有志币青年
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有志币青年
X:有币青年，公众号：有志币青年
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#Space listed at $135, raising about $75 billion, with a valuation of $1.77 trillion.
On the opening day, it kicked off around $150, spiking to about $228 in the first week, then quickly retracing, with yesterday’s low hitting around $146, close to the opening price. The market cap has evaporated by about $200 billion, resulting in many high-entry buyers seeing paper losses.
So, is this dip just a short-term correction, or the start of a bigger adjustment? Can the upcoming passive fund buys withstand the unlocking sell pressure?
In the short term, the first wave of shares unlocking from late July to early August is expected to release 7%-11% of shares, which can amplify volatility in a low float environment.
Coupled with an overall tech sector adjustment, the sell pressure constitutes the main hurdle, but the Nasdaq 100 index inclusion (expected in early July) will bring in billions in passive funds, with some institutions already loading up at lower levels to form support.
These two factors will directly clash, and price volatility is expected to remain high. Longer term, SpaceX holds a genuine competitive edge with its dominance in space launches, the expansion of Starlink users, and breakthroughs in Starship technology, backed by ample cash reserves.
However, the high valuation corresponds to an expected revenue of about $18.7 billion in 2025, necessitating a sustained performance delivery, while facing challenges in tech execution, regulation, and capital investment. The growth story ultimately hinges on actual delivery rather than early-stage hype.
On the opening day, it kicked off around $150, spiking to about $228 in the first week, then quickly retracing, with yesterday’s low hitting around $146, close to the opening price. The market cap has evaporated by about $200 billion, resulting in many high-entry buyers seeing paper losses.
So, is this dip just a short-term correction, or the start of a bigger adjustment? Can the upcoming passive fund buys withstand the unlocking sell pressure?
In the short term, the first wave of shares unlocking from late July to early August is expected to release 7%-11% of shares, which can amplify volatility in a low float environment.
Coupled with an overall tech sector adjustment, the sell pressure constitutes the main hurdle, but the Nasdaq 100 index inclusion (expected in early July) will bring in billions in passive funds, with some institutions already loading up at lower levels to form support.
These two factors will directly clash, and price volatility is expected to remain high. Longer term, SpaceX holds a genuine competitive edge with its dominance in space launches, the expansion of Starlink users, and breakthroughs in Starship technology, backed by ample cash reserves.
However, the high valuation corresponds to an expected revenue of about $18.7 billion in 2025, necessitating a sustained performance delivery, while facing challenges in tech execution, regulation, and capital investment. The growth story ultimately hinges on actual delivery rather than early-stage hype.
$BEAT
Current price around 2.4, looking to stack a position
Bottom consolidation for a week
Today we're starting to see volume kick in
Currently, bullish momentum hasn't weakened
Targeting the 3.5 area first
Current price around 2.4, looking to stack a position
Bottom consolidation for a week
Today we're starting to see volume kick in
Currently, bullish momentum hasn't weakened
Targeting the 3.5 area first
$VELVET
Are we still looking to short? The bears are raking it in?
It's clear for all to see that the price skyrocketed 10x in just a week, while during this time, the short positions kept piling up, yet the big players showed no signs of easing up on the buying pressure.
But we all know the script here; pumping the price is just to inflate the value of their holdings, allowing them to cash out at the top.
You can see clearly from the candlesticks that this level of buying and selling pressure isn't something retail traders can generate on their own to impact the market this significantly.
Cashing out directly puts pressure on the market, making it hard to increase trading volume effectively, and there's a lack of upward momentum support. The current position at 0.37 won't be the low point of this pullback; I believe after a slight rebound, the price will drop to around 0.2.
Are we still looking to short? The bears are raking it in?
It's clear for all to see that the price skyrocketed 10x in just a week, while during this time, the short positions kept piling up, yet the big players showed no signs of easing up on the buying pressure.
But we all know the script here; pumping the price is just to inflate the value of their holdings, allowing them to cash out at the top.
You can see clearly from the candlesticks that this level of buying and selling pressure isn't something retail traders can generate on their own to impact the market this significantly.
Cashing out directly puts pressure on the market, making it hard to increase trading volume effectively, and there's a lack of upward momentum support. The current position at 0.37 won't be the low point of this pullback; I believe after a slight rebound, the price will drop to around 0.2.
