Kirill Gaitan l PROFIT_PILOT
Open Trade
XRP Holder
Frequent Trader
7.7 Years
@Kriptos84BTC
On the market since 2017. Trader, investor - crypto, stocks, futures
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$XLM #DCA
šāāļø Hey guys.
š” Stellar locally can work out the GIP pattern.
š Breakdown of the downtrend may start another wave of growth with targets 0.8-1.5$ .
š° Buying up by 70$ from last week as part of DCA portfolio .
šļø I remind you that I allocate 10$ daily for investing in cryptocurrency and make a purchase once a week. Results and portfolio views are publicly available.
š If this was useful subscribe to not miss anything and give me a reaction š
šāāļø Hey guys.
š” Stellar locally can work out the GIP pattern.
š Breakdown of the downtrend may start another wave of growth with targets 0.8-1.5$ .
š° Buying up by 70$ from last week as part of DCA portfolio .
šļø I remind you that I allocate 10$ daily for investing in cryptocurrency and make a purchase once a week. Results and portfolio views are publicly available.
š If this was useful subscribe to not miss anything and give me a reaction š
š Coinbase (COIN), the largest crypto exchange in the U.S., will join the S&P 500 index, replacing Discover Financial Services. Following the news, COIN shares rose 8% and are trading around $226.
š The listing will take effect before trading begins on May 19. Coinbase has a capitalization of $53 billion and went public on Nasdaq in April 2021 through a direct listing.
š In Q1 2025, Coinbase reported $527 million in adjusted earnings, meeting S&P 500 criteria. šÆ Analyst Owen Lau raised the target to $388 and maintained a ābuyā recommendation.
š¤ Coinbase recently agreed to buy derivatives exchange Deribit for $2.9 billion. Other crypto-related companies in the S&P 500 include Block, PayPal and Visa. š« MicroStrategy is not included due to its smaller capitalization.
š The listing will take effect before trading begins on May 19. Coinbase has a capitalization of $53 billion and went public on Nasdaq in April 2021 through a direct listing.
š In Q1 2025, Coinbase reported $527 million in adjusted earnings, meeting S&P 500 criteria. šÆ Analyst Owen Lau raised the target to $388 and maintained a ābuyā recommendation.
š¤ Coinbase recently agreed to buy derivatives exchange Deribit for $2.9 billion. Other crypto-related companies in the S&P 500 include Block, PayPal and Visa. š« MicroStrategy is not included due to its smaller capitalization.
š„ The alt market is overheated
Many altcoins gave +50-200% from the bottom.
Don't get euphoric and buy everything - it is in a bull market that most people lose.
ā ļø Common mistakes:
- Cross margin and the entire deposit in circulation
- Futures without a plan (I'll be lucky)
- Buying āfallenā illiquid - no one may need it.
- Ignoring 30-50% profit in anticipation of āX'sā and life-changing money
Keep your cool. That's a strategy too. š§
Many altcoins gave +50-200% from the bottom.
Don't get euphoric and buy everything - it is in a bull market that most people lose.
ā ļø Common mistakes:
- Cross margin and the entire deposit in circulation
- Futures without a plan (I'll be lucky)
- Buying āfallenā illiquid - no one may need it.
- Ignoring 30-50% profit in anticipation of āX'sā and life-changing money
Keep your cool. That's a strategy too. š§
š Results of Powell's press conference (Fed, May 7, 2025):
Rates unchanged: 4.25-4.5%.
Economy strong, but risks are rising: inflation and unemployment.
Trump's tariffs could exacerbate inflation and slow growth.
Fed ignores political pressure, decisions are data driven.
Forecast: 2 rate cuts in 2025 if data confirms.
Inflation expectations stable, markets volatile but no panic.
Rates unchanged: 4.25-4.5%.
Economy strong, but risks are rising: inflation and unemployment.
Trump's tariffs could exacerbate inflation and slow growth.
Fed ignores political pressure, decisions are data driven.
Forecast: 2 rate cuts in 2025 if data confirms.
Inflation expectations stable, markets volatile but no panic.
The week's results on the crypto market and macroeconomics š
Bitcoin and ether
Bitcoin reached the area around $98,000 but did not start a correction, returning to the sideways. Ether also remained in the same 1750-1850 range, without a breakout. Both cryptocurrencies are now in the ābad zoneā for active trading - better to use long-term strategies (DCA, HODL) šš.
