Satoshi Sister
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HEAR ME OUT NOW!!
A Major Financial Shock Is Lining Up for 2026 and the Warning Signs Are Already Here.
Something big is coming for 2026. And no, it’s not another banking meltdown or a typical recession cycle. This time, the pressure is sitting right at the core of the global system: sovereign bonds.
The first red flag? The MOVE index. Bond volatility is waking up.
Right now, three silent fault lines around the world are straining at the same time:
1️⃣ U.S. Treasury funding
2️⃣ Japan’s yen and carry-trade system
3️⃣ China’s overleveraged credit machine
Any one of these snapping would be enough to shake the world. All three converging in 2026? Everything falls apart.
Let’s start with the one building the fastest: a U.S. Treasury funding shock.
In 2026, the U.S. has to issue record levels of debt. At the same time, deficits are ballooning, interest costs are climbing, foreign demand is fading, dealers are stretched thin, and auctions are showing stress.
In other words: the perfect recipe for a failed or severely strained long-end Treasury auction.
And this isn’t speculation. It’s already visible in the data: weaker auctions, bigger tails, fading indirect bids, rising volatility at the long end.
If this feels familiar, it should. This is exactly how the UK’s gilt crisis kicked off in 2022. Only now, the scale is global.
Why does this matter so much? Because everything takes its cue from Treasuries: mortgages, corporate credit, global FX, emerging-market borrowing, repo markets, derivatives, collateral.
If the long end shakes, the entire system shakes.
Now layer Japan on top of this.
Japan is the world’s biggest foreign buyer of Treasuries, and the backbone of global carry trades. If USD/JPY rockets to 160–180, the BOJ has to step in, carry trades start to unwind, Japanese pensions sell foreign bonds… and Treasury volatility shoots even higher.
Japan doesn’t just get hit, it amplifies the shock.
And then there’s China.
Behind the curtain sits a $9–11 trillion local-government debt bubble. One major LGFV or SOE failure → yuan devalues → emerging markets panic → commodities jump → the dollar spikes → U.S. yields jump again.
China becomes the second amplifier in the chain.
So what actually sets off the 2026 event?
➡️ A weak U.S. 10-year or 30-year auction.
One bad auction could be the moment yields spike, dealers step back, the dollar surges, global funding tightens, and risk assets are forced to reprice all at once.
Here’s what happens next.
Phase 1:
Long-end yields explode higher.
The dollar rips upward.
Liquidity disappears.
Japan intervenes.
The offshore yuan drops.
Credit spreads widen.
Bitcoin and tech sell off hard.
Silver trails gold.
Equities fall 20–30%.
This is a funding shock, not a solvency crisis and it moves fast.
Then comes the inevitable central-bank response: liquidity injections, swap lines, Treasury buybacks, maybe even temporary curve control.
It stabilizes the system… but it floods it with liquidity.
And that liquidity sets off Phase 2.
Phase 2 is where the opportunity shows up: real yields collapse, gold breaks out, silver leads, Bitcoin recovers, commodities surge, and the dollar finally peaks.
That’s the start of the 2026–2028 inflation wave.
Why does everything point to 2026?
Because multiple global stress cycles are all hitting their peak at once.
And the early-warning signal is already blinking: the MOVE index is climbing.
When MOVE + USD/JPY + the yuan + 10-year yields all start pushing in the same direction…
…you’re looking at a 1–3 month countdown clock.
Final thought: The world can absorb a recession.
What it can’t absorb is a disorderly Treasury market.
2026 is when that pressure finally breaks.
First with a funding shock, then with the biggest hard-asset bull run of the decade.
Follow me @Satoshi Sister for more content
Something big is coming for 2026. And no, it’s not another banking meltdown or a typical recession cycle. This time, the pressure is sitting right at the core of the global system: sovereign bonds.
The first red flag? The MOVE index. Bond volatility is waking up.
Right now, three silent fault lines around the world are straining at the same time:
1️⃣ U.S. Treasury funding
2️⃣ Japan’s yen and carry-trade system
3️⃣ China’s overleveraged credit machine
Any one of these snapping would be enough to shake the world. All three converging in 2026? Everything falls apart.
Let’s start with the one building the fastest: a U.S. Treasury funding shock.
In 2026, the U.S. has to issue record levels of debt. At the same time, deficits are ballooning, interest costs are climbing, foreign demand is fading, dealers are stretched thin, and auctions are showing stress.
In other words: the perfect recipe for a failed or severely strained long-end Treasury auction.
And this isn’t speculation. It’s already visible in the data: weaker auctions, bigger tails, fading indirect bids, rising volatility at the long end.
If this feels familiar, it should. This is exactly how the UK’s gilt crisis kicked off in 2022. Only now, the scale is global.
Why does this matter so much? Because everything takes its cue from Treasuries: mortgages, corporate credit, global FX, emerging-market borrowing, repo markets, derivatives, collateral.
If the long end shakes, the entire system shakes.
Now layer Japan on top of this.
Japan is the world’s biggest foreign buyer of Treasuries, and the backbone of global carry trades. If USD/JPY rockets to 160–180, the BOJ has to step in, carry trades start to unwind, Japanese pensions sell foreign bonds… and Treasury volatility shoots even higher.
Japan doesn’t just get hit, it amplifies the shock.
And then there’s China.
Behind the curtain sits a $9–11 trillion local-government debt bubble. One major LGFV or SOE failure → yuan devalues → emerging markets panic → commodities jump → the dollar spikes → U.S. yields jump again.
China becomes the second amplifier in the chain.
So what actually sets off the 2026 event?
➡️ A weak U.S. 10-year or 30-year auction.
One bad auction could be the moment yields spike, dealers step back, the dollar surges, global funding tightens, and risk assets are forced to reprice all at once.
Here’s what happens next.
Phase 1:
Long-end yields explode higher.
The dollar rips upward.
Liquidity disappears.
Japan intervenes.
The offshore yuan drops.
Credit spreads widen.
Bitcoin and tech sell off hard.
Silver trails gold.
Equities fall 20–30%.
This is a funding shock, not a solvency crisis and it moves fast.
Then comes the inevitable central-bank response: liquidity injections, swap lines, Treasury buybacks, maybe even temporary curve control.
It stabilizes the system… but it floods it with liquidity.
And that liquidity sets off Phase 2.
Phase 2 is where the opportunity shows up: real yields collapse, gold breaks out, silver leads, Bitcoin recovers, commodities surge, and the dollar finally peaks.
That’s the start of the 2026–2028 inflation wave.
Why does everything point to 2026?
Because multiple global stress cycles are all hitting their peak at once.
And the early-warning signal is already blinking: the MOVE index is climbing.
When MOVE + USD/JPY + the yuan + 10-year yields all start pushing in the same direction…
…you’re looking at a 1–3 month countdown clock.
Final thought: The world can absorb a recession.
What it can’t absorb is a disorderly Treasury market.
2026 is when that pressure finally breaks.
First with a funding shock, then with the biggest hard-asset bull run of the decade.
Follow me @Satoshi Sister for more content
Here is Your Playbook on How to Find Next 10x Alt
I've already made my first million in crypto this cycle.
