加密阿轩

Wanting and getting requires doing in between

9/24 ETH Afternoon Market Analysis

From an hourly perspective, although the MACD histogram is still in the negative zone, a convergence trend has clearly emerged, indicating that short-term bearish momentum is weakening, and there is a high probability of a slight rebound window in the market. It is particularly important to note that there is currently no clear signal of a trend reversal; the rebound space needs to be closely combined with the breakthrough of subsequent key levels for further verification.

Operation Suggestions: Consider positioning short orders in the 4200-4220 range, aiming for a target around 4100, and pay attention to real-time tracking of market momentum changes to adjust strategies.

Just now, the Federal Reserve announced the latest minutes of the monetary policy meeting, and the key information revealed undoubtedly will stir new waves in the global financial markets.

In terms of inflation, although the overall trend is declining, some core service prices remain sticky, which poses certain challenges to the price stability target.

The market reacted quickly, with short-term fluctuations in the dollar index and slight oscillations in U.S. stock futures. Investors are intensively reassessing their asset allocations.

Next, how the Federal Reserve will choose to act—whether to remain passive or decisively cut interest rates—let's continue to pay attention and witness the changes in this economic storm!

September 24 afternoon BTC market analysis and trading suggestions

Market Analysis

The BTC 4-hour chart shows that the price is oscillating along the middle and lower Bollinger Band. The price briefly dipped to the key support level of 111000, immediately triggering a rebound, and the effectiveness of this support level has been preliminarily validated in the short term. From the market momentum perspective, the current buying support is insufficient, failing to form strong rebound support; the MACD indicator continues to operate below the zero line, and the overall bearish pattern remains unchanged, but the rate of decline has shown signs of slowing down, with the forces of bulls and bears in a delicate stage of contention.

Trading Suggestions

You can attempt to establish a light long position near 111500, aiming for the first target at 113000. It is essential to strictly control the position size during the operation and closely monitor the pressure situation near the target level as well as changes in market volume.

A simple yet practical method for breaking free from a position
In contracts, everyone has definitely been trapped at some point, but many people do not know how to break free. In a rush, they either blindly increase their positions or stubbornly hold on, resulting in deeper traps.
Today I will share a plan I often use to break free, without needing to add extra funds, relying on discipline and execution!

Short position sharing
The idea from this morning has once again been validated, approaching the target of 4100, successfully moving nearly 100 points. The Silk Road has already provided this for you; do you still not know how to copy the homework?
If you feel that you still can't quite do it, you can find Ah Xuan for one-on-one guidance at #阿轩 .

Don't say too much nonsense, saying too much is useless, being able to keep up and eat meat is the real strength!
3000-5000U: Short-term operation, 10%-15% position, 3-5 days to double the position (2 slots)
6000-20000U: Mainly volatility, supplemented by short-term, 10% position, 5-10 days to double the position (1 slot)
30000-60000U: Mainly long-term, 10% position, 10-20 days to double the position (2 slots)
100000U+: Mainly long-term, 5% position, 1 month to double the position (3 slots)
Limited slots, first come first served!

Useful Bitcoin Morning Silk Road

Recently, Bitcoin has repeatedly tested the bottom and quickly rebounded, but the momentum is insufficient, and the bears are weakening. From a technical perspective, the hourly and 4-hour indicators frequently show lower shadows in the candlestick chart, indicating that the short-term upward momentum in the market has somewhat exhausted, and a slow decline is expected.

Bitcoin trading suggestion: Short near 1125, targeting 1115#BTC

Useful Today's Morning Ethereum Silk Road

After experiencing a sharp surge, there have been two consecutive days of sideways fluctuations. In the short term, the bullish momentum is still sufficient. From the four-hour candlestick perspective, there is significant resistance above, making it difficult to break through, and bearish sentiment is slowly concentrating. In the long term, it is expected to move downward, and one can maintain a bearish mindset during pullbacks.