ETF inflows
About $1.8 billion flowed into Bitcoin ETFs over the week - a great result in recent months š°. Ethereum ETF recorded positive inflows for the first time in a long time - $107 million š.
Onchain metrics
Outflows from centralized exchanges for BTC and ETH are significant. Leverage has reached two-year highs, especially for ether - this increases the risks of sharp drops when important levels are broken ā ļø.
Macroeconomics and geopolitics
Risks of escalating conflict between India and Pakistan, as well as trade friction between China and the US remain the main drivers of šš„ volatility. TGA balance sheet is expected to decline in summer, which may affect the dynamics of risk assets š.
Macro statistics for the week
Important events: PMI on Monday, Fed rate decision on Wednesday (expected unchanged), initial jobless claims on Thursday š .
Ether Forecast
Consolidation in the 1750-1850 range, with no obvious triggers for a breakdown. Growth is possible with positive news, but in general - a bearish flag with the risk of a decline to 1650 š».
Bitcoin Forecast
The price has broken through $98,000, but volumes are down, there are signs of a possible correction. The key support is $94,500-95,000. Losing it could lead to a drop to $90,000 and lower to $85,000. A consolidation above $95,000 will open the way to $100,000 and higher. Trading now is risky, long term strategies are better šš.
Bitcoin and ether
Bitcoin reached the area around $98,000 but did not start a correction, returning to the sideways. Ether also remained in the same 1750-1850 range, without a breakout. Both cryptocurrencies are now in the ābad zoneā for active trading - better to use long-term strategies (DCA, HODL) šš.
ETF inflows
About $1.8 billion flowed into Bitcoin ETFs over the week - a great result in recent months š°. Ethereum ETF recorded positive inflows for the first time in a long time - $107 million š.
Onchain metrics
Outflows from centralized exchanges for BTC and ETH are significant. Leverage has reached two-year highs, especially for ether - this increases the risks of sharp drops when important levels are broken ā ļø.
Macroeconomics and geopolitics
Risks of escalating conflict between India and Pakistan, as well as trade friction between China and the US remain the main drivers of šš„ volatility. TGA balance sheet is expected to decline in summer, which may affect the dynamics of risk assets š.
Macro statistics for the week
Important events: PMI on Monday, Fed rate decision on Wednesday (expected unchanged), initial jobless claims on Thursday š .
Ether Forecast
Consolidation in the 1750-1850 range, with no obvious triggers for a breakdown. Growth is possible with positive news, but in general - a bearish flag with the risk of a decline to 1650 š».
Bitcoin Forecast
The price has broken through $98,000, but volumes are down, there are signs of a possible correction. The key support is $94,500-95,000. Losing it could lead to a drop to $90,000 and lower to $85,000. A consolidation above $95,000 will open the way to $100,000 and higher. Trading now is risky, long term strategies are better šš.
šSeasonal dynamics of major crypto assets for May.
šŖBitcoin - for bitcoin, May was a good month and closed 64% of the time in the plus side, with an average return of 11.5%
šŖEthereum - for ether, the month closed historically above the open in 56% of cases, with an average return of 38.5%.
I remember a few major market crashes in May, but we were at the highs then, at this point the market has started to rise, but after a 70-80% crash it's dust. Ideally, I would like to see bitcoin sticking near 100K in May and a gradual decline in dominance, to transfer some liquidity to ether and alta. What do you think awaits us in May?
#Seasonality $BTC $ETH
šŖBitcoin - for bitcoin, May was a good month and closed 64% of the time in the plus side, with an average return of 11.5%
šŖEthereum - for ether, the month closed historically above the open in 56% of cases, with an average return of 38.5%.
I remember a few major market crashes in May, but we were at the highs then, at this point the market has started to rise, but after a 70-80% crash it's dust. Ideally, I would like to see bitcoin sticking near 100K in May and a gradual decline in dominance, to transfer some liquidity to ether and alta. What do you think awaits us in May?
#Seasonality $BTC $ETH
Part 2
š§® Statistics
This week markets are waiting for the release of key macro statistics: Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment, Inflation (Core PCE), PMI and Consumer Confidence. Already released US GDP for Q1 was much worse than expected (0.4% vs. 2.4% forecast), which reinforced expectations of Fed rate cuts. Expectations of weak labor market and inflation data may support the crypto market and risk assets, but also increase volatility. The reaction will depend on the actual numbers.
š¦ Earnings.
