X狗庄拿命来
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X狗庄拿命来
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Block User
BNB Holder
High-Frequency Trader
9 Years
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145 Followers
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Article
Weekly Review: 8 of the 10 Coins That Doubled Were Bought Up by Koreans—and Gave Back Half Their Gains by the CloseThis week (October 19–25; the weekly candle closed at 8 a.m. Beijing time this morning), I reviewed all Binance USDT-margined futures: 517 crypto contracts, excluding U.S. stock contracts and stablecoins.
In a nutshell: the market is drifting lower, and money is crowding into just two places—Upbit in South Korea and small coins on Binance Alpha that haven’t been listed on spot yet. But most of the coins that rally give back half their gains by the close.
▍Market: Bitcoin falls for three straight weeks
Bitcoin’s weekly candle closed at 80,114, down 2.4% this week.
Weekly closes over the past four weeks: 86,483, 83,723, 82,078, and 80,114—lower each week.
Weekly Review: 8 of the 10 Coins That Doubled Were Bought Up by Koreans—and Gave Back Half Their Gains by the Close
This week (October 19–25; the weekly candle closed at 8 a.m. Beijing time this morning), I reviewed all Binance USDT-margined futures: 517 crypto contracts, excluding U.S. stock contracts and stablecoins.
In a nutshell: the market is drifting lower, and money is crowding into just two places—Upbit in South Korea and small coins on Binance Alpha that haven’t been listed on spot yet. But most of the coins that rally give back half their gains by the close.
▍Market: Bitcoin falls for three straight weeks
Bitcoin’s weekly candle closed at 80,114, down 2.4% this week.
Weekly closes over the past four weeks: 86,483, 83,723, 82,078, and 80,114—lower each week.
In a nutshell: the market is drifting lower, and money is crowding into just two places—Upbit in South Korea and small coins on Binance Alpha that haven’t been listed on spot yet. But most of the coins that rally give back half their gains by the close.
▍Market: Bitcoin falls for three straight weeks
Bitcoin’s weekly candle closed at 80,114, down 2.4% this week.
Weekly closes over the past four weeks: 86,483, 83,723, 82,078, and 80,114—lower each week.
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Binance Oracle Week 1 closed at 8 a.m. this morning. As promised, here are the score thresholds updated every Monday (the figures after the official refresh at around 8:20 a.m. Beijing time).
Weekly leaderboard (only settled betting P&L from this week counts; task points don't):
Rank 1: +2.02 million
Rank 100: +41,000
Rank 1,000: +6,772
Rank 5,000: +1,304
Rank 8,000: +806 (last prize-winning rank, 5 USDC)
Season leaderboard (only available points count; unsettled positions don't):
Rank 1: 372,000
Rank 1,000: 8,290
Rank 5,000: 2,913
Rank 10,000: 2,241
Rank 20,000: 1,463 (last prize-winning rank, 7 USDC)
A few observations from this week:
The cutoff for rank 8,000 on the weekly leaderboard rose very quickly: +58 on Friday morning, +228 on Saturday, +739 on Sunday, and it closed at +806.
The person in first place on the season leaderboard had 608,000 on Sunday afternoon, but was down to 372,000 this morning—a drop of 230,000 in less than a day. The top ranks are earned by betting, and being at the top today doesn't mean you'll still be there at the end of the season.
The cutoff for rank 20,000 on the season leaderboard rose from 720 on Friday to 1,463. You can earn a little over 300 points a day just by doing tasks (check-ins + posts + trading), but this cutoff has recently been rising by 100 to 400 points a day, so it's tough to keep up with tasks alone.
I ranked 6,967th in Week 1, with net betting profits of +1,009.67—just enough to make the top 8,000. There was a bit of a scare along the way: my last bet, which settled at 6:22 a.m. Beijing time this morning (it was still Sunday in UTC, so it counts toward Week 1), initially didn't appear on the leaderboard. My row showed only +581, leaving me outside the top 8,000. It was added after the official refresh at around 8:20. So don't rush to conclusions after the cutoff—wait for the final refresh. I'm currently ranked 7,891st on the season leaderboard.
Week 2 started counting from 8 a.m. this morning. Bets that hadn't settled by 8 a.m. Monday Beijing time won't count as a loss or a profit this week; they'll count in the week when they settle.
For the daily trading task, don't use stablecoin pairs labeled “zero fees” (USDC/USDT and similar pairs don't count). Just buy and sell once on a regular trading pair like $BNB to reach the $50 volume requirement.
Did you make the weekly leaderboard in Week 1?
#币安神算子 #预测市场
Binance Oracle Week 1 closed at 8 a.m. this morning. As promised, here are the score thresholds updated every Monday (the figures after the official refresh at around 8:20 a.m. Beijing time).