To make urs, all u need is:
- Understanding of crowd psychology
- Time & consistency
- $1,000
Many will hate me for sharing this for FREE, but here's ur playbook on how to find next 1000x alt
Crypto is always cyclical, but yet, only a few people profit while the majority lose.
How? Through crowd manipulation.
Every cycle 99% of people don't buy when growth begins, thinking it's too late, then buy at ATH due to FOMO, and sell at lows cause they think it's over.
Pattern remains same, and the key to breaking free is to conquer FOMO.
It sounds simple, but tbh, it's incredibly challenging.
'Learn in ur 1st bull run, profit in ur 2nd, retire in ur 3rd' - not just pretty words, but reality for 90% of people.
I, too, have lived this truth.
What enabled me to finally succeed in the market, rather than falter?
1/➮ Market structure and patterns of crowd manipulation.
Not only bull run, but whole crypto is less about market fundamentals and more about psychology of the crowd.
Once you grasp this, u begin to win.
The essence of this strategy is as follows:
✧ "Buy before a project gets major attention, and sell when greed grows"
That is, when everyone is still afraid, we buy, and when greed and euphoria begin, we sell.
Here's how to find alt before the pump in more detail:
✧ The lowest prices are always during the Depression stage.
✧ At this stage, investors experience complete disappointment in the project.
✧ It's the perfect time to buy.
Here's how it looks on the chart
It's simple, but almost no one manages to do it.
Now I will tell you why and how to fix that, and then we will move on to how to find these coins
I'm sure u'll recognize urself now:
✧ When we're falling, we think it's the end is scam. (although when prices seemed too high, we wanted to enter the market during on dip cause of FUD)
✧ When pump starts, we think we're too late (even though our targets were higher before)
How does this happen over and over?
This is 2nd point that I needed to start making money in the market.
2/➮ People lack discipline: rules and a strategy they strictly follow.
Follow me @Satoshi Sister for more articles
Don’t forget to like,share and comment
To make urs, all u need is:
- Understanding of crowd psychology
- Time & consistency
- $1,000
Many will hate me for sharing this for FREE, but here's ur playbook on how to find next 1000x alt
Crypto is always cyclical, but yet, only a few people profit while the majority lose.
How? Through crowd manipulation.
Every cycle 99% of people don't buy when growth begins, thinking it's too late, then buy at ATH due to FOMO, and sell at lows cause they think it's over.
Pattern remains same, and the key to breaking free is to conquer FOMO.
It sounds simple, but tbh, it's incredibly challenging.
'Learn in ur 1st bull run, profit in ur 2nd, retire in ur 3rd' - not just pretty words, but reality for 90% of people.
I, too, have lived this truth.
What enabled me to finally succeed in the market, rather than falter?
1/➮ Market structure and patterns of crowd manipulation.
Not only bull run, but whole crypto is less about market fundamentals and more about psychology of the crowd.
Once you grasp this, u begin to win.
The essence of this strategy is as follows:
✧ "Buy before a project gets major attention, and sell when greed grows"
That is, when everyone is still afraid, we buy, and when greed and euphoria begin, we sell.
Here's how to find alt before the pump in more detail:
✧ The lowest prices are always during the Depression stage.
✧ At this stage, investors experience complete disappointment in the project.
✧ It's the perfect time to buy.
Here's how it looks on the chart
It's simple, but almost no one manages to do it.
Now I will tell you why and how to fix that, and then we will move on to how to find these coins
I'm sure u'll recognize urself now:
✧ When we're falling, we think it's the end is scam. (although when prices seemed too high, we wanted to enter the market during on dip cause of FUD)
✧ When pump starts, we think we're too late (even though our targets were higher before)
How does this happen over and over?
This is 2nd point that I needed to start making money in the market.
2/➮ People lack discipline: rules and a strategy they strictly follow.
Follow me @Satoshi Sister for more articles
Don’t forget to like,share and comment
No Title
I should charge for this...
But here is Liquidity finally explained for FREE
Enjoy
So what even is Liquidity?
It's simply stop loss orders.
Why do we are about this?
Because the markets only move for stop loss orders.
Why?
Because it allows those with billions (smart money) to get into and out of their positions.
Liquidity is the only thing that moves the markets.
Not market structure.
Not VWAP.
Not the next 'invention'
Liquidity worked 100 years ago and it will work in 100 years.
It's how ALL financial markets move.
Liquidity gives you the direction of the markets.
And once you get the direction you are 90% of the way there.
Without a direction you aren't trading but gambling.
How do you find Liquidity?
You use either the 4H, Daily or weekly.
And target major highs and lows.
Think support and resistance: Where would people place their stop loss?
And then target those areas.
You DON'T go below the 4H to determine your Liquidity.
Why?
Because smart money aren't looking at the 5 min.
There isn't enough 'money' for them to get into and out of their positions.
Use the higher time frames for you direction and lower time frames for your entries.
Now that we have our direction, we need a reliable entry so we can actually make money.
We use something called liquidity sweeps.
This is simply a stop run in the OPPOSITE direction of the bias determined above.
Any entry after a liquidity sweep is high probability.
Study this image below.
Can you see how price takes out an old high before quickly reversing?
That was our liquidity sweep or stop run.
Notice how we target the 4H Liquidity pool.
We only trade in the direction of the higher time frame Liquidity.
All you need now is a simple entry.
My 3 Golden Entries:
1) FVGs
2) OBs
3) OTEs
Pick ONE and master it.
Remember these patterns are useless with Liquidity and a sweep.
Liquidity is what makes you profitable.
So to make money with Liquidity do this:
1) Identify Liquidity on the 4H. This gives you your direction.
2) Wait for a Liquidity sweep on your ENTRY time frame. This gives you a high probability entry.
3) Enter on a simple entry once you have the above two.
If you enjoyed this article,don’t forget to
Follow @Satoshi Sister for more alpha articles
Like,comment and share
Thank you 🙏🏻
But here is Liquidity finally explained for FREE
Enjoy
So what even is Liquidity?
It's simply stop loss orders.
Why do we are about this?
Because the markets only move for stop loss orders.
Why?
Because it allows those with billions (smart money) to get into and out of their positions.
Liquidity is the only thing that moves the markets.
Not market structure.
Not VWAP.
Not the next 'invention'
Liquidity worked 100 years ago and it will work in 100 years.
It's how ALL financial markets move.
Liquidity gives you the direction of the markets.
And once you get the direction you are 90% of the way there.
Without a direction you aren't trading but gambling.
How do you find Liquidity?
You use either the 4H, Daily or weekly.
And target major highs and lows.
Think support and resistance: Where would people place their stop loss?
And then target those areas.
You DON'T go below the 4H to determine your Liquidity.
Why?
Because smart money aren't looking at the 5 min.
There isn't enough 'money' for them to get into and out of their positions.
Use the higher time frames for you direction and lower time frames for your entries.
Now that we have our direction, we need a reliable entry so we can actually make money.
We use something called liquidity sweeps.
This is simply a stop run in the OPPOSITE direction of the bias determined above.
Any entry after a liquidity sweep is high probability.
Study this image below.
Can you see how price takes out an old high before quickly reversing?