This week, markets are awaiting reports from major US companies Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Apple, Mastercard, Pfizer, Coca-Cola, ExxonMobil, Chevron, Visa, PayPal, McDonald's, Booking, Spotify, Spotify, Robinhood, Reddit, Airbnb and others. Volatility may increase - the reporting of BigTech, financial sector and energy leaders can set the tone for the whole market and influence investor sentiment, including the crypto market.
ā” Crypto Metrics
Many metrics are forming an attempt to break the downtrend and some have already done so, but most require confirmation.
š” Forecast:
* BTC:
Price is sideways, just in the zone I highlighted in the last review, which is the supply zone and past active bear participation. In the current zone there can be a deeper correction and work out the distribution according to Wyckoff, in this scenario the price will tend to the zone of 90 or even 85K. Consolidation above 95K will cancel this scenario. There may be false breakouts, which complicates trading in this zone. It is a bad place to trade. Key support is 90K.
* ETH:
The price broke through the zone of 1.7-1.75K but there was no acceleration. The main liquidity is in bitcoin and for a full-fledged reversal we need to see the fall of its dominance, so far it is not.
The key support is 1.53K.
š§® Statistics
This week markets are waiting for the release of key macro statistics: Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment, Inflation (Core PCE), PMI and Consumer Confidence. Already released US GDP for Q1 was much worse than expected (0.4% vs. 2.4% forecast), which reinforced expectations of Fed rate cuts. Expectations of weak labor market and inflation data may support the crypto market and risk assets, but also increase volatility. The reaction will depend on the actual numbers.
š¦ Earnings.
This week, markets are awaiting reports from major US companies Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, Apple, Mastercard, Pfizer, Coca-Cola, ExxonMobil, Chevron, Visa, PayPal, McDonald's, Booking, Spotify, Spotify, Robinhood, Reddit, Airbnb and others. Volatility may increase - the reporting of BigTech, financial sector and energy leaders can set the tone for the whole market and influence investor sentiment, including the crypto market.
ā” Crypto Metrics
Many metrics are forming an attempt to break the downtrend and some have already done so, but most require confirmation.
š” Forecast:
* BTC:
Price is sideways, just in the zone I highlighted in the last review, which is the supply zone and past active bear participation. In the current zone there can be a deeper correction and work out the distribution according to Wyckoff, in this scenario the price will tend to the zone of 90 or even 85K. Consolidation above 95K will cancel this scenario. There may be false breakouts, which complicates trading in this zone. It is a bad place to trade. Key support is 90K.
* ETH:
The price broke through the zone of 1.7-1.75K but there was no acceleration. The main liquidity is in bitcoin and for a full-fledged reversal we need to see the fall of its dominance, so far it is not.
The key support is 1.53K.
A lot of text, average hamsters pass by as it is not possible for them to cope with so much.
As always, at the beginning of the week we summarize and analyze the crypto market.
Part 1
š Last week I expected bitcoin to continue local growth with targets 90-92K and further growth was questionable due to strong supply. The scenario was realized and the targets were reached.
On ether the important zone of 1.75K, breakdown of which will give the way up, the breakdown occurred and the price became sideways over the past resistance, which has now turned into a support zone.
Liquidation Map:
We need to understand important liquidation zones where there could be acceleration in price movement.
BTC bottom 90.6K and top 97.5K strong Long skew, which I don't like.
ETH bottom 1.5K and top 1.9K
š¼ ETF Market:
Funds showed strong inflows into assets, especially bitcoin.
Total for the period April 21-25, 2025:
* Bitcoin Spot ETF: +$3 billion USD
* Ethereum Spot ETF: +157 million USD
āļø Onchain Metrics:
The bitcoin and ether network saw a strong withdrawal of bitcoin from CEX exchanges, which could indicate a position set. The leverage ratio reached a 2-year high, indicating increased risk-taking by market participants, especially for etherium.
Open interest in derivatives is showing a rebound, but not that much.
š Macroeconomics:
The current week is very important for the markets as it could significantly affect the probabilities of rate cuts and other measures by the Fed's financial regulator.
The tariff wars between China and the US that are ongoing are making capital nervous and buying up defensive assets. Most likely this trend will continue and risk assets will remain under pressure in the coming weeks. $BTC $ETH
As always, at the beginning of the week we summarize and analyze the crypto market.
Part 1
š Last week I expected bitcoin to continue local growth with targets 90-92K and further growth was questionable due to strong supply. The scenario was realized and the targets were reached.
On ether the important zone of 1.75K, breakdown of which will give the way up, the breakdown occurred and the price became sideways over the past resistance, which has now turned into a support zone.