Weekly leaderboard (only settled betting P&L from this week counts; task points don't):
Rank 1: +2.02 million
Rank 100: +41,000
Rank 1,000: +6,772
Rank 5,000: +1,304
Rank 8,000: +806 (last prize-winning rank, 5 USDC)
Season leaderboard (only available points count; unsettled positions don't):
Rank 1: 372,000
Rank 1,000: 8,290
Rank 5,000: 2,913
Rank 10,000: 2,241
Rank 20,000: 1,463 (last prize-winning rank, 7 USDC)
A few observations from this week:
The cutoff for rank 8,000 on the weekly leaderboard rose very quickly: +58 on Friday morning, +228 on Saturday, +739 on Sunday, and it closed at +806.
The person in first place on the season leaderboard had 608,000 on Sunday afternoon, but was down to 372,000 this morning—a drop of 230,000 in less than a day. The top ranks are earned by betting, and being at the top today doesn't mean you'll still be there at the end of the season.
The cutoff for rank 20,000 on the season leaderboard rose from 720 on Friday to 1,463. You can earn a little over 300 points a day just by doing tasks (check-ins + posts + trading), but this cutoff has recently been rising by 100 to 400 points a day, so it's tough to keep up with tasks alone.
I ranked 6,967th in Week 1, with net betting profits of +1,009.67—just enough to make the top 8,000. There was a bit of a scare along the way: my last bet, which settled at 6:22 a.m. Beijing time this morning (it was still Sunday in UTC, so it counts toward Week 1), initially didn't appear on the leaderboard. My row showed only +581, leaving me outside the top 8,000. It was added after the official refresh at around 8:20. So don't rush to conclusions after the cutoff—wait for the final refresh. I'm currently ranked 7,891st on the season leaderboard.
Week 2 started counting from 8 a.m. this morning. Bets that hadn't settled by 8 a.m. Monday Beijing time won't count as a loss or a profit this week; they'll count in the week when they settle.
For the daily trading task, don't use stablecoin pairs labeled “zero fees” (USDC/USDT and similar pairs don't count). Just buy and sell once on a regular trading pair like $BNB to reach the $50 volume requirement.
Did you make the weekly leaderboard in Week 1?
#币安神算子 #预测市场
Weekly leaderboard (only settled betting P&L from this week counts; task points don't):
Rank 1: +2.02 million
Rank 100: +41,000
Rank 1,000: +6,772
Rank 5,000: +1,304
Rank 8,000: +806 (last prize-winning rank, 5 USDC)
Season leaderboard (only available points count; unsettled positions don't):
Rank 1: 372,000
Rank 1,000: 8,290
Rank 5,000: 2,913
Rank 10,000: 2,241
Rank 20,000: 1,463 (last prize-winning rank, 7 USDC)
A few observations from this week:
The cutoff for rank 8,000 on the weekly leaderboard rose very quickly: +58 on Friday morning, +228 on Saturday, +739 on Sunday, and it closed at +806.
The person in first place on the season leaderboard had 608,000 on Sunday afternoon, but was down to 372,000 this morning—a drop of 230,000 in less than a day. The top ranks are earned by betting, and being at the top today doesn't mean you'll still be there at the end of the season.
The cutoff for rank 20,000 on the season leaderboard rose from 720 on Friday to 1,463. You can earn a little over 300 points a day just by doing tasks (check-ins + posts + trading), but this cutoff has recently been rising by 100 to 400 points a day, so it's tough to keep up with tasks alone.
I ranked 6,967th in Week 1, with net betting profits of +1,009.67—just enough to make the top 8,000. There was a bit of a scare along the way: my last bet, which settled at 6:22 a.m. Beijing time this morning (it was still Sunday in UTC, so it counts toward Week 1), initially didn't appear on the leaderboard. My row showed only +581, leaving me outside the top 8,000. It was added after the official refresh at around 8:20. So don't rush to conclusions after the cutoff—wait for the final refresh. I'm currently ranked 7,891st on the season leaderboard.
Week 2 started counting from 8 a.m. this morning. Bets that hadn't settled by 8 a.m. Monday Beijing time won't count as a loss or a profit this week; they'll count in the week when they settle.
For the daily trading task, don't use stablecoin pairs labeled “zero fees” (USDC/USDT and similar pairs don't count). Just buy and sell once on a regular trading pair like $BNB to reach the $50 volume requirement.
Did you make the weekly leaderboard in Week 1?
#币安神算子 #预测市场
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Article
Will JCT Pump Next Month? I’m Bullish, but 2.98 Billion Tokens Just Entered KuCoinJCT has nearly tripled since the start of October, rising from 0.001746 at the beginning of the month to 0.00694 now. My take: the real pump is about to begin in November.
But something major happened on-chain over the past two days, and I need to clarify it first: the six wallets I’ve repeatedly said had “not moved a single token,” along with another nine wallets, deposited a total of 2.98 billion JCT into KuCoin in the early hours of October 25.
Here’s the bottom line:
· I’m bullish on November: big players in the futures market are heavily positioned long, with an average cost around 0.0048. Retail traders are 60% short, so there’s still fuel for a rally.
· But overhead, there are 2.98 billion tokens that just entered exchanges, plus the November 10 unlock.
Will JCT Pump Next Month? I’m Bullish, but 2.98 Billion Tokens Just Entered KuCoin
JCT has nearly tripled since the start of October, rising from 0.001746 at the beginning of the month to 0.00694 now. My take: the real pump is about to begin in November.
But something major happened on-chain over the past two days, and I need to clarify it first: the six wallets I’ve repeatedly said had “not moved a single token,” along with another nine wallets, deposited a total of 2.98 billion JCT into KuCoin in the early hours of October 25.
Here’s the bottom line:
· I’m bullish on November: big players in the futures market are heavily positioned long, with an average cost around 0.0048. Retail traders are 60% short, so there’s still fuel for a rally.
· But overhead, there are 2.98 billion tokens that just entered exchanges, plus the November 10 unlock.
But something major happened on-chain over the past two days, and I need to clarify it first: the six wallets I’ve repeatedly said had “not moved a single token,” along with another nine wallets, deposited a total of 2.98 billion JCT into KuCoin in the early hours of October 25.
Here’s the bottom line:
· I’m bullish on November: big players in the futures market are heavily positioned long, with an average cost around 0.0048. Retail traders are 60% short, so there’s still fuel for a rally.
· But overhead, there are 2.98 billion tokens that just entered exchanges, plus the November 10 unlock.
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Article
Has the US Market Maker Dumped? 1.6 Billion Tokens Moved to South Korea’s Bithumb in 10 Days, While the Project Team’s 6.7 Billion Remain UntouchedUS (Talus) has fallen 87%, from a high of 0.0364 on October 9 to 0.00474 now. Many people are asking: has the market maker dumped their tokens?
I checked wallets on the Sui chain, Korean exchanges, and Binance futures. Here’s the conclusion:
· A major wave of selling has already happened: between October 10 and 20, 1.64 billion US tokens were transferred to South Korea’s Bithumb—nearly half the circulating supply. The price fell 83% over the same period.
· This wave has basically come to a halt: almost no one has deposited US to Bithumb since October 21, and trading volume has fallen to a fraction of its peak.
Has the US Market Maker Dumped? 1.6 Billion Tokens Moved to South Korea’s Bithumb in 10 Days, While the Project Team’s 6.7 Billion Remain Untouched
US (Talus) has fallen 87%, from a high of 0.0364 on October 9 to 0.00474 now. Many people are asking: has the market maker dumped their tokens?
I checked wallets on the Sui chain, Korean exchanges, and Binance futures. Here’s the conclusion:
· A major wave of selling has already happened: between October 10 and 20, 1.64 billion US tokens were transferred to South Korea’s Bithumb—nearly half the circulating supply. The price fell 83% over the same period.
· This wave has basically come to a halt: almost no one has deposited US to Bithumb since October 21, and trading volume has fallen to a fraction of its peak.
I checked wallets on the Sui chain, Korean exchanges, and Binance futures. Here’s the conclusion:
· A major wave of selling has already happened: between October 10 and 20, 1.64 billion US tokens were transferred to South Korea’s Bithumb—nearly half the circulating supply. The price fell 83% over the same period.
· This wave has basically come to a halt: almost no one has deposited US to Bithumb since October 21, and trading volume has fallen to a fraction of its peak.
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Partly True
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Predict.fun, the project behind Shen Suanzi, is coming to Binance: The business is real—but is a $1.43 billion valuation too high?Today (October 25) at 4:15 p.m., Binance Futures opened pre-market trading for PREDICT. PREDICT is the token of Predict.fun; it has not officially launched yet, and it is not listed on Binance Spot. Binance Wallet and Gate had already opened pre-market trading on October 21 and October 22, respectively.
Many people may not know that this project has close ties to Binance: it built the prediction market in Binance Wallet, and the Shen Suanzi competition page also uses its technology.
I looked into the project, its token, its valuation, and Binance’s previous pre-market tokens. Here’s the conclusion:
· The business is real, and fees are growing fast, with Binance driving traffic behind it.
Predict.fun, the project behind Shen Suanzi, is coming to Binance: The business is real—but is a $1.43 billion valuation too high?
Today (October 25) at 4:15 p.m., Binance Futures opened pre-market trading for PREDICT. PREDICT is the token of Predict.fun; it has not officially launched yet, and it is not listed on Binance Spot. Binance Wallet and Gate had already opened pre-market trading on October 21 and October 22, respectively.
Many people may not know that this project has close ties to Binance: it built the prediction market in Binance Wallet, and the Shen Suanzi competition page also uses its technology.
I looked into the project, its token, its valuation, and Binance’s previous pre-market tokens. Here’s the conclusion:
· The business is real, and fees are growing fast, with Binance driving traffic behind it.