That was our liquidity sweep or stop run.
Notice how we target the 4H Liquidity pool.
We only trade in the direction of the higher time frame Liquidity.
All you need now is a simple entry.
My 3 Golden Entries:
1) FVGs
2) OBs
3) OTEs
Pick ONE and master it.
Remember these patterns are useless with Liquidity and a sweep.
Liquidity is what makes you profitable.
So to make money with Liquidity do this:
1) Identify Liquidity on the 4H. This gives you your direction.
2) Wait for a Liquidity sweep on your ENTRY time frame. This gives you a high probability entry.
3) Enter on a simple entry once you have the above two.
If you enjoyed this article,don’t forget to
Follow @Satoshi Sister for more alpha articles
Like,comment and share
Thank you 🙏🏻
If you’ve been reading my posts for a while and they’ve helped you trade better, understand the market clearer, or simply avoid a dumb decision, hit that Follow button @Satoshi Sister
I’m dropping daily insights, setups, market psychology, narrative breakdowns, and the type of straight-to-the-point clarity you don’t get from the usual noise on your feed.
No fluff.
No forced hype.
Just real signals, real reads, and real experience in this market.
If you’re trying to level up your crypto journey, this is the page you want to follow.
Bull or bear, I’ll keep you ahead of the crowd.
Let’s grow together.
I’m dropping daily insights, setups, market psychology, narrative breakdowns, and the type of straight-to-the-point clarity you don’t get from the usual noise on your feed.
No fluff.
No forced hype.
Just real signals, real reads, and real experience in this market.
If you’re trying to level up your crypto journey, this is the page you want to follow.
Bull or bear, I’ll keep you ahead of the crowd.
Let’s grow together.
Good Morning.
PLEASE READ THIS CAREFULLY!
I have said it before - I will say it again.
A massive Recession and Crisis are coming. The largest since 1930s.
The money printing of Central Banks have created a Monster in the Financial Markets.
Extreme over-valuations. A massive Bubble!
The Everything Bubble will burst! And we are getting closer.
The LEADING INDICATORS in my Business Cycle model rolled over in November 2024.
This has correctly identified Recessions (all - and no extra) since 1950.
Before THE GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS they rolled over in November 2006.
The Titanic has hit the iceberg - and there is no going back.
The COINCIDENT INDICATORS are the ones telling us WHEN it begins - together with our IMMINENT RECESSION INDICATORS.
This is when the Titanic actually sinks!
Before THE GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS they rolled over in November 2007.
The Recession began December 2007. Market topped October 2007.
These are suggesting that we are closing in on a point where it could begin! I say it again… “Closing in”!
HOWEVER - not signalling it just yet - but closing in!
In the FINAL PHASE - the Stock Market and Crypto will rally hard.
This is the due to the LIQUIDITY from Central Banks.
This phase has now begun!
Stock market, BTC, ETH, Altcoins will soar into December. Investors will be believe it is the “All Clear” signal.
They can not be more wrong!
At the same time we see the DXY developing a massive BOTTOMING PATTERN.
The RALLY in DXY is going to be extreme into 2026.
I cannot warn especially Crypto- and Bitcoin junkies enough - DESPITE the RALLY in these assets we likely will see into the final phase. ALTSEASON and new extreme ATHs.
There is NO FANCY THEORY on DIGITAL CODE!
It is complete NONSENSE!
And the ECONOMY IS SLOWING DOWN!
Be very, very careful!
Understand and treat this for what it is. A massive BUBBLE - which may seem to promise ENDLESS PROSPERITY! But it is a MIRAGE!
And it will BURST!
I hope and want the best for all of you!
PLEASE READ THIS CAREFULLY!
I have said it before - I will say it again.
A massive Recession and Crisis are coming. The largest since 1930s.
The money printing of Central Banks have created a Monster in the Financial Markets.
Extreme over-valuations. A massive Bubble!
The Everything Bubble will burst! And we are getting closer.
The LEADING INDICATORS in my Business Cycle model rolled over in November 2024.
This has correctly identified Recessions (all - and no extra) since 1950.
Before THE GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS they rolled over in November 2006.
The Titanic has hit the iceberg - and there is no going back.
The COINCIDENT INDICATORS are the ones telling us WHEN it begins - together with our IMMINENT RECESSION INDICATORS.
This is when the Titanic actually sinks!
Before THE GREAT FINANCIAL CRISIS they rolled over in November 2007.
The Recession began December 2007. Market topped October 2007.
These are suggesting that we are closing in on a point where it could begin! I say it again… “Closing in”!
HOWEVER - not signalling it just yet - but closing in!
In the FINAL PHASE - the Stock Market and Crypto will rally hard.
This is the due to the LIQUIDITY from Central Banks.
This phase has now begun!
Stock market, BTC, ETH, Altcoins will soar into December. Investors will be believe it is the “All Clear” signal.
They can not be more wrong!
At the same time we see the DXY developing a massive BOTTOMING PATTERN.
The RALLY in DXY is going to be extreme into 2026.
I cannot warn especially Crypto- and Bitcoin junkies enough - DESPITE the RALLY in these assets we likely will see into the final phase. ALTSEASON and new extreme ATHs.
There is NO FANCY THEORY on DIGITAL CODE!
It is complete NONSENSE!
And the ECONOMY IS SLOWING DOWN!
Be very, very careful!
Understand and treat this for what it is. A massive BUBBLE - which may seem to promise ENDLESS PROSPERITY! But it is a MIRAGE!
And it will BURST!
I hope and want the best for all of you!
Here is Future of Crypto and What you Should do Now
2025 - FINAL BULL RUN IN CRYPTO HISTORY
Massive bubbles and quantum tech could break crypto
Your last chance to sell at top or lose it all…
Here's future of crypto and what you should do now
Before we start
I've poured hours of research into this. Like, share and comment on this article and FOLLOW me - @Satoshi Sister your support fuels more ALPHA content.
Thank you!
1✎
꩜ Most traders blindly believe that crypto will keep growing forever...
꩜ They wait for ETFs, mass adoption… but blindly ignore that the system is already cracking at the seams!
꩜ I know the truth you won’t want to hear: - the market has hit the limits of technology, here’s what happens next
2✎
꩜ The crypto market right now is a system that lives only on another hype - AI
꩜ All capital is held not on "new technologies," but on the narrative.
꩜ This narrative has one fatal vulnerability - Nvidia.
3✎
꩜ Why? Because if one element fails, the whole system will collapse.
꩜ If a company stumbles under pressure, faces chip shortages, or geopolitical issues, the entire AI bubble will burst
꩜ The crypto market will be the FIRST to fall after it.
4✎
꩜ But looking even more globally – this is just the beginning.
꩜ Because what could truly bury crypto is already being built in labs.
꩜ And that is a QUANTUM COMPUTER, and unfortunately, this is a coming reality.
5✎
꩜ The problem is that all BTC and ETH security relies on encryption algorithms – ECDSA and ED25519.
꩜ Quantum computers, using Shor’s algorithm, will be able to break these encryptions in just a few hours.
꩜ The ability to control private keys -> control crypto is under threat.