Liquidation Map:
We need to understand important liquidation zones where there could be acceleration in price movement.
BTC bottom 90.6K and top 97.5K strong Long skew, which I don't like.
ETH bottom 1.5K and top 1.9K
š¼ ETF Market:
Funds showed strong inflows into assets, especially bitcoin.
Total for the period April 21-25, 2025:
* Bitcoin Spot ETF: +$3 billion USD
* Ethereum Spot ETF: +157 million USD
āļø Onchain Metrics:
The bitcoin and ether network saw a strong withdrawal of bitcoin from CEX exchanges, which could indicate a position set. The leverage ratio reached a 2-year high, indicating increased risk-taking by market participants, especially for etherium.
Open interest in derivatives is showing a rebound, but not that much.
š Macroeconomics:
The current week is very important for the markets as it could significantly affect the probabilities of rate cuts and other measures by the Fed's financial regulator.
The tariff wars between China and the US that are ongoing are making capital nervous and buying up defensive assets. Most likely this trend will continue and risk assets will remain under pressure in the coming weeks. $BTC $ETH
A lot of text, average hamsters pass by as it is not possible for them to cope with so much.
As always, at the beginning of the week we summarize and analyze the crypto market.
Part 1
š Last week I expected bitcoin to continue local growth with targets 90-92K and further growth was questionable due to strong supply. The scenario was realized and the targets were reached.
On ether the important zone of 1.75K, breakdown of which will give the way up, the breakdown occurred and the price became sideways over the past resistance, which has now turned into a support zone.
Liquidation Map:
We need to understand important liquidation zones where there could be acceleration in price movement.
BTC bottom 90.6K and top 97.5K strong Long skew, which I don't like.
ETH bottom 1.5K and top 1.9K
š¼ ETF Market:
Funds showed strong inflows into assets, especially bitcoin.
Total for the period April 21-25, 2025:
* Bitcoin Spot ETF: +$3 billion USD
* Ethereum Spot ETF: +157 million USD
āļø Onchain Metrics:
The bitcoin and ether network saw a strong withdrawal of bitcoin from CEX exchanges, which could indicate a position set. The leverage ratio reached a 2-year high, indicating increased risk-taking by market participants, especially for etherium.
Open interest in derivatives is showing a rebound, but not that much.
š Macroeconomics:
The current week is very important for the markets as it could significantly affect the probabilities of rate cuts and other measures by the Fed's financial regulator.
The tariff wars between China and the US that are ongoing are making capital nervous and buying up defensive assets. Most likely this trend will continue and risk assets will remain under pressure in the coming weeks. $BTC $ETH
As always, at the beginning of the week we summarize and analyze the crypto market.
Part 1
š Last week I expected bitcoin to continue local growth with targets 90-92K and further growth was questionable due to strong supply. The scenario was realized and the targets were reached.
On ether the important zone of 1.75K, breakdown of which will give the way up, the breakdown occurred and the price became sideways over the past resistance, which has now turned into a support zone.
Liquidation Map:
We need to understand important liquidation zones where there could be acceleration in price movement.
BTC bottom 90.6K and top 97.5K strong Long skew, which I don't like.
ETH bottom 1.5K and top 1.9K
š¼ ETF Market:
Funds showed strong inflows into assets, especially bitcoin.
Total for the period April 21-25, 2025:
* Bitcoin Spot ETF: +$3 billion USD
* Ethereum Spot ETF: +157 million USD
āļø Onchain Metrics:
The bitcoin and ether network saw a strong withdrawal of bitcoin from CEX exchanges, which could indicate a position set. The leverage ratio reached a 2-year high, indicating increased risk-taking by market participants, especially for etherium.
Open interest in derivatives is showing a rebound, but not that much.
š Macroeconomics:
The current week is very important for the markets as it could significantly affect the probabilities of rate cuts and other measures by the Fed's financial regulator.
The tariff wars between China and the US that are ongoing are making capital nervous and buying up defensive assets. Most likely this trend will continue and risk assets will remain under pressure in the coming weeks. $BTC $ETH
$XRP #DCA Ā
šāāļø Hey guys.
š” On the back of the news that CME Group officially announced the launch of XRP futures trading, the early front of this event has started and the price has started to rise.Ā
š The price returned above the important 2.15 zone, which could potentially lead to the development of a local HYP pattern with targets of 2.8-2.9$.
