the core signal for a trend reversal.

Market liquidity is generally low over the weekend, and it is expected that the market will likely maintain a fluctuating trend. In terms of operations, one can rely on the lower edge of the range, gradually looking for opportunities to build long positions, while maintaining a flexible response strategy and promptly adjusting positions.

Specific operational suggestions for the day:

Bitcoin: It is recommended to go long on dips in the range of 87500-87000, with a target towards 89500-90000.

Ethereum: It is recommended to gradually build long positions in the range of 2760-2730, with a target looking towards 3000-3050. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

12-19 Evening Layout Strategy

The 4-hour level has experienced four consecutive bullish candlesticks, showing a strong upward surge with a solid body but a long upper shadow at the close. The pressure level above has become a "roadblock" for bulls! Multiple strong attacks have been unsuccessful, and the market is signaling short-term fluctuations and pullbacks!

The 1-hour Bollinger Bands continue to converge, with both the upper and lower bands applying downward pressure! When testing the upper band during the rebound, the trading volume significantly shrinks; without a substantial breakout, narrow fluctuations are inevitable!

Key signal confirmed: Small interest rate hike implemented! The overall bullish trend is clear, and any pullback is a golden opportunity to enter!

Precise points shared | Following along means profit
Big coin: 87300-87900 decisively bullish
Target: Short-term 88500-89900 | Long-term aiming for 92000
Altcoin: 2900-2930 buy in batches
Target: Short-term 3000-3100 | Long-term pushing for 3280$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

The Bank of Japan has raised interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, so let's talk about this matter again.

First of all, we need to understand that Japan's interest rate hikes mainly affect BTC prices through the mechanism of 'yen carry trade unwinding'. In simpler terms, investors borrow low-interest yen to buy BTC and other high-risk assets. However, an interest rate hike will lead to increased borrowing costs and yen appreciation, forcing investors to sell assets and repay yen, thus triggering a sell-off in the risk market.

This time, given that there is more than a 97% probability that the market has already priced in this interest rate hike, it is normal that there is no volatility now. It is even normal to see a rebound due to 'bad news being fully priced in', so don't be surprised.

In the past couple of days, I have also analyzed the charts. After the interest rate hikes in March and July 2024 and January 2025, Bitcoin fell by 20%-30% within 4-6 weeks, but during this period, other news also influenced the prices. As for whether this time will be the same, it mainly depends on the subsequent steps of the Bank of Japan and the policy game with other major central banks led by the Federal Reserve. The current environment is very different.

Overall, if the Bank of Japan starts a continuous interest rate hike cycle in 2026, then in the long term, sustained interest rate hikes will continually raise global yen borrowing costs, long-term suppressing market risk appetite, which will naturally pose a continuous negative impact on assets like BTC.

Additionally, we are likely in the middle to later stages of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, so... sigh, next year will be very tough. $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

Just finished watching the speech of the Governor of the Bank of Japan after the interest rate hike in Japan.

Okay, let me give you a colloquial, key point version of 1-2-3-4 summary:

1. This interest rate hike is not a 'shift to tightening,' but a small step towards normalization.

The Governor repeatedly emphasized that Japan has not entered an aggressive rate hike cycle; this is more about moving slightly from 'extremely loose' to a normal state, so do not interpret it as a comprehensive withdrawal.

2. Whether to continue raising interest rates depends on data, not a preset path.

He clearly stated that the Bank of Japan does not have a fixed path for interest rate hikes and will not follow a set rhythm like the Federal Reserve; everything depends on whether inflation, wages, and economic data hold up.

3. Whether wages and inflation can form a positive cycle is a core observation point.

What is currently most concerning is not short-term prices, but whether companies can continue to raise wages and whether inflation can stabilize near the target. If wages do not keep up, they will not rashly tighten further.

4. Volatility in the financial markets will be closely monitored, as they do not wish to cause shocks.

The Governor specifically mentioned that they will closely watch Japanese bonds, exchange rates, and overall market reactions and do not want interest rate hikes to trigger severe volatility; the Bank of Japan will still remain 'very cautious.'

This interest rate hike is more like 'testing the waters,' not declaring war, with a slow pace, soft attitude, and leaving room for maneuver $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #BinanceABCs #巨鲸动向

December 19 DOGE Trading Reference

I. Entry Strategy

Focus on the range of 0.12900-0.13100, it is recommended to build positions in the middle or lower part of the range, and chasing high prices is strictly prohibited; adopt a small position trial and gradually increase the position mode to reduce entry risk.

II. Target Setting

1. First target: around 0.12650, reduce position by 50% to lock in profits after reaching.

2. Second target: around 0.12400 (this time's final target), if the market does not effectively break through, decisively take profits.

III. Risk Control Requirements

Set stop-loss in advance according to your own risk tolerance; immediately stop-loss if the price breaks the support level, do not hold positions or fight stubbornly, firmly maintain the principal safety bottom line $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs

When he entered the cryptocurrency world, there was only a line of numbers in his account and a pile of unfulfilled aspirations.

Over 30,000 U was the money he had saved from working for several years. At first, he only heard friends say, "The opportunity has come," and then he saw various stories of doubling, so he entered the market with a try-it-out mentality. He didn’t know how to look at cycles, didn’t understand positions, and didn’t even know what risk control meant. When the price went up, he chased it; when it went down, he held on; and when he lost money, he thought about using a larger position to recover.

As a result, the market quickly gave him a sobering slap in the face.

His account changed from green to deep green, and then to a point where he almost didn’t dare to open it.

Over 30,000 U, he lost down to just a little leftover.

During that time, he was truly panicked.

It wasn’t how terrifying the market was, but rather realizing he understood nothing.

He didn’t know what to do next, nor did he know if he could continue.

It was also at this time that he met Brother Long through a friend.

There were no miraculous operations, nor any promises of "you'll recover your losses."

Brother Long's first words were surprisingly calm:

"Your current issue isn’t losing money, it’s a lack of understanding. Rushing to operate will only lead to faster losses."

So the first thing he did wasn’t to trade, but to stop.

He reanalyzed his losses: Why did he enter? Why did he hold on? Why did he keep losing?

He began to understand that the market was never the enemy; the real problem lay within himself.

Later, he slowly resumed trading.

No heavy positions, no betting on direction, no frequent trades.

Before every trade, he would think: What if I’m wrong, rather than what if I make money.

The market isn’t exaggerated, nor are there miracles.

It’s just a series of small but certain opportunities taken seriously.

In just a short time, his account slowly recovered, and he had made back over 10,000 U.

He said that at that moment he wasn’t very excited.

More so, he breathed a sigh of relief.

Not because he made money, but because he finally knew what he was doing.

He is now very clear:

This isn’t a turnaround, nor is it the end.

It’s just moving from "chaos" to "methodical."

The cryptocurrency world never lacks opportunities.

What’s lacking is whether you have the ability to survive before the opportunity arrives.

If you are also feeling lost,

Don’t rush to recover your losses,

Clarify your understanding,

It might be much more important than your next trade $BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#比特币流动性 #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs