铭威 资深区块链情报师
2017年进入币圈，历经起伏周期，深度解读市场，关注我不迷路！一起实现自由！
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If $BTC does not break below 86000, it will oscillate upwards.
If it breaks below 85999, it will continue downwards to 82245.
If it breaks below 85999, it will continue downwards to 82245.
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#加密市场观察 The "Volatility Normal" Under the Intertwining of Multiple Factors
The volatility of the cryptocurrency market is the result of the resonance of macro policies, regulations, sentiment, technology, and other factors, which is difficult to fundamentally change in the short term. For investors, it is essential to focus on three main lines: the Federal Reserve's policy trends, the implementation of core regulatory policies, and the flow of institutional funds, while managing volatility risk through diversified allocation (such as a "Bitcoin + stablecoin" combination), controlling leverage, and long-term holding.
The volatility of the cryptocurrency market is the result of the resonance of macro policies, regulations, sentiment, technology, and other factors, which is difficult to fundamentally change in the short term. For investors, it is essential to focus on three main lines: the Federal Reserve's policy trends, the implementation of core regulatory policies, and the flow of institutional funds, while managing volatility risk through diversified allocation (such as a "Bitcoin + stablecoin" combination), controlling leverage, and long-term holding.
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Cryptocurrency Market Observation
#加密市场观察 ### 📉 Analysis of the Core Drivers of Volatility in the Cryptocurrency Market
#### I. Macroeconomics and Liquidity Cycles
Global monetary policy is the 'master switch' affecting risk assets. For example, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike cycle tightens market liquidity, causing funds to flow from high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies to safe-haven assets such as the US dollar and government bonds (as seen in 2022 when the Federal Reserve's continuous rate hikes led to a 70% crash in the cryptocurrency market); while expectations of interest rate cuts or quantitative easing policies can push funds back into risk markets, as evidenced by Bitcoin rebounding from $16,000 to $45,000 after the Federal Reserve paused rate hikes in 2023. Additionally, global inflation data, non-farm payroll reports, and other macro indicators directly influence market expectations regarding monetary policy, triggering price fluctuations in cryptocurrencies.
#### I. Macroeconomics and Liquidity Cycles
Global monetary policy is the 'master switch' affecting risk assets. For example, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike cycle tightens market liquidity, causing funds to flow from high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies to safe-haven assets such as the US dollar and government bonds (as seen in 2022 when the Federal Reserve's continuous rate hikes led to a 70% crash in the cryptocurrency market); while expectations of interest rate cuts or quantitative easing policies can push funds back into risk markets, as evidenced by Bitcoin rebounding from $16,000 to $45,000 after the Federal Reserve paused rate hikes in 2023. Additionally, global inflation data, non-farm payroll reports, and other macro indicators directly influence market expectations regarding monetary policy, triggering price fluctuations in cryptocurrencies.
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#加密市场观察 ASTER is a decentralized perpetual contract exchange token, supported by CZ and YZi Labs (formerly Binance Labs), with a multi-chain layout (BNB Chain/Ethereum/Solana, etc.) and hidden order functionality, recently showing signs of a rebound from the bottom. The platform's daily trading volume reaches 12 billion USD, supporting stock perpetual contracts and 100x leverage, while the collateral earning mechanism enhances capital efficiency.
B
ASTER/USDT
Price
0.668
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$ASTER is a popular project in the DeFi field recently 🚀 It has been noted for its rebound from the bottom, increased capital, and support from CZ. There is a market, there is a background!!!
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#加密市场观察 Today, the cryptocurrency market shows a downward trend, with Bitcoin falling below $87,000, a 2.8% drop in 24 hours. Long-term holders are selling at a five-year peak, with $300 billion in dormant Bitcoin entering the market. ETF funds have turned negative, and derivatives trading volume is sluggish. The future may continue to fluctuate; in the short term, attention is on the $85,000 support level, while in the long term, whether the application of compliant stablecoins and the recovery of institutional demand can reverse the downturn is to be seen.
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$BTC There are no technical indicators in the cryptocurrency world; those who look at technical indicators are talking nonsense.
Only emotions!!!
Only emotions!!!
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$ASTER consolidation, poised to take off!