Operation suggestion: Short above 4200, target 4100, look at 4000 after breaking down.
Strictly maintain defense: 4250
#美联储会议 #鲍威尔讲话

From a technical structure perspective, the daily KDJ and MACD indicators of Bitcoin/Ethereum continue to show a downward trend. The lower Bollinger Bands indicator is in an opening state, and the main chart's moving averages across various short and medium terms have formed a strong bearish arrangement, clearly indicating that the current short-term market is dominated by bears.

The 12-hour level is highly correlated with the daily trend, with KDJ, MACD, and Bollinger Bands indicators forming a bearish resonance, and a breakout trend has already appeared in the Bollinger Bands. Overall, it's judged that the price is likely to consolidate within a large-scale oscillation box in the short term, and a technical rebound will provide space for indicator recovery. The ultra-short-term may accompany weak rebound sentiment, but the strength is limited, and there are still expectations for increased downward pressure in the future. In terms of operations, it is recommended to maintain a trading strategy of selling on rebounds.

Countdown to Chairman Powell's Speech! Tonight's Market Focus is on 'Master Powell'

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech is imminent, and it is undoubtedly the absolute core of the market tonight. Everyone is holding their breath, fully prepared for this critical market moment.

Especially for those who still have positions trapped, this speech is likely to bring significant volatility, perhaps it is the closest important opportunity you have to break free from your losses!

If you are unsure about the market rhythm, now is the crucial moment to catch up and seize the opportunity.

The three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher collectively, each setting a new closing historical high:
·Dow Jones up 0.14%
·Nasdaq up 0.70%
·S&P 500 index up 0.44%

·Federal Reserve's new governor Stephen Miran stated that current interest rates are too high, and a significant rate cut may be needed in the coming months to protect the economy.

·The market is concerned about the increase in H-1B visa fees and the risk of government "shutdown," but the investment outlook for AI is boosting market confidence. ​

Two important time nodes for news to pay attention to:

At 9:00 PM on September 23rd, Federal Reserve Chair Bowman will give a speech.

At 12:30 AM on September 24th, Federal Reserve Chair Powell will speak.

The market is relatively calm today, as if it is particularly quiet before the typhoon in Shenzhen today. Bowman's speech is basically just a repeat machine, and the market will not stir up any waves.

It is important to note that Powell's speech in the early morning is considered his first appearance after the interest rate cut. Currently, the market expects a 25 basis point cut in October and December, with further cuts next year, but at a pace that may be slower than expected. Powell may emphasize gradual rate cuts tonight to stabilize the job market.

I believe many people, like me, are looking forward to Powell's continued dovish remarks to ease the somewhat high-strung market. The volatility should also be exciting at that time. In the evening, there are also strategies for laying out Ethereum, and friends who want to get on board can contact A Xuan.

In the current market, BTC (Big Pie) and ETH (Small Pie) are moving in high synchronization, overall still in a bearish pattern, with strong continuation of the bears. In this rhythm, high selling short remains the core participation strategy, needing to follow the trend and look down for space; a rebound is a good opportunity to short. Although there are short-term opportunities to take short longs, from a conservative perspective, it is preferable to prioritize a high short approach.

BTC (Big Pie) Operation Suggestions

- Entry Range: Short near 11300-11350
​
- Risk Control: Stop loss 800 points
​
- Target Price: First target 11150, after breaking can look to 11050

ETH (Small Pie) Operation Suggestions

- Entry Range: Short near 4230-4250
​
- Risk Control: Stop loss 60 points
​
- Target Price: First target 4150, after breaking can look to 4080

The core resistance level for the SOL intraday small rebound is 222. If this level is successfully broken, the hourly rebound target will aim for 225. Only after breaking 225, with a significant reduction in pullback strength, can we confirm a return to the four-hour rebound channel, at which point we can further look towards the 231-236 range.

If 222 cannot hold the closing line throughout the day, the market is likely to continue pulling back, and we need to pay close attention to the 210-200 support range. The long position strategy suggests patiently waiting for entry signals near this support range to avoid blindly chasing highs.