š° Buying up by 70$ from last week as part of the DCA portfolio .Ā
šļø Recall that I allocate $10 daily for cryptocurrency investing and make a purchase once a week. Results and portfolio views are publicly available.
š If this was useful subscribe to not miss anything and give me a reaction š
šāāļø Hey guys.
š” On the back of the news that CME Group officially announced the launch of XRP futures trading, the early front of this event has started and the price has started to rise.Ā
š The price returned above the important 2.15 zone, which could potentially lead to the development of a local HYP pattern with targets of 2.8-2.9$.
š° Buying up by 70$ from last week as part of the DCA portfolio .Ā
šļø Recall that I allocate $10 daily for cryptocurrency investing and make a purchase once a week. Results and portfolio views are publicly available.
š If this was useful subscribe to not miss anything and give me a reaction š
Quick cryptometrics update.
Total crypto market capitalization increased from $2.5 trillion to $2.9 trillion š.
Bitcoin's dominance is declining, but the trend is holding at 65-70% š ; a breakout of the uptrend is needed for a reversal.
Efirium is testing downtrend, in sideways āļø; need 8% breakout with consolidation for reversal.
USDT dominance broke uptrend, down to 5% š¢, which may support cryptoasset price gains; USDT capitalization is $145 billion šµ,Ā
total altcoin capitalization rises to $900 billion.
Altcoins (without top 10) formed W-pattern, broke downtrend, but traded sideways šŖ; need consolidation above $250 bln for growth.
Dollar Index is recovering, expected sideways around 100 in next 1-2 months š¹
Total crypto market capitalization increased from $2.5 trillion to $2.9 trillion š.
Bitcoin's dominance is declining, but the trend is holding at 65-70% š ; a breakout of the uptrend is needed for a reversal.
Efirium is testing downtrend, in sideways āļø; need 8% breakout with consolidation for reversal.
USDT dominance broke uptrend, down to 5% š¢, which may support cryptoasset price gains; USDT capitalization is $145 billion šµ,Ā
total altcoin capitalization rises to $900 billion.
Altcoins (without top 10) formed W-pattern, broke downtrend, but traded sideways šŖ; need consolidation above $250 bln for growth.
Dollar Index is recovering, expected sideways around 100 in next 1-2 months š¹
šāāļø Hey guys!
Reading this review requires a background above the standard hamster š§ - most will find it complicated due to the terms and volume of text š. Many lack probabilistic thinking š² and just want to be shown the direction of the market āļøš.
As always, we summarize and analyze the crypto market at the beginning of the week.
š Last week the growth scenario on BTC was realized: after the breakdown of 83K I expected the movement to 90-92K when overcoming 85K. On ETH the resistance zone of 1.7-1.75K remained unbroken, there was no entry point for longing.
Liquidation map:
BTC: key zones are 85K (bottom), 89.5K (top).
ETH: 1.5K (bottom), 1.78K (top).
Price movement acceleration is possible in these zones.
š¼ ETF market:
Institutionals continue to reduce positions.
Net inflows:
- Bitcoin: +10.7 million USD
- Ethereum: -32.3 million USD
Bitcoin remains the main benchmark and liquidity center.
āļø Onchain metrics:
No significant changes, reserves on CEX at lows.
š Macroeconomics:
Fed chief noted the strength of the economy, market expects first rate cut with 70% probability in June, only 10% in May.
US-China tariff wars continue, supporting demand for defensive assets and pressuring risk assets. The trend is likely to continue in the coming weeks.
š§® Statistics:
April 23 - business activity indexes: slowdown is positive for crypto, but the effect is short-term.
April 24 - unemployment claims: a deteriorating labor market will also support risk assets.
š” Forecast:
BTC:
Local uptrend, longing priority. Targets are 90-92K, 95K is questionable due to strong supply in this zone. Supports are 85-83K.
ETH:
Resistance 1.7-1.75K, if broken - growth to 1.9-2K. Supports - 1.5-1.4K. A trigger is needed for growth, for example, approval of a staking-ETF.
In general, the market remains bullish, but further growth is limited and requires new drivers. $BTC $ETH
Reading this review requires a background above the standard hamster š§ - most will find it complicated due to the terms and volume of text š. Many lack probabilistic thinking š² and just want to be shown the direction of the market āļøš.
As always, we summarize and analyze the crypto market at the beginning of the week.
š Last week the growth scenario on BTC was realized: after the breakdown of 83K I expected the movement to 90-92K when overcoming 85K. On ETH the resistance zone of 1.7-1.75K remained unbroken, there was no entry point for longing.