6✎
꩜ This is not just a fantasy, all industry leaders have long understood this.
꩜ Even Vitalik Buterin acknowledges this problem, with the solution being migration to Post-Quantum Standards.
꩜ But you must understand – this is a process that takes years… and if the threat comes earlier – we will lose crypto.
7✎
꩜ That’s not all, the US debt has surpassed $36 trillion, and interest payments already exceed $1 trillion per year.
꩜ The time has come when debt grows faster than the ability to service it.
8✎
꩜ Some analysts believe the system can be saved by printing money.
꩜ But this "drug" is already losing its effect.
꩜ Each new trillion dollars gives less and less impulse to the markets, but kills the value of money…
꩜ It’s only an illusion of growth that leads to the collapse of the system on which crypto still depends.
9✎
꩜ If ALL these problems are not solved in the coming years – forget about longs ALTOGETHER.
꩜ This cycle may be the last before the crypto we know changes beyond recognition.
꩜ To understand this, it’s enough just to be realistic.
Follow me @Satoshi Sister sister for more alpha articles like this
Massive bubbles and quantum tech could break crypto
Your last chance to sell at top or lose it all…
Here's future of crypto and what you should do now
Before we start
I've poured hours of research into this. Like, share and comment on this article and FOLLOW me - @Satoshi Sister your support fuels more ALPHA content.
Thank you!
1✎
꩜ Most traders blindly believe that crypto will keep growing forever...
꩜ They wait for ETFs, mass adoption… but blindly ignore that the system is already cracking at the seams!
꩜ I know the truth you won’t want to hear: - the market has hit the limits of technology, here’s what happens next
2✎
꩜ The crypto market right now is a system that lives only on another hype - AI
꩜ All capital is held not on "new technologies," but on the narrative.
꩜ This narrative has one fatal vulnerability - Nvidia.
3✎
꩜ Why? Because if one element fails, the whole system will collapse.
꩜ If a company stumbles under pressure, faces chip shortages, or geopolitical issues, the entire AI bubble will burst
꩜ The crypto market will be the FIRST to fall after it.
4✎
꩜ But looking even more globally – this is just the beginning.
꩜ Because what could truly bury crypto is already being built in labs.
꩜ And that is a QUANTUM COMPUTER, and unfortunately, this is a coming reality.
5✎
꩜ The problem is that all BTC and ETH security relies on encryption algorithms – ECDSA and ED25519.
꩜ Quantum computers, using Shor’s algorithm, will be able to break these encryptions in just a few hours.
꩜ The ability to control private keys -> control crypto is under threat.
6✎
꩜ This is not just a fantasy, all industry leaders have long understood this.
꩜ Even Vitalik Buterin acknowledges this problem, with the solution being migration to Post-Quantum Standards.
꩜ But you must understand – this is a process that takes years… and if the threat comes earlier – we will lose crypto.
7✎
꩜ That’s not all, the US debt has surpassed $36 trillion, and interest payments already exceed $1 trillion per year.
꩜ The time has come when debt grows faster than the ability to service it.
8✎
꩜ Some analysts believe the system can be saved by printing money.
꩜ But this "drug" is already losing its effect.
꩜ Each new trillion dollars gives less and less impulse to the markets, but kills the value of money…
꩜ It’s only an illusion of growth that leads to the collapse of the system on which crypto still depends.
9✎
꩜ If ALL these problems are not solved in the coming years – forget about longs ALTOGETHER.
꩜ This cycle may be the last before the crypto we know changes beyond recognition.
꩜ To understand this, it’s enough just to be realistic.
Follow me @Satoshi Sister sister for more alpha articles like this
Here are 10 Alts with 150–200x Upside Potential
This was the FINAL shakeout before Altseason
We're entering the real uptrend now, and altcoins will skyrocket in a few days.
Pick a few lowcaps today and become a millionaire by the end of 2025.
Here are 10 alts with 150–200x upside potential
Before we start, please follow me @Satoshi Sister , Like and comment on this article
I’ve put a lot of effort into this article and I’d truly appreciate your support in sharing this valuable knowledge.
Major crypto rallies often follow a clear pattern that typically lasts around 4 years.
They start with a slow buildup with shakeouts, then shift to rapid growth before dipping sharply, repeating this cycle each time.
Corrections happen naturally in every uptrend - they clear out excessive leverage, filter out weaker holders, and set a solid base for a bigger rally later on.
In the past, both $BTC and alts have had several shakeouts of 20-40% even when we were in an uptrend.
In 2017 and 2021, those who caught early trends and switched to lowcaps did best when things took off.
This time feels the same, and here are the alts I'm buying right now
✦ $FIL 〔 @Filecoin 〕
Filecoin serves as a pioneering open-source decentralized platform designed to securely store critical global data at scale.
→ Sector: DePIN
→ Price: $1.61
→ Market Cap: $1.2B
✦ $RENDER 〔 @rendernetwork 〕
Render Network delivers cutting-edge decentralized GPU-based rendering services, transforming digital content creation workflows.
→ Sector: AI
→ Price: $1.71
→ Market Cap: $889M
✦ $HNT 〔 @helium 〕
Helium is an open-source blockchain platform designed for IoT ecosystems, facilitating secure data exchange through its network of dedicated gateway nodes.
→ Sector: DePIN
→ Price: $1.99
→ Market Cap: $370M
✦ $SUI 〔 @SuiNetwork 〕
Sui is an innovative L1 blockchain platform engineered for global scalability, providing a robust and secure foundation for decentralized applications.
→ Sector: Infrastructure
→ Price: $1.38
→ Market Cap: $5.1B
✦ $RIO 〔 @realio_network 〕
Realio offers a comprehensive blockchain-powered SaaS solution enabling seamless issuance, investment, and lifecycle management of digital securities and cryptoassets.
→ Sector: RWA
→ Price: $0.14
→ Market Cap: $25M
✦ $ONDO 〔 @OndoFoundation 〕
Ondo is an innovative financial infrastructure solution that aims to elevate market performance by promoting efficiency, transparency, and broader access.
→ Sector: RWA
→ Price: $0.47
→ Market Cap: $1.5B
✦ $RAY 〔 @raydiumprotocol 〕
Raydium is a decentralized exchange (DEX) and AMM liquidity solution leveraging Solana's high-performance blockchain for efficient trading and yield generation.
→ Sector: DeFi
→ Price: $1.04
→ Market Cap: $279M
✦ $BAND 〔 @bandprotocol 〕
Band Protocol serves as a cross-chain data oracle solution, seamlessly aggregating and linking real-world data and APIs with smart contracts for enhanced interoperability.
→ Sector: Infrastructure
→ Price: $0.38
→ Market Cap: $63M
✦ $BERA 〔 @berachain 〕
Berachain is a L1 EVM blockchain leveraging Proof of Liquidity (PoL), an innovative consensus protocol that seamlessly combines network security and liquidity provisioning.
→ Sector: Infrastructure
→ Price: $1.03
→ Market Cap: $137M
✦ $JUP 〔 @JupiterExchange 〕
Project Jupiter enables seamless token swaps across Solana's DEX landscape, optimizing prices while minimizing slippage and costs for users.