$SIREN
Now the selling has become so bold and straightforward
If these buy addresses are the project's own wallets
Then the next round could very well be a storm
Price-wise: currently around 0.55, with a morning low near 0.0388
From the news perspective, it seems bullish for SIREN; theoretically, following the long position is definitely the optimal move
But my ideal entry isn't at 0.55; I'll wait for my chance to jump in, ideally around 0.4
Now the selling has become so bold and straightforward
If these buy addresses are the project's own wallets
Then the next round could very well be a storm
Price-wise: currently around 0.55, with a morning low near 0.0388
From the news perspective, it seems bullish for SIREN; theoretically, following the long position is definitely the optimal move
But my ideal entry isn't at 0.55; I'll wait for my chance to jump in, ideally around 0.4
From never selling #BTC to the company being able to sell, the hype has pretty much shattered. Any slogans shouted in the future probably won't be trusted anymore. This is how faith in the crypto space gets worn down bit by bit.
$BEAT
Single-day surge nearly threefold, shorts unexpectedly fueling the rally, yet the funding rate remains stubbornly positive. What's the logic behind this?
Today, #BEAT price skyrocketed to $9.2, while yesterday it hovered around $3, achieving nearly a threefold increase in just one day.
Such explosive surges aren't rare in the crypto market, but we need to understand the underlying logic. Short positions are being aggressively liquidated, which is also driving prices higher.
The shorts established at lower levels are getting wrecked as prices soar, with forced buy orders flooding in, further amplifying the upward momentum, creating a short squeeze effect.
The funding rate for perpetual contracts is still holding positive, not flipping negative as expected. A positive funding rate means that longs are still paying fees to shorts, indicating that the current contract prices are still in a clear premium state.
Long positions remain strong, showing no signs of profit-taking or reversal despite the short-term explosive rally. If the funding rate had turned negative, it typically indicates that shorts are starting to dominate or that long confidence is wavering. But the current situation shows that bulls still hold the advantage in the market.
This brings up a core question: this surge—are retail traders following the whales and continuing to go long, or have most retail traders been washed out during the earlier correction or liquidation wave, leaving only the whales in control?
1. Retail FOMO is high; seeing prices continuously climb, they rush to go long, compounded with leverage, further pushing up the premium, causing the funding rate to remain positive.
2. Retail traders have been heavily washed out, and now, the long positions are more concentrated in the hands of low-cost whales who have stronger holding capacity and risk management, willing to continue pushing prices higher, while retail traders are sitting on the sidelines due to liquidations or fears of chasing higher prices.
Risk: Once the bulls start cashing in their profits, or new shorts enter to counterattack, the speed at which the funding rate turns negative could be swift, potentially serving as new fuel for the shorts.
Single-day surge nearly threefold, shorts unexpectedly fueling the rally, yet the funding rate remains stubbornly positive. What's the logic behind this?
Today, #BEAT price skyrocketed to $9.2, while yesterday it hovered around $3, achieving nearly a threefold increase in just one day.
Such explosive surges aren't rare in the crypto market, but we need to understand the underlying logic. Short positions are being aggressively liquidated, which is also driving prices higher.
The shorts established at lower levels are getting wrecked as prices soar, with forced buy orders flooding in, further amplifying the upward momentum, creating a short squeeze effect.
The funding rate for perpetual contracts is still holding positive, not flipping negative as expected. A positive funding rate means that longs are still paying fees to shorts, indicating that the current contract prices are still in a clear premium state.
Long positions remain strong, showing no signs of profit-taking or reversal despite the short-term explosive rally. If the funding rate had turned negative, it typically indicates that shorts are starting to dominate or that long confidence is wavering. But the current situation shows that bulls still hold the advantage in the market.
This brings up a core question: this surge—are retail traders following the whales and continuing to go long, or have most retail traders been washed out during the earlier correction or liquidation wave, leaving only the whales in control?
1. Retail FOMO is high; seeing prices continuously climb, they rush to go long, compounded with leverage, further pushing up the premium, causing the funding rate to remain positive.
2. Retail traders have been heavily washed out, and now, the long positions are more concentrated in the hands of low-cost whales who have stronger holding capacity and risk management, willing to continue pushing prices higher, while retail traders are sitting on the sidelines due to liquidations or fears of chasing higher prices.
Risk: Once the bulls start cashing in their profits, or new shorts enter to counterattack, the speed at which the funding rate turns negative could be swift, potentially serving as new fuel for the shorts.
Are market makers really this ruthless these days?
$H
They smashed it straight from a high of 0.86 down to a low of 0.05, a 90% crash—clearly the market makers just bailed and left the scene.