Liquidation map:
BTC: key zones are 85K (bottom), 89.5K (top).
ETH: 1.5K (bottom), 1.78K (top).
Price movement acceleration is possible in these zones.
š¼ ETF market:
Institutionals continue to reduce positions.
Net inflows:
- Bitcoin: +10.7 million USD
- Ethereum: -32.3 million USD
Bitcoin remains the main benchmark and liquidity center.
āļø Onchain metrics:
No significant changes, reserves on CEX at lows.
š Macroeconomics:
Fed chief noted the strength of the economy, market expects first rate cut with 70% probability in June, only 10% in May.
US-China tariff wars continue, supporting demand for defensive assets and pressuring risk assets. The trend is likely to continue in the coming weeks.
š§® Statistics:
April 23 - business activity indexes: slowdown is positive for crypto, but the effect is short-term.
April 24 - unemployment claims: a deteriorating labor market will also support risk assets.
š” Forecast:
BTC:
Local uptrend, longing priority. Targets are 90-92K, 95K is questionable due to strong supply in this zone. Supports are 85-83K.
ETH:
Resistance 1.7-1.75K, if broken - growth to 1.9-2K. Supports - 1.5-1.4K. A trigger is needed for growth, for example, approval of a staking-ETF.
In general, the market remains bullish, but further growth is limited and requires new drivers. $BTC $ETH
Starknet ($STRK ) is now deep in the reset zone - the coin is down 95% from its 2024 highs, which is typical for altcoins with potential š. The trend remains bearish and fully correlated with Ethereum, as Starknet is the L2 for ETH š¦¾. The price may still decline down to $0.10, but I expect a quick consolidation and break of the downtrend š.
Since April, a significant increase in open interest has been recorded - this indicates an influx of new contracts and increased attention to the coin š. I am not talking about short-term deals, but about a strategic approach: it is important to understand the scenario in advance and be ready to move.
When there are signs of reversal - impulse growth, formation of V- or W-pattern, breakdown of trend line and exit from consolidation - it is important to get into this movement š. Volumes on the coin are very high, so the growth may be sharp and most will not have time to enter. Key zones: $0.20, $0.30 (100 MA), $0.50. Return to $0.30 is the first target on a reversal š”.
Since April, a significant increase in open interest has been recorded - this indicates an influx of new contracts and increased attention to the coin š. I am not talking about short-term deals, but about a strategic approach: it is important to understand the scenario in advance and be ready to move.
When there are signs of reversal - impulse growth, formation of V- or W-pattern, breakdown of trend line and exit from consolidation - it is important to get into this movement š. Volumes on the coin are very high, so the growth may be sharp and most will not have time to enter. Key zones: $0.20, $0.30 (100 MA), $0.50. Return to $0.30 is the first target on a reversal š”.
Important from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech:
š markets are likely to remain volatile.
š he believes there will be a loosening of banking regulations on cryptocurrencies.
š Cryptocurrencies are becoming more and more popular and a legal framework for stable coins is a good idea.
Didn't say anything new, but didn't add any negativity and thanks for that.
š markets are likely to remain volatile.
š he believes there will be a loosening of banking regulations on cryptocurrencies.
š Cryptocurrencies are becoming more and more popular and a legal framework for stable coins is a good idea.
Didn't say anything new, but didn't add any negativity and thanks for that.
šāāļø Hi guys!
As always, at the beginning of the week we summarize and analyze the crypto market.
š Last week we talked about a possible test of local lows on bitcoin, and the important 83K zone, the breakdown of which will give a move for further growth. At the end of the week bitcoin broke the 83K zone and is now trading at the resistance of 85K.
I also said that ether is unlikely to decline further due to the reduction of short positions.
And the important zone is 1.7K, for a medium-term reversal. As a result, ether got support at local lows and is now trading sideways.
Liquidation map:
Need to understand important liquidation zones where there could be acceleration in price movement.
BTC down 77K and up 89.5K
ETH down 1.5K and up 1.75K
š¼ ETF Market:
Institutional market participants continued to reduce positions in both assets.
Bottom line:
* Bitcoin ETF: -706.9M USD
* Ethereum ETF: -82.5M USD
āļø Onchain Metrics:
There were no significant changes in metrics, all within average values.
š Macroeconomics:
We should expect a resolution to the China-US tariff war, which is likely to continue this week and another throw-in will weigh on prices.