→ Sector: DeFi
→ Price: $0.23
→ Market Cap: $754M
If you enjoyed this article,don’t forget to
Follow me @Satoshi Sister
Like,comment and share this article
Thank you
We're entering the real uptrend now, and altcoins will skyrocket in a few days.
Pick a few lowcaps today and become a millionaire by the end of 2025.
Here are 10 alts with 150–200x upside potential
Before we start, please follow me @Satoshi Sister , Like and comment on this article
I’ve put a lot of effort into this article and I’d truly appreciate your support in sharing this valuable knowledge.
Major crypto rallies often follow a clear pattern that typically lasts around 4 years.
They start with a slow buildup with shakeouts, then shift to rapid growth before dipping sharply, repeating this cycle each time.
Corrections happen naturally in every uptrend - they clear out excessive leverage, filter out weaker holders, and set a solid base for a bigger rally later on.
In the past, both $BTC and alts have had several shakeouts of 20-40% even when we were in an uptrend.
In 2017 and 2021, those who caught early trends and switched to lowcaps did best when things took off.
This time feels the same, and here are the alts I'm buying right now
✦ $FIL 〔 @Filecoin 〕
Filecoin serves as a pioneering open-source decentralized platform designed to securely store critical global data at scale.
→ Sector: DePIN
→ Price: $1.61
→ Market Cap: $1.2B
✦ $RENDER 〔 @rendernetwork 〕
Render Network delivers cutting-edge decentralized GPU-based rendering services, transforming digital content creation workflows.
→ Sector: AI
→ Price: $1.71
→ Market Cap: $889M
✦ $HNT 〔 @helium 〕
Helium is an open-source blockchain platform designed for IoT ecosystems, facilitating secure data exchange through its network of dedicated gateway nodes.
→ Sector: DePIN
→ Price: $1.99
→ Market Cap: $370M
✦ $SUI 〔 @SuiNetwork 〕
Sui is an innovative L1 blockchain platform engineered for global scalability, providing a robust and secure foundation for decentralized applications.
→ Sector: Infrastructure
→ Price: $1.38
→ Market Cap: $5.1B
✦ $RIO 〔 @realio_network 〕
Realio offers a comprehensive blockchain-powered SaaS solution enabling seamless issuance, investment, and lifecycle management of digital securities and cryptoassets.
→ Sector: RWA
→ Price: $0.14
→ Market Cap: $25M
✦ $ONDO 〔 @OndoFoundation 〕
Ondo is an innovative financial infrastructure solution that aims to elevate market performance by promoting efficiency, transparency, and broader access.
→ Sector: RWA
→ Price: $0.47
→ Market Cap: $1.5B
✦ $RAY 〔 @raydiumprotocol 〕
Raydium is a decentralized exchange (DEX) and AMM liquidity solution leveraging Solana's high-performance blockchain for efficient trading and yield generation.
→ Sector: DeFi
→ Price: $1.04
→ Market Cap: $279M
✦ $BAND 〔 @bandprotocol 〕
Band Protocol serves as a cross-chain data oracle solution, seamlessly aggregating and linking real-world data and APIs with smart contracts for enhanced interoperability.
→ Sector: Infrastructure
→ Price: $0.38
→ Market Cap: $63M
✦ $BERA 〔 @berachain 〕
Berachain is a L1 EVM blockchain leveraging Proof of Liquidity (PoL), an innovative consensus protocol that seamlessly combines network security and liquidity provisioning.
→ Sector: Infrastructure
→ Price: $1.03
→ Market Cap: $137M
✦ $JUP 〔 @JupiterExchange 〕
Project Jupiter enables seamless token swaps across Solana's DEX landscape, optimizing prices while minimizing slippage and costs for users.
→ Sector: DeFi
→ Price: $0.23
→ Market Cap: $754M
If you enjoyed this article,don’t forget to
Follow me @Satoshi Sister
Like,comment and share this article
Thank you
THIS 4CHAN WHALE PREDICTED 99% OF MARKET MOVES!
If streak continues, expect this for $BTC:
- November 2025 – $81,540
- January 2026 – $99,730
- March 2026 – $142,690
STAY BULLISH & HODL YOUR CRYPTO
If streak continues, expect this for $BTC:
- November 2025 – $81,540
- January 2026 – $99,730
- March 2026 – $142,690
STAY BULLISH & HODL YOUR CRYPTO
We Could Definitely Bounce Here
But truth of the matter is that Bitcoin has lost some significant key levels.
We can all still speculate IF Bitcoin quickly reclaims this or that but statistically chances of that are slim right now.
I'll be all for it when it does but trends continue at least 80% of the time and just 20% is the reversal.
Daily is clearly in a downtrend. Anyone that doesn't see this on the chart below is delusional.
The bull case some have is likely based on the weekly but that's starting to looks worse and worse lately.
The reason I don't like current price action is once again based on the chart below.
We've been trading from key level to key level. Which is what the markets always do.
And right now there's quite a bit a room left open to fill that Bitcoin could retest.
If we are in a bear market do I think we'll go all the way back to $50k and below?
No, I think the days of 80% correction are over.
1/ Bitcoin is a bigger asset class than ever before
2/ ETF introduction
3/ Institutional adoption
4/ Countries jumping on it
Include the fact that bitcoin usually almost never goes a lot below the previous all time high.
It always bottoms around that area which is +-70k.
But even that has been without ETF and institutional adoption.
So I think the odds are more likely $80,000 would be a bottoming area if we are truly in a bear market.
The bottoms won't be that steep anymore back when Bitcoin was smaller.
Alts however is a different thing. They will still continue that trend or heavy retracement and surges in between.
I'm as bullish as anyone could be about this market. But I'm also adaptable.
If it was as easy as:
"See! Many are starting to become bearish! Easiest pump ever!"
Then we would have pumped ages ago guys. There's no magic button anyone pushes when x or Y happens.
I was extremely bullish at $50k when we dropped from $70k while many flipped bias as well.
Today I think the market is in a trickier positions as we lost some key levels we did not lose back then.
Hence nothing wrong to preserve my wealth for when it truly matters.
Does this mean I'm selling all my positions? Actually no.
It mostly means I'm not jumping into new opportunities. Preserving what I have is key now and reevaluate.
I have a specific strategy that I already have sold what I needed when things go up. Or when I truly stop believing in a project.
Right now some alts have already been so hammered down that I just keep the partials I still have.
The stables I've gathered on better days that's what will go into an observe and see status.
Max deployment for when I truly think is the best moment to do so.
Untill then stay safe friends ❤️
Follow me @Satoshi Sister for more alpha articles
We can all still speculate IF Bitcoin quickly reclaims this or that but statistically chances of that are slim right now.
I'll be all for it when it does but trends continue at least 80% of the time and just 20% is the reversal.
Daily is clearly in a downtrend. Anyone that doesn't see this on the chart below is delusional.
The bull case some have is likely based on the weekly but that's starting to looks worse and worse lately.
The reason I don't like current price action is once again based on the chart below.
We've been trading from key level to key level. Which is what the markets always do.
And right now there's quite a bit a room left open to fill that Bitcoin could retest.