Market makers are getting more outrageous; at least before they used to control the market somewhat, but now they just go for a brutal liquidation, cashing out and disappearing.
What's even crazier is that with this level of meltdown, there were no circuit breakers, no trading halts at all.
The market is getting more wild.
$H
They smashed it straight from a high of 0.86 down to a low of 0.05, a 90% crash—clearly the market makers just bailed and left the scene.
Market makers are getting more outrageous; at least before they used to control the market somewhat, but now they just go for a brutal liquidation, cashing out and disappearing.
What's even crazier is that with this level of meltdown, there were no circuit breakers, no trading halts at all.
The market is getting more wild.
#Aster has been ranging for months, is it waiting for a big move?
A lot of folks are still worried about the "CZ concept fading away," but $ASTER has already completed its decentralization. If it were pure trash, would it really be able to consolidate for months? It would have already tanked to zero.
The only explanation for this long consolidation is that someone is accumulating.
While we can't read the concentration of chips, the behavior is quite honest—neither pumping to attract attention nor dumping. This is a classic accumulation pattern.
Now the key is the inflection point.
#hype has already established the valuation ceiling and profit potential for perp DEX, and market sentiment is just right. If this operator still doesn’t take advantage of the momentum to push it up and get in on the ride to market-making, it’s really hard to understand.
Waiting until the perp DEX as a whole enters a downtrend and liquidity shrinks, and then trying to pump, that’s just fighting against the tide and will yield little results. Capital isn’t dumb; the time window is limited.
After months of consolidation, it’s all about waiting for that turning point.
Waiting for the wind, or maybe the wind has already arrived.
A lot of folks are still worried about the "CZ concept fading away," but $ASTER has already completed its decentralization. If it were pure trash, would it really be able to consolidate for months? It would have already tanked to zero.
The only explanation for this long consolidation is that someone is accumulating.
While we can't read the concentration of chips, the behavior is quite honest—neither pumping to attract attention nor dumping. This is a classic accumulation pattern.
Now the key is the inflection point.
#hype has already established the valuation ceiling and profit potential for perp DEX, and market sentiment is just right. If this operator still doesn’t take advantage of the momentum to push it up and get in on the ride to market-making, it’s really hard to understand.
Waiting until the perp DEX as a whole enters a downtrend and liquidity shrinks, and then trying to pump, that’s just fighting against the tide and will yield little results. Capital isn’t dumb; the time window is limited.
After months of consolidation, it’s all about waiting for that turning point.
Waiting for the wind, or maybe the wind has already arrived.
$TON
Today we saw a classic inverted V pattern; the key level to watch is around 1.88. This recent wave started a bounce from 1.7, peaking close to 2.2 before quickly retracing to around 1.9.
The bulls' retreat after the surge is happening at lightning speed, and the volume-price action doesn't look healthy. There's a high probability that this is just a trap for the bulls, not a real trend reversal.
At this stage, if we break below the 1.88 level, it would signify that this pump-and-dump has failed, and the bears will regain control.
Additionally, overall market interest in #TON has noticeably declined. There’s no big money entering, no hot catalysts, and no ecosystem benefits continuing to brew.
Without clear money rotation signals like we saw with SAGA, ecosystem projects are advancing slowly, community interest is fading, and without external bullish stimuli, it's tough to expect a solid bullish trend based solely on technical rebounds. Personally, I lean more towards a bearish trend.
Today we saw a classic inverted V pattern; the key level to watch is around 1.88. This recent wave started a bounce from 1.7, peaking close to 2.2 before quickly retracing to around 1.9.
The bulls' retreat after the surge is happening at lightning speed, and the volume-price action doesn't look healthy. There's a high probability that this is just a trap for the bulls, not a real trend reversal.
At this stage, if we break below the 1.88 level, it would signify that this pump-and-dump has failed, and the bears will regain control.
Additionally, overall market interest in #TON has noticeably declined. There’s no big money entering, no hot catalysts, and no ecosystem benefits continuing to brew.
Without clear money rotation signals like we saw with SAGA, ecosystem projects are advancing slowly, community interest is fading, and without external bullish stimuli, it's tough to expect a solid bullish trend based solely on technical rebounds. Personally, I lean more towards a bearish trend.
This wave $HYPE
has left many FOMOing, probably thinking:
"If only I had bought the dip back then... If only I had held on longer... If only I had bagged more..."