Fed intervention - an unscheduled rate cut is in question, but the Feds have said they will intervene if necessary. It should be kept in mind that the regulator has other leverage besides rate cuts. Powell is expected to speak on Wednesday, there may be a change in rhetoric.
š§® Statistics
April 16 - Retail Sales.
April 17 - Unemployment benefits.
š” Forecast:
* BTC:
The 85K zone is currently local resistance, if broken, a move to the 90-92K zone is likely, where there is an upper boundary of consolidation and significant supply is located.
Supports 83-80-75K.
The instrument is trading in a local uptrend, the priority of longing remains.
* ETH:
The zone of 1.7-1.75K is a resistance at the breakdown of which a rebound to the zone of 1.9-2K is probable.
Supports 1.5-1.4K. If the breakdown is confirmed, the priority is Long.
As always, at the beginning of the week we summarize and analyze the crypto market.
š Last week we talked about a possible test of local lows on bitcoin, and the important 83K zone, the breakdown of which will give a move for further growth. At the end of the week bitcoin broke the 83K zone and is now trading at the resistance of 85K.
I also said that ether is unlikely to decline further due to the reduction of short positions.
And the important zone is 1.7K, for a medium-term reversal. As a result, ether got support at local lows and is now trading sideways.
Liquidation map:
Need to understand important liquidation zones where there could be acceleration in price movement.
BTC down 77K and up 89.5K
ETH down 1.5K and up 1.75K
š¼ ETF Market:
Institutional market participants continued to reduce positions in both assets.
Bottom line:
* Bitcoin ETF: -706.9M USD
* Ethereum ETF: -82.5M USD
āļø Onchain Metrics:
There were no significant changes in metrics, all within average values.
š Macroeconomics:
We should expect a resolution to the China-US tariff war, which is likely to continue this week and another throw-in will weigh on prices.
Fed intervention - an unscheduled rate cut is in question, but the Feds have said they will intervene if necessary. It should be kept in mind that the regulator has other leverage besides rate cuts. Powell is expected to speak on Wednesday, there may be a change in rhetoric.
š§® Statistics
April 16 - Retail Sales.
April 17 - Unemployment benefits.
š” Forecast:
* BTC:
The 85K zone is currently local resistance, if broken, a move to the 90-92K zone is likely, where there is an upper boundary of consolidation and significant supply is located.
Supports 83-80-75K.
The instrument is trading in a local uptrend, the priority of longing remains.
* ETH:
The zone of 1.7-1.75K is a resistance at the breakdown of which a rebound to the zone of 1.9-2K is probable.
Supports 1.5-1.4K. If the breakdown is confirmed, the priority is Long.
$TRX #DCA
šāāļø Hey guys.
š” This cryptocurrency has weathered the market volatility the best, AND has not lost value.
āļø TRX accumulation reduces volatility and overall portfolio drawdowns
Tron is the most popular blockchain for USDT transfers.
š The instrument is now trading near the upper boundary of the 0.25 sidewall, upon breaking which we can expect a market move of 20% consolidation width.
š° Buying up $70 over the past week as part of the DCA portfolio .
šļø Recall that I allocate $10 daily to cryptocurrency investing and make a purchase once a week. Results and portfolio views are publicly available.
š If this was useful subscribe to not miss anything and give me a reaction š
šāāļø Hey guys.
š” This cryptocurrency has weathered the market volatility the best, AND has not lost value.
āļø TRX accumulation reduces volatility and overall portfolio drawdowns
Tron is the most popular blockchain for USDT transfers.
š The instrument is now trading near the upper boundary of the 0.25 sidewall, upon breaking which we can expect a market move of 20% consolidation width.
š° Buying up $70 over the past week as part of the DCA portfolio .
šļø Recall that I allocate $10 daily to cryptocurrency investing and make a purchase once a week. Results and portfolio views are publicly available.
š If this was useful subscribe to not miss anything and give me a reaction š
šØ A historic event for the crypto industry
US President Donald Trump signed a resolution repealing an IRS rule that required DeFi platforms to report transactions
š The H J Res 25 Act passed by Congress protects innovation and privacy by blocking requirements that threatened the development of decentralized finance
š”ļø This is the first crypto law in U.S. history
š It would seem that DeFi tokens should react violently, but in the current situation with market uncertainty there is no reaction yet
š Top assets should be added to the watch list
š With the slightest signs of the tariff war ending and the start of the US JCPOA easing, we may see a new growth of the DeFi sector š
US President Donald Trump signed a resolution repealing an IRS rule that required DeFi platforms to report transactions
š The H J Res 25 Act passed by Congress protects innovation and privacy by blocking requirements that threatened the development of decentralized finance
š”ļø This is the first crypto law in U.S. history
š It would seem that DeFi tokens should react violently, but in the current situation with market uncertainty there is no reaction yet
š Top assets should be added to the watch list
š With the slightest signs of the tariff war ending and the start of the US JCPOA easing, we may see a new growth of the DeFi sector š
š Which cryptocurrency has weathered market volatility the best? And didn't lose value?