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The crypto market shows a fierce tug-of-war between bulls and bears 📊
The timing is just right at a critical window of market sentiment reversal, with the dual catalysts of Federal Reserve policy expectations and technological upgrades reshaping the market landscape.
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### 📈 Market Status: Liquidity expectations drive rebounds, mid and small-cap cryptocurrencies lead the way
- Price performance: Bitcoin surged 9% in a single day, and mid and small-cap tokens like Solana and Cardano recorded double-digit increases, with the market showing a comprehensive recovery. However, the tug-of-war between bulls and bears is intense, with a total liquidation amount of $387 million in 24 hours, affecting 112,000 traders, primarily consisting of short sellers in the liquidation group.
- Core catalyst: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December has risen to 89.2%, and the market is preemptively positioning for 'rate cut trades'; Ethereum's Fusaka upgrade is about to land, with Layer 2 fees expected to decrease by 30%-50%, activating ecological vitality.
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### 📈 Market Status: Liquidity expectations drive rebounds, mid and small-cap cryptocurrencies lead the way
- Price performance: Bitcoin surged 9% in a single day, and mid and small-cap tokens like Solana and Cardano recorded double-digit increases, with the market showing a comprehensive recovery. However, the tug-of-war between bulls and bears is intense, with a total liquidation amount of $387 million in 24 hours, affecting 112,000 traders, primarily consisting of short sellers in the liquidation group.
- Core catalyst: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December has risen to 89.2%, and the market is preemptively positioning for 'rate cut trades'; Ethereum's Fusaka upgrade is about to land, with Layer 2 fees expected to decrease by 30%-50%, activating ecological vitality.
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#USDD以稳见信
USDD: A stable choice to anchor value amid volatility in the crypto market #USDD以稳见信
As the cryptocurrency market experiences a "roller coaster" of fluctuations, the value anchoring role of stablecoins is becoming increasingly prominent. As a decentralized stablecoin issued on the TRON network, @USDD - Decentralized USD is becoming an important tool for investors to navigate bull and bear markets through its mechanism of "over-collateralization + on-chain transparency" 🛡️
#### 🔍 Three Core Advantages Analysis
1️⃣ 100% Over-Collateralization: Each 1 USDD is fully collateralized by at least 1.2 dollars of crypto assets (TRX, BTC, USDT, etc.), with smart contracts monitoring the collateral value in real-time to ensure redemption capability.
2️⃣ Decentralized Governance: Community voting decisions are made through TRON DAO, with key parameters such as collateral asset pools and minting rules being open and transparent, eliminating single-point risk.
3️⃣ Multi-Scenario Application Ecosystem: Supporting over 200 application scenarios including DeFi lending (like JustLend), cross-border payments, NFT trading, etc., recently achieving annualized returns of 8%-12% in Binance liquidity mining, combining stability and profitability 💹
#### 📊 Data Witnesses "Stability" Strength
As of Q3 2023, the circulation of USDD has surpassed 1.2 billion USD, with the collateralization rate consistently maintained above 180%, and has kept a 1:1 USD peg for 18 consecutive months, far exceeding the industry average. During extreme market conditions such as the FTX collapse in 2022, the price of USDD remained stable within ±0.1%, demonstrating strong risk resistance capabilities.
#### 🚀 How Can Ordinary People Position Themselves?
- Risk Hedging: Convert part of the position to USDD to avoid risks of market crashes;
- Liquidity Mining: Deposit USDD in Binance's "Liquidity Pool" to enjoy low-risk returns;
- Cross-Border Transfers: 0 fees, funds arrive in 3 seconds, solving the pain points of traditional financial cross-border settlements.
In today's crypto market, where "high volatility" has become the norm, USDD redefines the standards of stablecoins with "decentralization + high transparency." Whether you are a novice investor or an experienced trader, choosing USDD is not only a pursuit of "stability" but also an acknowledgment of the trust mechanism of blockchain technology.
#USDD以稳见信 | What new roles do you think stablecoins will play in the crypto ecosystem? Feel free to leave a comment and discuss below 👇
USDD: A stable choice to anchor value amid volatility in the crypto market #USDD以稳见信
As the cryptocurrency market experiences a "roller coaster" of fluctuations, the value anchoring role of stablecoins is becoming increasingly prominent. As a decentralized stablecoin issued on the TRON network, @USDD - Decentralized USD is becoming an important tool for investors to navigate bull and bear markets through its mechanism of "over-collateralization + on-chain transparency" 🛡️
#### 🔍 Three Core Advantages Analysis
1️⃣ 100% Over-Collateralization: Each 1 USDD is fully collateralized by at least 1.2 dollars of crypto assets (TRX, BTC, USDT, etc.), with smart contracts monitoring the collateral value in real-time to ensure redemption capability.