Many people may not know that this project has close ties to Binance: it built the prediction market in Binance Wallet, and the Shen Suanzi competition page also uses its technology.
I looked into the project, its token, its valuation, and Binance’s previous pre-market tokens. Here’s the conclusion:
· The business is real, and fees are growing fast, with Binance driving traffic behind it.
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Day 7 of Binance Predictor: How exactly are the weekly rankings calculated? I checked against my own account
Someone asked in the comments yesterday: Are the weekly rankings based on “available points” or “how much you’ve won from betting”? Do unsettled positions count as losses?
Today I checked the numbers against my own account, and the answer is clear:
1. The weekly rankings only count the profit and loss from “settled” bets. I settled 4 matches this week. Winnings minus the purchase cost = +459.77, and the weekly leaderboard showed +459.34. A difference of just 0.4—close enough to match.
2. Unsettled positions count as neither a loss nor a win. I still have positions worth about 640 points that haven’t settled, and the weekly leaderboard hasn’t deducted a single point.
3. Points from tasks like check-ins, posting, and trading don’t count toward the weekly rankings, only the seasonal rankings.
4. The seasonal rankings only count “available points”; holdings don’t count. At around 2 p.m. this afternoon, my season points on the page were 1,943, but the seasonal leaderboard only counted 1,006. The difference of 937 is the value of my holdings.
So there are two things to keep in mind:
· This week’s cutoff is Monday at 7:59:59 a.m. (Beijing time). Barcelona vs. Real Madrid kicks off at 4 a.m. Monday, so the settlement time will be very close to the cutoff. If it doesn’t settle in time, the profit or loss will most likely count toward next week.
· Before the final day of the season (November 16 at 7:59:59 a.m. Beijing time), you’ll need to either wait for your positions to settle or sell them. Otherwise, they’ll just sit there doing nothing on the seasonal leaderboard.
The rankings at around 2 p.m. today:
Seasonal leaderboard: Rank 20,000: 1,346 / Rank 10,000: 2,088 / Rank 5,000: 2,498 / Rank 1,000: 6,658
Weekly leaderboard: Rank 8,000: +739 / Rank 5,000: +997 / Rank 1,000: +5,114
Yesterday morning, the 20,000th place on the seasonal leaderboard was still at 935. It rose by 411 in just over a day. Even if you only do tasks, you can earn just over 300 points a day (check-in + 100 for posting + 200 for trading), so it’s already getting hard to keep up. For the trading task, I just made one spot buy and sell using $BNB to reach the $50 requirement. Stablecoin pairs tagged “0 trading fees” don’t count, so don’t waste your time.
Is your weekly leaderboard result positive or negative? Let me know in the comments.
#币安神算子 #预测市场
Day 7 of Binance Predictor: How exactly are the weekly rankings calculated? I checked against my own account
Someone asked in the comments yesterday: Are the weekly rankings based on “available points” or “how much you’ve won from betting”? Do unsettled positions count as losses?
Today I checked the numbers against my own account, and the answer is clear:
1. The weekly rankings only count the profit and loss from “settled” bets. I settled 4 matches this week. Winnings minus the purchase cost = +459.77, and the weekly leaderboard showed +459.34. A difference of just 0.4—close enough to match.
2. Unsettled positions count as neither a loss nor a win. I still have positions worth about 640 points that haven’t settled, and the weekly leaderboard hasn’t deducted a single point.
3. Points from tasks like check-ins, posting, and trading don’t count toward the weekly rankings, only the seasonal rankings.
4. The seasonal rankings only count “available points”; holdings don’t count. At around 2 p.m. this afternoon, my season points on the page were 1,943, but the seasonal leaderboard only counted 1,006. The difference of 937 is the value of my holdings.
So there are two things to keep in mind:
· This week’s cutoff is Monday at 7:59:59 a.m. (Beijing time). Barcelona vs. Real Madrid kicks off at 4 a.m. Monday, so the settlement time will be very close to the cutoff. If it doesn’t settle in time, the profit or loss will most likely count toward next week.
· Before the final day of the season (November 16 at 7:59:59 a.m. Beijing time), you’ll need to either wait for your positions to settle or sell them. Otherwise, they’ll just sit there doing nothing on the seasonal leaderboard.
The rankings at around 2 p.m. today:
Seasonal leaderboard: Rank 20,000: 1,346 / Rank 10,000: 2,088 / Rank 5,000: 2,498 / Rank 1,000: 6,658
Weekly leaderboard: Rank 8,000: +739 / Rank 5,000: +997 / Rank 1,000: +5,114
Yesterday morning, the 20,000th place on the seasonal leaderboard was still at 935. It rose by 411 in just over a day. Even if you only do tasks, you can earn just over 300 points a day (check-in + 100 for posting + 200 for trading), so it’s already getting hard to keep up. For the trading task, I just made one spot buy and sell using $BNB to reach the $50 requirement. Stablecoin pairs tagged “0 trading fees” don’t count, so don’t waste your time.