That's right TRX - @TRON DAO .
š Accumulating TRX reduces volatility and overall drawdowns across your portfolio.
ā” Grayscale recently added $TRX to its list of prioritized assets.
Tron is the most popular blockchain for USDT transfers.
š In addition, I don't rule out spot ETFs for this asset in the near future, which will increase its availability for institutional players.
š Technically, the instrument continues to be in accumulation with the boundaries of 0.2-0.25$, the breakdown of which will determine the local trend.
That's right TRX - @TRON DAO .
š Accumulating TRX reduces volatility and overall drawdowns across your portfolio.
ā” Grayscale recently added $TRX to its list of prioritized assets.
Tron is the most popular blockchain for USDT transfers.
š In addition, I don't rule out spot ETFs for this asset in the near future, which will increase its availability for institutional players.
š Technically, the instrument continues to be in accumulation with the boundaries of 0.2-0.25$, the breakdown of which will determine the local trend.
$BTC #DCA
šāāļø Hey guys.
š” Bitcoin has updated the local low.
š The instrument remains under pressure like all risk assets. There is extreme fear in the market.
š° I'm buying up by 70$ from last week as part of DCA portfolio .
šļø Recall that I allocate $10 daily to investing in cryptocurrency and make a purchase once a week. Results and portfolio views are publicly available.
š If this was useful subscribe to not miss anything and give me a reaction š
šāāļø Hey guys.
š” Bitcoin has updated the local low.
š The instrument remains under pressure like all risk assets. There is extreme fear in the market.
š° I'm buying up by 70$ from last week as part of DCA portfolio .
šļø Recall that I allocate $10 daily to investing in cryptocurrency and make a purchase once a week. Results and portfolio views are publicly available.
š If this was useful subscribe to not miss anything and give me a reaction š
Ripple announced the purchase of Hidden Road for $1.25 billion, one of the largest deals in the crypto industry. But more important than the amount is its strategic meaning: the deal brings together cryptocurrencies and traditional finance, giving them mutual access.
Hidden Road is a prime broker trusted by hedge funds, market makers and quant traders. Ripple, their longtime client, knows their capabilities: $3$3 trillion in annual clearing for 300+ financial institutions. Now this infrastructure will amplify Ripple's technology.
XRP and XRP Ledger will provide instant, scalable, and cheap transactions. Instead of the 24-hour wait time in fiat systems, Hidden Road will use XRPL to clear transactions. The RLUSD stablecoin will become collateral in transactions between crypto and traditional assets, strengthening integration.
With Ripple's backing, Hidden Road will strengthen its position as the largest non-bank prime broker. This partnership is an evolutionary step that blurs the boundaries between centralized and decentralized finance. Ripple and Hidden Road are creating a future where cryptocurrencies become part of the global economy by providing institutions with efficient tools.
Recall that $XRP is currently trading under the important support of $2. A loss of this level could open the way to $1.2. To cancel this scenario, we need to see the price return above $2.15.
Hidden Road is a prime broker trusted by hedge funds, market makers and quant traders. Ripple, their longtime client, knows their capabilities: $3$3 trillion in annual clearing for 300+ financial institutions. Now this infrastructure will amplify Ripple's technology.
XRP and XRP Ledger will provide instant, scalable, and cheap transactions. Instead of the 24-hour wait time in fiat systems, Hidden Road will use XRPL to clear transactions. The RLUSD stablecoin will become collateral in transactions between crypto and traditional assets, strengthening integration.
With Ripple's backing, Hidden Road will strengthen its position as the largest non-bank prime broker. This partnership is an evolutionary step that blurs the boundaries between centralized and decentralized finance. Ripple and Hidden Road are creating a future where cryptocurrencies become part of the global economy by providing institutions with efficient tools.
Recall that $XRP is currently trading under the important support of $2. A loss of this level could open the way to $1.2. To cancel this scenario, we need to see the price return above $2.15.
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