#Bitcoin - Sell Your Bitcoin Right Now, Says the 500 Day Bitcoin Strategy
How its works :
1) Buy Bitcoins 500 days Before Halving 2) Hold & Do Nothing 3) Sell 500 Days After Halving 4) Repeat
Bitcoin has now completed 500 days after the halving on 1st September 2025.
Does This Mean the Top Is In?
If you look at the data below:
In 2013, Bitcoin peaked at $1,177, but the strategy signaled a sell around $413.
In 2017, Bitcoin peaked at $19,764, but the strategy signaled a sell around $8,202.
In 2021, Bitcoin peaked at $68,994, but the strategy signaled a sell around $43,547.
This means that even after the strategy signaled to sell, Bitcoin sometimes continued higher.
In other cases, like 2013, the strategy was too late, as BTC had already peaked before the 500 days.
However, when it comes to buying, this strategy has been very accurate in identifying prices close to the cycle bottom.
As of 1st September 2025, this strategy has again signaled to sell Bitcoin for this cycle at $108,558.
This might not be the absolute top, and Bitcoin could still go higher than its current peak of $124,501, but at some point in the bear market, it is very likely to drop below the $108k sell level.
According to the Strategy, we are likely very close to the peak, and Bitcoin could top out soon.
It’s time to stay alert, manage your risk, and prepare for what comes next.
Historically, September has been the worst month for Bitcoin, with an average return of -3.47% over the past 13 years, while October and November have been the most bullish months for Bitcoin.
If you look at Bitcoin Dominance and the Bitcoin chart, you’ll notice a clear pattern:
Each time dominance starts free-falling, Bitcoin is usually close to its peak before the final blow-off top.
This happened in 2017 and 2021, where BTC dominance dropped sharply while Bitcoin made one last push and both BTC and alts pumped together before the final blow-off top and the start of a massive bear market.
Once the dominance bottoms and starts rising again, that’s usually when both altcoins and Bitcoin begin their fall into the bear market.
This means next few months are going to be important for crypto and this might be your last chance to make it big..