【Trend Catcher Recruitment Notice】Don't miss the last 48 hours! Let's seize the golden entry point in the market together.

Do you often lament that "Rome wasn't built in a day," yet struggle to see the direction in a long trend?
Do you clearly sense significant opportunities, yet miss the critical nodes, letting the profits that should have been yours slip away?

Now, a precise layout plan targeting the "last 48 hours of the market" is officially launched, and we invite you to become a "Trend Catcher" to capture the most core profit window in the market movement together!

We understand that true major trends never conclude in the short term; they require time to complete the logical loop. However, more crucially, over 60% of the core fluctuations in the market are condensed within the final 48 hours of the entire trend—this is the "golden decision period" validated by countless investors and the key turning point for ordinary people to transform from "observers" to "profiteers."

September 23 (Tuesday) SOL Market Key Point Analysis

- The upper level needs to focus on the 221 pressure level: if it cannot effectively stabilize, it indicates insufficient current rebound momentum. Although there are short-term upward attempts, based on the overall daily trend judgment, it still leans towards a downward trend.
​
- In terms of technical indicators: the KDJ indicator has formed a death cross, indicating that bearish strength is increasing; while the MACD red bars continue to shrink, showing obvious signs of weakening bullish momentum, and the comparison of bullish and bearish forces has tilted towards bearish.
​
- The downward support needs to focus on the 206-216 range, where the 212 point is the key intermediate support within this range and can serve as an important observation anchor point for short-term market strength.

BTC, ETH | HeYue Trading Suggestions

BTC Trading Suggestions

It is recommended to consider entering short positions near the 113500 level, with an initial target aimed at the 111300-111700 range.
If the price breaks below this range, further targets can be set at 110800-11100; if it does not break and shows signs of stabilization, consider reversing to enter long positions.

ETH Trading Suggestions

It is recommended to consider entering short positions near the 4280 level, with an initial target set at the 4130-4150 range.
If the price breaks below this range, it can extend to the 4040-4075 range; if it does not break and shows signs of a stop in decline, plan a strategy to enter long positions.

9.23 (Tuesday) Bitcoin Noon Market Analysis and Trading Strategy

Yesterday, Bitcoin started a downward trend near the 115500 mark, reaching a low of 111800, with previous long position holders generally under pressure. From the current market momentum, the bearish dominance is significantly stronger than the bullish, and the main strategy for the noon session should remain focused on short positions, as there is still further room for expansion below.

From a technical structural analysis, the price is operating within a flat channel. After probing the bottom yesterday, it has entered a phase of oscillation and repair, with an accelerated rhythm of bull-bear transitions. Although the general direction continues the trend of retreating after a rise, the short-term oscillation and consolidation greatly affect the continuity of the trend, and there are currently no conditions for a one-sided continuation. Overall, it still shows characteristics of oscillating downward probing.

The four-hour cycle chart shows that the price maintains a slight oscillating downward channel. Although the bearish volume release is somewhat limited, the stair-step downward rhythm is clear. The moving average system is synchronously and slowly diverging downwards, and the pattern of oscillating downward and bottom-building adjustment in the short term has not changed.

Bitcoin noon trading suggestions:

- Entry point: Short positions should be taken in the range of 113000-113500
​
- Target points: First target 112000, second target 111000

Midday SOL Market Observation: Waiting for Direction Amidst Fluctuations, Key Ranges Determine Short-Term Trends

The SOL 1-hour cycle shows significant volatility, having previously undergone a downward trend, with prices dipping to a low of 212.29 before entering a phase of consolidation. Currently, the overall trend indicates a buildup and adjustment phase.

From the current pattern, SOL is in a critical operating range, facing multiple pressures in the upward direction. The levels of 217.11, 220.41, and 224.57 constitute important resistance points, and a breakout requires stronger momentum support. Current market sentiment is relatively cautious, and attention should be focused on the pace of volume release and the validity of support areas below to assess short-term directional choices.