If we are in a bear market do I think we'll go all the way back to $50k and below?
No, I think the days of 80% correction are over.
1/ Bitcoin is a bigger asset class than ever before
2/ ETF introduction
3/ Institutional adoption
4/ Countries jumping on it
Include the fact that bitcoin usually almost never goes a lot below the previous all time high.
It always bottoms around that area which is +-70k.
But even that has been without ETF and institutional adoption.
So I think the odds are more likely $80,000 would be a bottoming area if we are truly in a bear market.
The bottoms won't be that steep anymore back when Bitcoin was smaller.
Alts however is a different thing. They will still continue that trend or heavy retracement and surges in between.
I'm as bullish as anyone could be about this market. But I'm also adaptable.
If it was as easy as:
"See! Many are starting to become bearish! Easiest pump ever!"
Then we would have pumped ages ago guys. There's no magic button anyone pushes when x or Y happens.
I was extremely bullish at $50k when we dropped from $70k while many flipped bias as well.
Today I think the market is in a trickier positions as we lost some key levels we did not lose back then.
Hence nothing wrong to preserve my wealth for when it truly matters.
Does this mean I'm selling all my positions? Actually no.
It mostly means I'm not jumping into new opportunities. Preserving what I have is key now and reevaluate.
I have a specific strategy that I already have sold what I needed when things go up. Or when I truly stop believing in a project.
Right now some alts have already been so hammered down that I just keep the partials I still have.
The stables I've gathered on better days that's what will go into an observe and see status.
Max deployment for when I truly think is the best moment to do so.
Untill then stay safe friends ❤️
Follow me @Satoshi Sister for more alpha articles
Real talk: Altcoins are wealth transfer mechanisms.
VC rounds >> Influencer shills >> Retail buys >> Insiders dump.
I trade them because volatility = opportunity.
But I don't hold them forever.
>90% Bitcoin. Always.
The other 10%? Trading instruments. In and out.
"This is the new Bitcoin" = You're exit liquidity.
VC rounds >> Influencer shills >> Retail buys >> Insiders dump.
I trade them because volatility = opportunity.
But I don't hold them forever.
>90% Bitcoin. Always.
The other 10%? Trading instruments. In and out.
"This is the new Bitcoin" = You're exit liquidity.
Altcoins are Insanely Bullish Here
Altcoins are insanely bullish here.
But the timeline would have you believe the total opposite.
Which sets up the perfect conditions for what comes next.
Altcoin expansion.
The disbelief and resignation to doom has never been greater.
Almost all will disagree with this, but the upside potential here is as great as it will ever be.
And this chart right here, TOTAL3/BTC, shows us absolutely everything we need to know.
This is not my opinion guys... this is an objective chart that any of you can go and look at yourself.
So what have we got here?
As you can see I have noted that within the last cycle, TOTAL3/BTC was in a downtrend for 1,092 days...
Then just as everyone capitulated, it giga fucking pumped for months on end.
This cycle it has now been in a downtrend for 1,085 days...
In addition, it has just about finished printing a reverse head and shoulders.
Guys... It doesn't get more bullish.
Yes, the vast majority of alts have been down only or sideways, but that is my very point.
Altcoins are not bearish because they haven't moved... that makes them bullish(because they have so much room TO move).
Altcoins would bearish if this chart had been breaking out and up only for months, like it did in 2021, and then broke structure just like I have circled in red on the chart.
That is what would be classed as bearish.
Because after that kind of expansion comes the contraction.
That is when you should be worried.
But how can they be bearish if they have not even expanded in general yet, or against BTC?
The cold hard fact here that almost no one seems to understand is that nothing about the overall market setup screams top.
As well as this chart we have:
- Both BTC and ETH holding HTF structure
- TOTAL, TOTAL2 and TOTAL3 coiling upwards
- USDT.D holding bearish HTF
- BTC.D at 60% completing bearish retest
- ETH/BTC highly bullish
All of this is coming together at the exact time that we are entering the highest probability for a market bottom.
Go figure...
But the timeline would have you believe the total opposite.
Which sets up the perfect conditions for what comes next.
Altcoin expansion.
The disbelief and resignation to doom has never been greater.
Almost all will disagree with this, but the upside potential here is as great as it will ever be.
And this chart right here, TOTAL3/BTC, shows us absolutely everything we need to know.
This is not my opinion guys... this is an objective chart that any of you can go and look at yourself.
So what have we got here?
As you can see I have noted that within the last cycle, TOTAL3/BTC was in a downtrend for 1,092 days...
Then just as everyone capitulated, it giga fucking pumped for months on end.
This cycle it has now been in a downtrend for 1,085 days...
In addition, it has just about finished printing a reverse head and shoulders.
Guys... It doesn't get more bullish.
Yes, the vast majority of alts have been down only or sideways, but that is my very point.
Altcoins are not bearish because they haven't moved... that makes them bullish(because they have so much room TO move).
Altcoins would bearish if this chart had been breaking out and up only for months, like it did in 2021, and then broke structure just like I have circled in red on the chart.
That is what would be classed as bearish.
Because after that kind of expansion comes the contraction.
That is when you should be worried.
But how can they be bearish if they have not even expanded in general yet, or against BTC?
The cold hard fact here that almost no one seems to understand is that nothing about the overall market setup screams top.
As well as this chart we have:
- Both BTC and ETH holding HTF structure
- TOTAL, TOTAL2 and TOTAL3 coiling upwards
- USDT.D holding bearish HTF
- BTC.D at 60% completing bearish retest
- ETH/BTC highly bullish
All of this is coming together at the exact time that we are entering the highest probability for a market bottom.
Go figure...
IF YOU’RE AFRAID - NOTE THESE 6 STEPS:
1. $BTC will be in accumulation by end of NOV
2. After Nov 20, $BTC will show strength
3. FED will cut rates by 50 BPS on 12.10.25
4. $BTC will break ATH
5. JAN-FEB we’ll reach a peak ~$170k, $ETH - $6k+
6. Start of ALTSEASON
Just note this...
1. $BTC will be in accumulation by end of NOV
2. After Nov 20, $BTC will show strength
3. FED will cut rates by 50 BPS on 12.10.25
4. $BTC will break ATH
5. JAN-FEB we’ll reach a peak ~$170k, $ETH - $6k+
6. Start of ALTSEASON
Just note this...
Altseason does not announce itself. It emerges.
The early phase is always the same: disbelief.
Positioning is misaligned.
Liquidity compresses quietly.
Then a single breakout resets the regime.
Price accelerates +50%, +70%, +100% before the narrative has time to adjust.
Narratives follow flows — not the other way around.
When rotation begins, it establishes a trend, not a moment.
For anyone convinced Q4 is already decided, a reminder:
Markets can reprice in a single session —
and they can reprice conviction just as quickly.
A final flush toward the high-$90Ks remains plausible,
but given the strength of underlying capital flows, the next leg higher is a matter of timing, not probability.
The early phase is always the same: disbelief.
Positioning is misaligned.
Liquidity compresses quietly.
Then a single breakout resets the regime.
Price accelerates +50%, +70%, +100% before the narrative has time to adjust.
Narratives follow flows — not the other way around.