Is your weekly leaderboard result positive or negative? Let me know in the comments.
#币安神算子 #预测市场
Someone asked in the comments yesterday: Are the weekly rankings based on “available points” or “how much you’ve won from betting”? Do unsettled positions count as losses?
Today I checked the numbers against my own account, and the answer is clear:
1. The weekly rankings only count the profit and loss from “settled” bets. I settled 4 matches this week. Winnings minus the purchase cost = +459.77, and the weekly leaderboard showed +459.34. A difference of just 0.4—close enough to match.
2. Unsettled positions count as neither a loss nor a win. I still have positions worth about 640 points that haven’t settled, and the weekly leaderboard hasn’t deducted a single point.
3. Points from tasks like check-ins, posting, and trading don’t count toward the weekly rankings, only the seasonal rankings.
4. The seasonal rankings only count “available points”; holdings don’t count. At around 2 p.m. this afternoon, my season points on the page were 1,943, but the seasonal leaderboard only counted 1,006. The difference of 937 is the value of my holdings.
So there are two things to keep in mind:
· This week’s cutoff is Monday at 7:59:59 a.m. (Beijing time). Barcelona vs. Real Madrid kicks off at 4 a.m. Monday, so the settlement time will be very close to the cutoff. If it doesn’t settle in time, the profit or loss will most likely count toward next week.
· Before the final day of the season (November 16 at 7:59:59 a.m. Beijing time), you’ll need to either wait for your positions to settle or sell them. Otherwise, they’ll just sit there doing nothing on the seasonal leaderboard.
The rankings at around 2 p.m. today:
Seasonal leaderboard: Rank 20,000: 1,346 / Rank 10,000: 2,088 / Rank 5,000: 2,498 / Rank 1,000: 6,658
Weekly leaderboard: Rank 8,000: +739 / Rank 5,000: +997 / Rank 1,000: +5,114
Yesterday morning, the 20,000th place on the seasonal leaderboard was still at 935. It rose by 411 in just over a day. Even if you only do tasks, you can earn just over 300 points a day (check-in + 100 for posting + 200 for trading), so it’s already getting hard to keep up. For the trading task, I just made one spot buy and sell using $BNB to reach the $50 requirement. Stablecoin pairs tagged “0 trading fees” don’t count, so don’t waste your time.
Is your weekly leaderboard result positive or negative? Let me know in the comments.
#币安神算子 #预测市场
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ORDER surged as much as 212% in a day: Koreans are buying, shorts are paying—and one wallet did the same thing on this day last yearToday, around 4 p.m. Beijing time, ORDER started climbing, surging from 0.033 to 0.1032 at 18:41, a gain of up to 212%. Then, within 10 minutes, a sharp plunge wiped out a fifth of its value, with the price hitting a low of 0.0562 at 19:33. At 8:40 p.m., it was at 0.0736, still more than double its morning price. ORDER futures on Binance saw $400 million in trading volume today, over 600 times its usual daily volume.
ORDER is the token of Orderly Network, a project that provides infrastructure for perpetual futures trading. Its total supply is 1 billion tokens, with about 407 million in circulation. Its current circulating market cap is around $31 million. Its all-time high was 0.4978 (in October 2025), and its low this year was 0.0269 in August. Even after surging to 0.1032 today, it has only climbed back to a fifth of its all-time high.
ORDER surged as much as 212% in a day: Koreans are buying, shorts are paying—and one wallet did the same thing on this day last year
Today, around 4 p.m. Beijing time, ORDER started climbing, surging from 0.033 to 0.1032 at 18:41, a gain of up to 212%. Then, within 10 minutes, a sharp plunge wiped out a fifth of its value, with the price hitting a low of 0.0562 at 19:33. At 8:40 p.m., it was at 0.0736, still more than double its morning price. ORDER futures on Binance saw $400 million in trading volume today, over 600 times its usual daily volume.
ORDER is the token of Orderly Network, a project that provides infrastructure for perpetual futures trading. Its total supply is 1 billion tokens, with about 407 million in circulation. Its current circulating market cap is around $31 million. Its all-time high was 0.4978 (in October 2025), and its low this year was 0.0269 in August. Even after surging to 0.1032 today, it has only climbed back to a fifth of its all-time high.
ORDER is the token of Orderly Network, a project that provides infrastructure for perpetual futures trading. Its total supply is 1 billion tokens, with about 407 million in circulation. Its current circulating market cap is around $31 million. Its all-time high was 0.4978 (in October 2025), and its low this year was 0.0269 in August. Even after surging to 0.1032 today, it has only climbed back to a fifth of its all-time high.
