RG TradeX
Open Trade
4 Years
Технический аналитик | Анализ рынка | Спотовая торговля
8 Following
237 Followers
1.8K+ Liked
230 Shared
All
Quotes
Videos
PINNED
Disclaimer: The publication is for educational purposes only. The information provided on the RG TradeX channel does not constitute investment advice or trading recommendations. RG TradeX is responsible for your investment decisions. Please seek professional advice before taking any financial risk.
See original
$BTC is currently trapped between two forces that live in different times.
The first force is slow and relentless. This is the Power Law. The mathematical trajectory that pulls the price up for years and does not know the word 'expiration'.
The second force is fast and mechanical. These are options and gamma. And it has a deadline.
According to the Power Law, everything looks extremely simple. At a price of about $85, Bitcoin is trading 27% below its fair trajectory. The model gives $118,010. This is not overheating. This is compression.
The second force is fast and mechanical. These are options and gamma. And it has a deadline.
According to the Power Law, everything looks extremely simple. At a price of about $85, Bitcoin is trading 27% below its fair trajectory. The model gives $118,010. This is not overheating. This is compression.
See original
There is one indicator that in crypto speaks of sentiments clearer than most. It is the 30-day change in open interest.
The logic there is ironclad:
• +40–60% for the month almost always coincides with local highs. The crowd rushes in, confidence is through the roof, and the movement is driven by emotions.
• –15–25% for the month is the bottom. Fear, margin calls, forced position closures, and a reset of the structure.
Where are we now? About –15% for the month. A classic bottom formation zone that the market has shown time and again over the last 2–3 years.
The meaning of the signal is extremely simple. The speculative excess has already been cleared. Those who traded without a margin of safety are already out of the game. This is exactly the state from which the market can usually move forward without constant liquidation pressure. When leverage is washed out, the price starts to move again with money, not panic.
The logic there is ironclad:
• +40–60% for the month almost always coincides with local highs. The crowd rushes in, confidence is through the roof, and the movement is driven by emotions.
• –15–25% for the month is the bottom. Fear, margin calls, forced position closures, and a reset of the structure.
Where are we now? About –15% for the month. A classic bottom formation zone that the market has shown time and again over the last 2–3 years.
The meaning of the signal is extremely simple. The speculative excess has already been cleared. Those who traded without a margin of safety are already out of the game. This is exactly the state from which the market can usually move forward without constant liquidation pressure. When leverage is washed out, the price starts to move again with money, not panic.
See original
Using technical analysis without trying to be right
How do I approach charts
(And where to start with technical analysis)
Technical analysis is one of the most misunderstood tools in trading.
Some people consider it astrology. Others think it’s useless noise. Most beginners are somewhere in between, confident that they just lack knowledge about the right indicator or the perfect pattern.
(And where to start with technical analysis)
Technical analysis is one of the most misunderstood tools in trading.
Some people consider it astrology. Others think it’s useless noise. Most beginners are somewhere in between, confident that they just lack knowledge about the right indicator or the perfect pattern.
See original
Your trading goal should be to reduce the time it takes to exit losing trades. A common mistake traders make is allowing losing positions to remain open for too long in the hope that they will recover. Successful traders cut their losses before they turn into significant drawdowns. Exiting your losing positions is a step towards overcoming your EGO! The quicker you realize your losses, the easier it is to preserve capital and find better opportunities.
See original
$BTC update
After the last update -
nothing has changed. Absolutely nothing.
The price continues to fluctuate within the usual range between the key levels we have repeatedly indicated.
• Key resistance: 92.800
Only a consolidation above this level with several daily candles will indicate a possible change in market structure and a shift to a more bullish scenario.
Key support: 89.256
Since the beginning of the month, the price has confidently held this level. There is currently no breakdown downwards - the structure remains the same.
No significant changes are observed on the chart.
We are waiting for either a confident consolidation above resistance or a breakdown of support for new signals.#BTC
After the last update -
nothing has changed. Absolutely nothing.
The price continues to fluctuate within the usual range between the key levels we have repeatedly indicated.