When rotation begins, it establishes a trend, not a moment.
For anyone convinced Q4 is already decided, a reminder:
Markets can reprice in a single session —
and they can reprice conviction just as quickly.
A final flush toward the high-$90Ks remains plausible,
but given the strength of underlying capital flows, the next leg higher is a matter of timing, not probability.
#TOTAL3 Altcoins
As long as the blue box support zone holds, the higher-timeframe bullish structure for altcoins remains intact.
Momentum continues to track along the trendline support — maintaining this structure keeps the market positioned for another impulse move that could start at any point.
Only a break and daily close below the trend support would signal weakening momentum, opening room for a deeper pullback into the weekly support inside the blue box.
Until then, the bias stays constructive — structure is holding, and momentum is building quietly.
#TOTAL3 #Altcoins
As long as the blue box support zone holds, the higher-timeframe bullish structure for altcoins remains intact.
Momentum continues to track along the trendline support — maintaining this structure keeps the market positioned for another impulse move that could start at any point.
Only a break and daily close below the trend support would signal weakening momentum, opening room for a deeper pullback into the weekly support inside the blue box.
Until then, the bias stays constructive — structure is holding, and momentum is building quietly.
#TOTAL3 #Altcoins
Bitcoin Bollinger Band compression now at the greatest in history.
Each compression bottom marked the beginning of the final impulse, with diminishing lengths and returns.
2018-2019: 9 months +5,200%
2020-2021: 7 months +600%
2025-2026: 5 months +70%
So roughly 160k-190k target in the coming months. The move is imminent...
Each compression bottom marked the beginning of the final impulse, with diminishing lengths and returns.
2018-2019: 9 months +5,200%
2020-2021: 7 months +600%
2025-2026: 5 months +70%
So roughly 160k-190k target in the coming months. The move is imminent...
Altcoins (others) vs bitcoin Strong bounce off a 10 year old support line.
I don't want to say the two words that have happened everytime this bounced previously....
But they end in 'lt' 'oin' 'eason'...
Conveniently, also
US gov shutdown is done
War in Ukraine, peace deal coming..
US / China trade deal coming.
Interest rate cuts coming
Fed steps towards quantitative easing for first time since 2021 bull market...
p.s. If you think the bull market finished, and you're still on CT rather than living your life or trying to make money, some other way, then tell me you're a loser without telling me you're a loser.
I don't want to say the two words that have happened everytime this bounced previously....
But they end in 'lt' 'oin' 'eason'...
Conveniently, also
US gov shutdown is done
War in Ukraine, peace deal coming..
US / China trade deal coming.
Interest rate cuts coming
Fed steps towards quantitative easing for first time since 2021 bull market...
p.s. If you think the bull market finished, and you're still on CT rather than living your life or trying to make money, some other way, then tell me you're a loser without telling me you're a loser.
I don't care what any single person says...
There WILL be a period of Altcoin outperformance.
The most unpopular opinion right now is that Bitcoin goes to $200k+ and alts actually perform.
Hardly anyone actually thinks that is possible.
Most are expecting downside here and alts to die.
They're wrong.
This cycle is not over.
I have presented countless posts of data and evidence as to why i think this will happen...
And I don't care if your "feelings" disagree with it.
I have a thesis, I will back it up all the way, until I am invalidated or it comes to pass.
That is the game and I am ok with the rules.
There WILL be a period of Altcoin outperformance.
The most unpopular opinion right now is that Bitcoin goes to $200k+ and alts actually perform.
Hardly anyone actually thinks that is possible.
Most are expecting downside here and alts to die.
They're wrong.
This cycle is not over.
I have presented countless posts of data and evidence as to why i think this will happen...
And I don't care if your "feelings" disagree with it.
I have a thesis, I will back it up all the way, until I am invalidated or it comes to pass.
That is the game and I am ok with the rules.
Stablecoins are still hot. I think $XPL & $ENA, previously loved coins, are good contenders for a decent squeeze if $BTC & $ETH can find a local bottom around this area.
It takes just a few days of green candles without instant retracements and you'll see people ape back into the coins they loved previously. Especially now they are at -50% to -80% "discounts" compared to just a month ago.
The way some alts are trading points to some selling exhaustion as they are holding up okay relative to BTC on these intra-day sell offs. ETH/BTC also grinding higher the past week.
Still think it's important to keep watching the higher timeframe view and don't get too excited at resistance or too bearish at supports. Market has endured a lot of pain recently and is still extremely choppy.
But I do think we will see some kind multi-week relief on some of these coins at some point. Even if, in the worst case, it's just another lower high in a larger bear trend.
Whether you want to participate in those kind of moves is of course personal preference. At this point in the cycle I'd always be ready for either scenario.
For now, bulls would want to try and get a few green candles in a row to get the market out of this current area. That would build some confidence that a larger relief bounce could be due. Because right now, it's up one day, down the other. Technically charts are building a decent base around this area, but it's a pain for most traders trying to trade this actively.
I'm paying attention at these areas on a variety of coins.
$BTC
$ETH
It takes just a few days of green candles without instant retracements and you'll see people ape back into the coins they loved previously. Especially now they are at -50% to -80% "discounts" compared to just a month ago.
The way some alts are trading points to some selling exhaustion as they are holding up okay relative to BTC on these intra-day sell offs. ETH/BTC also grinding higher the past week.
Still think it's important to keep watching the higher timeframe view and don't get too excited at resistance or too bearish at supports. Market has endured a lot of pain recently and is still extremely choppy.
But I do think we will see some kind multi-week relief on some of these coins at some point. Even if, in the worst case, it's just another lower high in a larger bear trend.
Whether you want to participate in those kind of moves is of course personal preference. At this point in the cycle I'd always be ready for either scenario.
For now, bulls would want to try and get a few green candles in a row to get the market out of this current area. That would build some confidence that a larger relief bounce could be due. Because right now, it's up one day, down the other. Technically charts are building a decent base around this area, but it's a pain for most traders trying to trade this actively.
I'm paying attention at these areas on a variety of coins.