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BIRB has surged more than 4x in six days: South Koreans are buying, shorts are paying, and the project team sent 10 million tokens to exchangesBIRB hit a low of 0.04501 on October 18 and a high of 0.2089 today, rising 4.6x in six days. Today’s daily candle is up 157% so far (16:00 Beijing time, price 0.1954). Binance futures trading volume today was $456 million, 456 times the usual daily volume, ranking 10th across the entire market in 24-hour trading volume.
BIRB is the token of Moonbirds, the NFT project known for its owl profile pictures. It launched its token on Solana on January 28 this year, with a total supply of 1 billion. Binance offers Alpha and futures trading, but no spot trading; spot trading is available on South Korean exchanges Upbit and Bithumb, as well as Coinbase and Bybit.
BIRB has surged more than 4x in six days: South Koreans are buying, shorts are paying, and the project team sent 10 million tokens to exchanges
BIRB hit a low of 0.04501 on October 18 and a high of 0.2089 today, rising 4.6x in six days. Today’s daily candle is up 157% so far (16:00 Beijing time, price 0.1954). Binance futures trading volume today was $456 million, 456 times the usual daily volume, ranking 10th across the entire market in 24-hour trading volume.
BIRB is the token of Moonbirds, the NFT project known for its owl profile pictures. It launched its token on Solana on January 28 this year, with a total supply of 1 billion. Binance offers Alpha and futures trading, but no spot trading; spot trading is available on South Korean exchanges Upbit and Bithumb, as well as Coinbase and Bybit.
BIRB is the token of Moonbirds, the NFT project known for its owl profile pictures. It launched its token on Solana on January 28 this year, with a total supply of 1 billion. Binance offers Alpha and futures trading, but no spot trading; spot trading is available on South Korean exchanges Upbit and Bithumb, as well as Coinbase and Bybit.
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Less than two days left in Week 1 of Binance Oracle. The weekly leaderboard settles at 8 a.m. on Monday. I just checked the rankings:
Season leaderboard: 20,000th place has 934.5 points, up from 720 at this time yesterday; 10,000th place has 1,336; 1,000th place has 3,166.
Weekly leaderboard: 8,000th place has +228, up from +58 yesterday; 1,000th place has +2,376.
The cutoff has risen by more than 200 points in a day. If you only do the tasks, you can earn a little over 300 points a day at most (check-in + 100 for posting + 200 for trading), which is just enough to keep up. Miss a day and you’ll fall behind.
One reminder: rankings only count available points and points frozen in open orders. The value of your holdings doesn’t count. Before Sunday night, either close your positions or wait for them to settle.
How many points do you have now?
#币安神算子 #预测市场
Less than two days left in Week 1 of Binance Oracle. The weekly leaderboard settles at 8 a.m. on Monday. I just checked the rankings:
Season leaderboard: 20,000th place has 934.5 points, up from 720 at this time yesterday; 10,000th place has 1,336; 1,000th place has 3,166.
Weekly leaderboard: 8,000th place has +228, up from +58 yesterday; 1,000th place has +2,376.
The cutoff has risen by more than 200 points in a day. If you only do the tasks, you can earn a little over 300 points a day at most (check-in + 100 for posting + 200 for trading), which is just enough to keep up. Miss a day and you’ll fall behind.
One reminder: rankings only count available points and points frozen in open orders. The value of your holdings doesn’t count. Before Sunday night, either close your positions or wait for them to settle.
How many points do you have now?
#币安神算子 #预测市场
Season leaderboard: 20,000th place has 934.5 points, up from 720 at this time yesterday; 10,000th place has 1,336; 1,000th place has 3,166.
Weekly leaderboard: 8,000th place has +228, up from +58 yesterday; 1,000th place has +2,376.
The cutoff has risen by more than 200 points in a day. If you only do the tasks, you can earn a little over 300 points a day at most (check-in + 100 for posting + 200 for trading), which is just enough to keep up. Miss a day and you’ll fall behind.
One reminder: rankings only count available points and points frozen in open orders. The value of your holdings doesn’t count. Before Sunday night, either close your positions or wait for them to settle.
How many points do you have now?
#币安神算子 #预测市场
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10/24 Daily MACD Golden Cross Report: 18 Coins Cross; BIRB Doubles Again the Next Day; Previous Surge Group Falls 30% in 3 DaysAfter the daily candle closed at 8 a.m. this morning, 18 coins on Binance Futures had a daily MACD golden cross. For all of them, it was the first daily candle after the cross. As usual, they’re divided into three groups based on their performance on the day of the golden cross.
The takeaway: BIRB was the strongest, doubling again the morning after the golden cross. But historically, people who chase moves like this mostly lose money at first. The surge group from the previous report fell around 30% in just 3 days.
▍Review of the previous report
The October 21 cohort had 17 coins. From the close on the day of the golden cross to 10:30 a.m. today, only 3 were up; the average was down 4.3%.