2️⃣ Decentralized Governance: Community voting decisions are made through TRON DAO, with key parameters such as collateral asset pools and minting rules being open and transparent, eliminating single-point risk.
3️⃣ Multi-Scenario Application Ecosystem: Supporting over 200 application scenarios including DeFi lending (like JustLend), cross-border payments, NFT trading, etc., recently achieving annualized returns of 8%-12% in Binance liquidity mining, combining stability and profitability 💹
#### 📊 Data Witnesses "Stability" Strength
As of Q3 2023, the circulation of USDD has surpassed 1.2 billion USD, with the collateralization rate consistently maintained above 180%, and has kept a 1:1 USD peg for 18 consecutive months, far exceeding the industry average. During extreme market conditions such as the FTX collapse in 2022, the price of USDD remained stable within ±0.1%, demonstrating strong risk resistance capabilities.
#### 🚀 How Can Ordinary People Position Themselves?
- Risk Hedging: Convert part of the position to USDD to avoid risks of market crashes;
- Liquidity Mining: Deposit USDD in Binance's "Liquidity Pool" to enjoy low-risk returns;
- Cross-Border Transfers: 0 fees, funds arrive in 3 seconds, solving the pain points of traditional financial cross-border settlements.
In today's crypto market, where "high volatility" has become the norm, USDD redefines the standards of stablecoins with "decentralization + high transparency." Whether you are a novice investor or an experienced trader, choosing USDD is not only a pursuit of "stability" but also an acknowledgment of the trust mechanism of blockchain technology.
#USDD以稳见信 | What new roles do you think stablecoins will play in the crypto ecosystem? Feel free to leave a comment and discuss below 👇
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#加密市场观察 BNB current price is at a low level or there may be layout opportunities, build positions in batches, while being alert to regulatory risks and liquidity shrinkage, it is recommended to make decisions based on one's own risk tolerance.
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#加密市场观察 📢 Binance announcement shows that the company will split its business into three independently managed segments. This move aims to enhance operational efficiency and compliance capability. For users, core services such as trading, withdrawals, and account security remain unchanged, requiring no additional actions, and the user experience will not be affected.
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#加密市场观察 The future trend of Bitcoin shows significant divergence, with institutions like JPMorgan optimistic about a medium to long-term rise to $170,000, while technical analysis indicates potential bearish adjustment pressure, necessitating attention to macro policies and institutional movements.
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Bitcoin Bottom Rebound
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☁️ Bitcoin Bottom Rebound Overview
- Recently rebounded from a near seven-month low of $80,554 to above $88,000. Following a corrective rebound over the weekend, the increase on Monday was less than 2.5%, and it remains in a phase of fluctuation and adjustment.
- Approximately 30% lower than the record high in October, outflows of funds, expectations of Federal Reserve policy, and institutional disagreements are constraining the strength of the rebound. In the short term, attention should be paid to macroeconomic conditions and changes in capital flows.
☁️ Bitcoin Bottom Rebound Overview
- Recently rebounded from a near seven-month low of $80,554 to above $88,000. Following a corrective rebound over the weekend, the increase on Monday was less than 2.5%, and it remains in a phase of fluctuation and adjustment.
- Approximately 30% lower than the record high in October, outflows of funds, expectations of Federal Reserve policy, and institutional disagreements are constraining the strength of the rebound. In the short term, attention should be paid to macroeconomic conditions and changes in capital flows.
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$ASTER decreased in volume, but the overall trend is upward!
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#加密市场反弹 ASTER callback has been hotly debated as the "timing to get in".
This is essentially a high-risk game driven by emotions, and certainly not a safe investment choice, so be sure to remain vigilant.
This is essentially a high-risk game driven by emotions, and certainly not a safe investment choice, so be sure to remain vigilant.
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$ASTER Why is there so much selling pressure? It's all large orders being sold.
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