$BTC
$ETH
Here is How to Spot the Exact ATH of each Cycle
Most think cycle top was at $125K
But in reality it's just Optimism phase
I analyzed 50 peak indicators and was shocked
Here's how to spot the exact ATH of each cycle
❶
Historically, each cycle follows the same psychological curve
Currently, we are between "skepticism" and "optimism" - still before euphoria
The main profit is made exactly here, while everyone is still doubting
But it's also easy and quick to lose everything - if you don't understand when to exit in time
❷
Because as soon as the market touches the peak - everything falls twice as fast
That's why it's important to learn how to predict the reversal point
Not during the dump, not after the crash, but beforehand - while there's still liquidity
❸
Every bull run starts with fear and ends with greed
The Fear & Greed Index clearly shows where we are on the curve of these emotions
- When most are fearful - the bottom is forming
- When in greed - the top
In 2021 the index reached 95, signaling overheating
Now it's only 32, which means there's still time to buy more
❹
The Altseason Index measures the share of altcoins outperforming Bitcoin in profitability
When the index rises, it means capital is starting to seek higher risk
At the peaks of previous cycles, the index exceeded 90 - that was true euphoria
Today it's only 39, so altseason hasn't even started
❺
Google Trends shows when the market shifts from reason to emotion
During peaks, everyone googles "how to buy crypto" - and that’s always the end
Now interest is almost zero, the public is indifferent
And indifference is the best ground for a major move
❻
There’s also no meme coin mania - $DOGE and $SHIB are asleep
In 2021 they were the ones that burned the market before the crash
The meme phase is always the final stage of the cycle
It’s not here yet - which means the end is not close
❼
Now to technical indicators that predict tops accurately
1. Pi Cycle Top - the moment the market is overheated
2. MVRV Z-Score - deviation of price from fair value
3. RHODL Ratio - ratio of old to new coins
4. ISM Izdex - indicator of US economic overheating
5. AHR999 - estimate of distance from "fair base"
❽
Pi Cycle Top
An indicator that has predicted every $BTC top with accuracy down to a few days
The signal triggers when the 111-day average crosses the 350-day ×2
In 2013, 2017 and 2021 this exact crossover marked the final bull run phase
Now the lines are still far apart - upside is open
❾
MVRV Z-Score
Shows how far the market cap has deviated from the real one
If the score exceeds 7, the market is overheated - historically this is the final top zone
In the past this indicator hit the red zone literally days before the dump
Now the value is below 2 - the market is far from overheating
❿
RHODL Ratio
Measures the ratio between “young” and “old” coins
If the score is high - new coins are moving massively, the market is overheated
When it’s low - most are holding positions, there are almost no sellers
Today RHODL remains in the safe zone - the distribution phase hasn’t started
⓫
ISM Index
Reflects the state of US business activity
Above 60 - overheating, when the market is near the top
Below 50 - slowdown, which often precedes a new growth impulse
The current value of 48.7 indicates: global upside is still ahead
⓬
AHR999
Shows how much the market deviates from its “fair value”
Value <0.45 - bottom and accumulation zone
Value >1.2 - overheating and correction risk
Now the index is 0.77, meaning the market is in the middle of the range
This confirms: it's not too late to enter, but time to prepare for the top
⓭
All metrics - from sentiment to on-chain - point to the middle of the cycle
The peak is still ahead, but the window for preparation is closing fast
Now is the time to learn to read these indicators and understand their logic, good luck
I hope you've found this article helpful.
Follow me @Satoshi Sister for more.
Like,share ,and comment
But in reality it's just Optimism phase
I analyzed 50 peak indicators and was shocked
Here's how to spot the exact ATH of each cycle
❶
Historically, each cycle follows the same psychological curve
Currently, we are between "skepticism" and "optimism" - still before euphoria
The main profit is made exactly here, while everyone is still doubting
But it's also easy and quick to lose everything - if you don't understand when to exit in time
❷
Because as soon as the market touches the peak - everything falls twice as fast
That's why it's important to learn how to predict the reversal point
Not during the dump, not after the crash, but beforehand - while there's still liquidity
❸
Every bull run starts with fear and ends with greed
The Fear & Greed Index clearly shows where we are on the curve of these emotions
- When most are fearful - the bottom is forming
- When in greed - the top
In 2021 the index reached 95, signaling overheating
Now it's only 32, which means there's still time to buy more
❹
The Altseason Index measures the share of altcoins outperforming Bitcoin in profitability
When the index rises, it means capital is starting to seek higher risk
At the peaks of previous cycles, the index exceeded 90 - that was true euphoria
Today it's only 39, so altseason hasn't even started
❺
Google Trends shows when the market shifts from reason to emotion
During peaks, everyone googles "how to buy crypto" - and that’s always the end
Now interest is almost zero, the public is indifferent
And indifference is the best ground for a major move
❻
There’s also no meme coin mania - $DOGE and $SHIB are asleep
In 2021 they were the ones that burned the market before the crash
The meme phase is always the final stage of the cycle
It’s not here yet - which means the end is not close
❼
Now to technical indicators that predict tops accurately
1. Pi Cycle Top - the moment the market is overheated
2. MVRV Z-Score - deviation of price from fair value
3. RHODL Ratio - ratio of old to new coins
4. ISM Izdex - indicator of US economic overheating
5. AHR999 - estimate of distance from "fair base"
❽
Pi Cycle Top
An indicator that has predicted every $BTC top with accuracy down to a few days
The signal triggers when the 111-day average crosses the 350-day ×2
In 2013, 2017 and 2021 this exact crossover marked the final bull run phase
Now the lines are still far apart - upside is open
❾
MVRV Z-Score
Shows how far the market cap has deviated from the real one
If the score exceeds 7, the market is overheated - historically this is the final top zone
In the past this indicator hit the red zone literally days before the dump
Now the value is below 2 - the market is far from overheating
❿
RHODL Ratio
Measures the ratio between “young” and “old” coins
If the score is high - new coins are moving massively, the market is overheated
When it’s low - most are holding positions, there are almost no sellers
Today RHODL remains in the safe zone - the distribution phase hasn’t started
⓫
ISM Index
Reflects the state of US business activity
Above 60 - overheating, when the market is near the top
Below 50 - slowdown, which often precedes a new growth impulse
The current value of 48.7 indicates: global upside is still ahead
⓬
AHR999
Shows how much the market deviates from its “fair value”
Value <0.45 - bottom and accumulation zone
Value >1.2 - overheating and correction risk
Now the index is 0.77, meaning the market is in the middle of the range
This confirms: it's not too late to enter, but time to prepare for the top
⓭
All metrics - from sentiment to on-chain - point to the middle of the cycle
The peak is still ahead, but the window for preparation is closing fast
Now is the time to learn to read these indicators and understand their logic, good luck
I hope you've found this article helpful.
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This looks, feels, and is a decision point
Timing-wise the top should be in; technicals point to support, but momentum is weak and macro is unpredictable
So we either:
• hold 93k+, proceed to make a new ATH and break the 4-year pattern, with crypto catching up on the bid at an all-time-sidelined moment
• or we break the structure, proceed into a deeper correction, and keep getting dumped on by OGs and then institutions - snowballing into the shallowest bear-market dip ever, still bringing a lot of destruction
And as I find it silly that BTC uptrends would last exactly 1064 days every single time, this is as good a time as any to break that pattern
Also, fractals are just cope and the outcome always surprises most, with people later spending the next 4 years trying to convince everyone it’s gonna happen again
So yes, this time is different; also, a weekly close 103k would be nice
Timing-wise the top should be in; technicals point to support, but momentum is weak and macro is unpredictable
So we either:
• hold 93k+, proceed to make a new ATH and break the 4-year pattern, with crypto catching up on the bid at an all-time-sidelined moment
• or we break the structure, proceed into a deeper correction, and keep getting dumped on by OGs and then institutions - snowballing into the shallowest bear-market dip ever, still bringing a lot of destruction
And as I find it silly that BTC uptrends would last exactly 1064 days every single time, this is as good a time as any to break that pattern
Also, fractals are just cope and the outcome always surprises most, with people later spending the next 4 years trying to convince everyone it’s gonna happen again
So yes, this time is different; also, a weekly close 103k would be nice
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