• Key resistance: 92.800
Only a consolidation above this level with several daily candles will indicate a possible change in market structure and a shift to a more bullish scenario.
Key support: 89.256
Since the beginning of the month, the price has confidently held this level. There is currently no breakdown downwards - the structure remains the same.
No significant changes are observed on the chart.
We are waiting for either a confident consolidation above resistance or a breakdown of support for new signals.#BTC
$BTC update
In just one day, we practically regained a week's progress. For me, the key level is $92.800; while the price is below this, it's hard to talk about growth. #BTC
In just one day, we practically regained a week's progress. For me, the key level is $92.800; while the price is below this, it's hard to talk about growth. #BTC
See original
$SOL
simple plan. Zone 144-145 will give us clarity. #sol
simple plan. Zone 144-145 will give us clarity. #sol
See original
$HUMA update
could not hold above our level 0.02901 on the 1D and the price has already fallen by 10%. Plan and discipline save us. #HUMA
could not hold above our level 0.02901 on the 1D and the price has already fallen by 10%. Plan and discipline save us. #HUMA
$HUMA
closing the day above the level 0.02901 will open space for growth. It is important to consider the market mood. #HUMA
closing the day above the level 0.02901 will open space for growth. It is important to consider the market mood. #HUMA
See original
A strong finding from Bloomberg Economics that is easy to miss.
Their model of growth driver decomposition shows that the drop in Bitcoin in 2025 is almost entirely caused by internal crypto factors (see the gray area on the chart). Meanwhile, macro variables - monetary policy, market sentiment, uncertainty - on the contrary, were supportive (throughout 2025 they contributed to the price rather than pulling it down).
See original
$HUMA
closing the day above the level 0.02901 will open space for growth. It is important to consider the market mood. #HUMA
closing the day above the level 0.02901 will open space for growth. It is important to consider the market mood. #HUMA
See original
$BTC update
we received a rejection from our level 92.800, we could not break it with momentum. But our level 89.256 held the price as support. I will write a more detailed analysis after the close of tomorrow.#BTC
we received a rejection from our level 92.800, we could not break it with momentum. But our level 89.256 held the price as support. I will write a more detailed analysis after the close of tomorrow.#BTC
$BTC update
In just one day, we practically regained a week's progress. For me, the key level is $92.800; while the price is below this, it's hard to talk about growth. #BTC
In just one day, we practically regained a week's progress. For me, the key level is $92.800; while the price is below this, it's hard to talk about growth. #BTC
See original
$FARTCOIN update
As I wrote: a breakout above 0.3146 with consolidation has occurred. Price +32% from the level 0.3146 is now support. #Fartcoin
As I wrote: a breakout above 0.3146 with consolidation has occurred. Price +32% from the level 0.3146 is now support. #Fartcoin
$FARTCOIN #мысли
one of the charts that attracts me at this stage of the market. Areas of interest: a breakout with consolidation above the level of $0.3146 or a pullback to 0.75 fibo. #Fartcoin
one of the charts that attracts me at this stage of the market. Areas of interest: a breakout with consolidation above the level of $0.3146 or a pullback to 0.75 fibo. #Fartcoin
See original
$HYPE update
As I mentioned earlier, the level 36.474 is a key resistance and what we ended up with is that the price has fallen almost from this level by -15%. The importance of having a plan. #Hyperliquid
As I mentioned earlier, the level 36.474 is a key resistance and what we ended up with is that the price has fallen almost from this level by -15%. The importance of having a plan. #Hyperliquid
$HYPE update
Despite the entire picture, the level $36.474 remains key resistance. As long as the price is below it, the chart remains weak.#hype
Despite the entire picture, the level $36.474 remains key resistance. As long as the price is below it, the chart remains weak.#hype
See original
$ACT
I recommend taking a look. Fixing the price above the level of 0.02532, in my opinion, will open up potential for growth. #ACT
I recommend taking a look. Fixing the price above the level of 0.02532, in my opinion, will open up potential for growth. #ACT
Login to explore more contents