10/24 Daily MACD Golden Cross Report: 18 Coins Cross; BIRB Doubles Again the Next Day; Previous Surge Group Falls 30% in 3 Days
After the daily candle closed at 8 a.m. this morning, 18 coins on Binance Futures had a daily MACD golden cross. For all of them, it was the first daily candle after the cross. As usual, they’re divided into three groups based on their performance on the day of the golden cross.
The takeaway: BIRB was the strongest, doubling again the morning after the golden cross. But historically, people who chase moves like this mostly lose money at first. The surge group from the previous report fell around 30% in just 3 days.
▍Review of the previous report
The October 21 cohort had 17 coins. From the close on the day of the golden cross to 10:30 a.m. today, only 3 were up; the average was down 4.3%.
The takeaway: BIRB was the strongest, doubling again the morning after the golden cross. But historically, people who chase moves like this mostly lose money at first. The surge group from the previous report fell around 30% in just 3 days.
▍Review of the previous report
The October 21 cohort had 17 coins. From the close on the day of the golden cross to 10:30 a.m. today, only 3 were up; the average was down 4.3%.
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$IRYS Whether prices rise or fall, the goal is to liquidate users.
$IRYS Whether prices rise or fall, the goal is to liquidate users.
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IRYS Is Up Nearly 10x in Five Days: Korean Retail Investors Are Buying, and Shorts Are Getting LiquidatedIRYS hit a low of 0.01168 on October 18 and a high of 0.11879 today—nearly a 10x gain in five days. Today’s daily candle alone is up more than 4x, from 0.02059 to 0.1154 (at 00:57 Beijing time). Binance futures trading volume today was $1.2 billion, 1,229 times the usual level. On the day AKE took off, it was 369 times the usual level; for RAVE, it was 161 times.
When a coin rises this much, the key question is: who’s buying? I looked into futures, Korean exchanges, and token unlocks.
▍First, a quick explainer: How to tell who’s driving the move
You only need to look at two things.
First, which is more expensive: futures or spot. If futures are much more expensive than spot, that means futures are driving the move; if they’re about the same, spot is keeping up.
IRYS Is Up Nearly 10x in Five Days: Korean Retail Investors Are Buying, and Shorts Are Getting Liquidated
IRYS hit a low of 0.01168 on October 18 and a high of 0.11879 today—nearly a 10x gain in five days. Today’s daily candle alone is up more than 4x, from 0.02059 to 0.1154 (at 00:57 Beijing time). Binance futures trading volume today was $1.2 billion, 1,229 times the usual level. On the day AKE took off, it was 369 times the usual level; for RAVE, it was 161 times.
When a coin rises this much, the key question is: who’s buying? I looked into futures, Korean exchanges, and token unlocks.
▍First, a quick explainer: How to tell who’s driving the move
You only need to look at two things.
First, which is more expensive: futures or spot. If futures are much more expensive than spot, that means futures are driving the move; if they’re about the same, spot is keeping up.
When a coin rises this much, the key question is: who’s buying? I looked into futures, Korean exchanges, and token unlocks.
▍First, a quick explainer: How to tell who’s driving the move
You only need to look at two things.
First, which is more expensive: futures or spot. If futures are much more expensive than spot, that means futures are driving the move; if they’re about the same, spot is keeping up.
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TAKE’s shorts are trapped: I think it’ll wick down to the low first, then rise hundreds of times like AKEHonestly, I think the shorts in TAKE are trapped. My guess is that next it will first wick down near the low, shake out the people crowded into longs, and then rise hundreds of times like AKE.
This is my assessment, not a fact. Below, I’ll lay out all the data I can find, including evidence both for and against my view.
▍First, a quick explainer: how to tell whether shorts are trapped
In contracts, every short position opened has a long position on the other side, so the total long and short open interest is always equal. If open interest increases, it means someone is opening new positions; if it decreases, someone is closing positions or getting liquidated.
TAKE’s shorts are trapped: I think it’ll wick down to the low first, then rise hundreds of times like AKE
Honestly, I think the shorts in TAKE are trapped. My guess is that next it will first wick down near the low, shake out the people crowded into longs, and then rise hundreds of times like AKE.
This is my assessment, not a fact. Below, I’ll lay out all the data I can find, including evidence both for and against my view.
▍First, a quick explainer: how to tell whether shorts are trapped
In contracts, every short position opened has a long position on the other side, so the total long and short open interest is always equal. If open interest increases, it means someone is opening new positions; if it decreases, someone is closing positions or getting liquidated.
This is my assessment, not a fact. Below, I’ll lay out all the data I can find, including evidence both for and against my view.
▍First, a quick explainer: how to tell whether shorts are trapped
In contracts, every short position opened has a long position on the other side, so the total long and short open interest is always equal. If open interest increases, it means someone is opening new positions; if it decreases, someone is closing positions or getting liquidated.