Missing the boat isn't the end of the world, but panicking and making bad moves afterwards can be disastrous. If you missed this round, just wait for the next one. What's the rush? Rushing to lose money?
has left many FOMOing, probably thinking:
"If only I had bought the dip back then... If only I had held on longer... If only I had bagged more..."
Missing the boat isn't the end of the world, but panicking and making bad moves afterwards can be disastrous. If you missed this round, just wait for the next one. What's the rush? Rushing to lose money?
Hodl up, fam!!
#BILL
#BILL
有志币青年
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Bearish#BILL At this level, it's time to start laying down some shorts.
Check out the trend of $BILL
; it's clear that 0.22 is acting as strong resistance. On the 13th, it shot up to 0.227 but got smashed back down. Today, it was pulled up to 0.225 and then retraced; both times it touched above 0.22 and couldn't hold. Right now, the short position is around 0.22, so diving in directly is no big deal.
There’s still an unlock coming in June, so we can expect some selling pressure down the line.
Check out the trend of $BILL
; it's clear that 0.22 is acting as strong resistance. On the 13th, it shot up to 0.227 but got smashed back down. Today, it was pulled up to 0.225 and then retraced; both times it touched above 0.22 and couldn't hold. Right now, the short position is around 0.22, so diving in directly is no big deal.
There’s still an unlock coming in June, so we can expect some selling pressure down the line.
#BILL At this level, it's time to start laying down some shorts.
Check out the trend of $BILL ; it's clear that 0.22 is acting as strong resistance. On the 13th, it shot up to 0.227 but got smashed back down. Today, it was pulled up to 0.225 and then retraced; both times it touched above 0.22 and couldn't hold. Right now, the short position is around 0.22, so diving in directly is no big deal.
There’s still an unlock coming in June, so we can expect some selling pressure down the line.
Check out the trend of $BILL ; it's clear that 0.22 is acting as strong resistance. On the 13th, it shot up to 0.227 but got smashed back down. Today, it was pulled up to 0.225 and then retraced; both times it touched above 0.22 and couldn't hold. Right now, the short position is around 0.22, so diving in directly is no big deal.
There’s still an unlock coming in June, so we can expect some selling pressure down the line.
Hakimi's got the #ASTER spot trading! 🎉
Forget about expecting alpha from now on, just look for $ASTER and that's that. The mainnet ASTEROID is also on the aster contract.
Will all future projects on Binance go through the aster process first?
Forget about expecting alpha from now on, just look for $ASTER and that's that. The mainnet ASTEROID is also on the aster contract.
Will all future projects on Binance go through the aster process first?
WHY Binance just delisted 19 tokens, are you still holding bags? $WHY
Binance EN: Binance Will Delist ATA, FARM, MLN, PHB, SYS on 2026-05-27
Important Binance Announcement: Binance is set to delist #ATA , #FARM , #MLN , #PHB , #SYS on May 27, 2026.
ATA MarketCap: 10.6M
MLN MarketCap: 10.3M
SYS MarketCap: 9.1M
PHB MarketCap: 8.6M
FARM MarketCap: 8.3M
(Auto match could be wrong, automated matching may not be accurate)
————————————
2026-05-13 16:00:04
Important Binance Announcement: Binance is set to delist #ATA , #FARM , #MLN , #PHB , #SYS on May 27, 2026.
ATA MarketCap: 10.6M
MLN MarketCap: 10.3M
SYS MarketCap: 9.1M
PHB MarketCap: 8.6M
FARM MarketCap: 8.3M
(Auto match could be wrong, automated matching may not be accurate)
————————————
2026-05-13 16:00:04
Keep holding the short positions; the bulls aren't showing much strength in this wave. The intraday resistance is at 81500, and if we can't close above that on the 4-hour chart, it's gonna be weak. If we break below 79100, the daily structure will collapse directly.
Short entries at 81500-82000 in batches, add another hand at 82800, with a target looking at 79500-79000 first.
Overall, it's still a high-level consolidation with bears in control. This time, the air force must win! $BTC $ASTER
Short entries at 81500-82000 in batches, add another hand at 82800, with a target looking at 79500-79000 first.
Overall, it's still a high-level consolidation with bears in control. This time, the air force must win! $BTC $ASTER
The AI sector is finally making some moves. Personally, I'm really bullish on $TAO
. If the AI race really takes off, this gem is definitely not going to miss the moon.
. If the AI race really takes off, this gem is definitely not going to miss the moon.
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