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How much USDC can you actually earn from Binance Oracle? I ran the numbers using the rules and leaderboardOver the past couple of days, lots of people have been showing off their Binance Oracle results. Some say, “I’m guaranteed to take home $20,000 for coming in first,” while others say, “Making the top 20,000 is no problem at all.” I downloaded the event rules and leaderboard data and ran the numbers myself. Here’s the conclusion: ordinary users can reliably earn a few to a few dozen USDC; those at the top with hundreds of thousands of points got there by taking a gamble.
▍First, a quick explainer: What is Binance Oracle?
It’s a prediction market that uses points. You use points to predict the outcome of sports matches, esports events, earnings reports, and BTC price movements. The price reflects the probability that everyone assigns to an outcome. For example, for “Will Microsoft’s earnings beat expectations?”, if “Yes” is priced at 0.78, you spend 0.78 points to buy one share. If you’re right, that share becomes worth 1 point; if you’re wrong, it becomes worthless.
How much USDC can you actually earn from Binance Oracle? I ran the numbers using the rules and leaderboard
Over the past couple of days, lots of people have been showing off their Binance Oracle results. Some say, “I’m guaranteed to take home $20,000 for coming in first,” while others say, “Making the top 20,000 is no problem at all.” I downloaded the event rules and leaderboard data and ran the numbers myself. Here’s the conclusion: ordinary users can reliably earn a few to a few dozen USDC; those at the top with hundreds of thousands of points got there by taking a gamble.
▍First, a quick explainer: What is Binance Oracle?
It’s a prediction market that uses points. You use points to predict the outcome of sports matches, esports events, earnings reports, and BTC price movements. The price reflects the probability that everyone assigns to an outcome. For example, for “Will Microsoft’s earnings beat expectations?”, if “Yes” is priced at 0.78, you spend 0.78 points to buy one share. If you’re right, that share becomes worth 1 point; if you’re wrong, it becomes worthless.
▍First, a quick explainer: What is Binance Oracle?
It’s a prediction market that uses points. You use points to predict the outcome of sports matches, esports events, earnings reports, and BTC price movements. The price reflects the probability that everyone assigns to an outcome. For example, for “Will Microsoft’s earnings beat expectations?”, if “Yes” is priced at 0.78, you spend 0.78 points to buy one share. If you’re right, that share becomes worth 1 point; if you’re wrong, it becomes worthless.
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Q and AGT have both risen 7x. Which one has more upside from here? I’m betting on AGTThe two strongest performers across the market last week were Q and AGT. From the October 12 close to their peaks, Q rose 7.2 times and AGT rose 7.0 times—almost the same. Both are now pulling back: Q has fallen from 0.217 to 0.1205, and AGT from 0.1151 to 0.0742.
Which one can still deliver a bigger multiple from here? I’m betting on AGT. Below, I lay out my reasoning as well as the data that goes against my view.
▍A quick explainer: a coin’s potential multiple depends on how much money it takes to push it up another 2x
Ultimately, how many times a coin can rise comes down to two things: how big its market cap is and how much money it takes to push it higher.
Market cap here means circulating market cap: the current price multiplied by the number of coins in circulation. Q’s circulating market cap is currently about $567 million, while AGT’s is about $243 million—Q is 2.3 times larger. For either coin to double again, Q would need to reach over $1.1 billion, while AGT would need to reach less than $500 million.
Q and AGT have both risen 7x. Which one has more upside from here? I’m betting on AGT
The two strongest performers across the market last week were Q and AGT. From the October 12 close to their peaks, Q rose 7.2 times and AGT rose 7.0 times—almost the same. Both are now pulling back: Q has fallen from 0.217 to 0.1205, and AGT from 0.1151 to 0.0742.
Which one can still deliver a bigger multiple from here? I’m betting on AGT. Below, I lay out my reasoning as well as the data that goes against my view.
▍A quick explainer: a coin’s potential multiple depends on how much money it takes to push it up another 2x
Ultimately, how many times a coin can rise comes down to two things: how big its market cap is and how much money it takes to push it higher.
Market cap here means circulating market cap: the current price multiplied by the number of coins in circulation. Q’s circulating market cap is currently about $567 million, while AGT’s is about $243 million—Q is 2.3 times larger. For either coin to double again, Q would need to reach over $1.1 billion, while AGT would need to reach less than $500 million.
Which one can still deliver a bigger multiple from here? I’m betting on AGT. Below, I lay out my reasoning as well as the data that goes against my view.
▍A quick explainer: a coin’s potential multiple depends on how much money it takes to push it up another 2x
Ultimately, how many times a coin can rise comes down to two things: how big its market cap is and how much money it takes to push it higher.
Market cap here means circulating market cap: the current price multiplied by the number of coins in circulation. Q’s circulating market cap is currently about $567 million, while AGT’s is about $243 million—Q is 2.3 times larger. For either coin to double again, Q would need to reach over $1.1 billion, while AGT would need to reach less than $500 million.
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