Nhân Capital _8386

Update $Xau on 22/7:
Gold prices continue to maintain their recovery momentum and are currently trading around the 4,080 area, indicating that buying pressure is gradually gaining the upper hand after a consolidation period. The market appears to be betting that the Middle East tensions will not escalate into a full-scale conflict, while also expecting the parties to soon return to the negotiating table. In addition, a weaker US dollar and falling bond yields are also supporting gold’s upward move.
Technically, the short-term trend looks more positive as gold holds above the key support zone around 4,000–4,020. However, after the current upswings, it is entirely normal for a technical correction to occur.

Update $BTC on July 17:
Bitcoin is maintaining a positive trend after breaking out of the consolidation range, although the most recent session formed a Bearish Pin Bar candle at the 65K resistance zone. Current selling pressure mainly comes from short-term profit-taking, while buying power is still absorbing quite well.
On the D1 timeframe, BTC is gradually completing an inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, with the right shoulder forming a Higher Low, RSI staying above the 50 level, and the Bollinger Bands beginning to expand—signals that indicate improving upward momentum. If the price successfully breaks through the 65K–66K area, the uptrend will be confirmed with the next target around 69K–70K.
On the H4 timeframe, BTC is still holding above the breakout zone and is accumulating just above the old resistance instead of making a deep pullback. Any downward dips are quickly met with buying support, suggesting that capital is still in the market and that the buyers are controlling the short-term trend.
$BTC

Update $Xau on 17/7:
Gold prices in yesterday’s session continued to face very strong selling pressure as US–Iran tensions escalated, causing the market to worry that energy prices would remain at high levels. Although oil has not broken out too strongly, inflation risks are still present, increasing expectations that the Fed will continue its tight monetary policy, which is unfavorable for gold. This development is also consistent with market trends: as yields and the US dollar rise, gold prices fell below the 4,000 USD zone in the most recent session.
In the short term, the downward trend remains dominant, and the next target could be the 3,900 area if selling pressure continues. However, since the price is moving close to the short-term bottom, investors should be patient and observe the market’s reaction rather than chasing the sell-off.
$XAUT

Update $BTC day 15/7:
Last night, Bitcoin surged strongly again and reclaimed the $65,000 level, triggering the liquidation of more than $280 million in positions in the derivatives market. The momentum came from Trump saying he does not support imposing fees on vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, contrary to the earlier proposal of a 20% fee. At the same time, the action plan with Iran has also been pushed to next week.
Meanwhile, during the hearing, Fed Vice Chairman Kevin Warsh reiterated that the top priority remains bringing inflation back to the 2% target. He also said the Fed is rushing to finalize regulations to implement the GENIUS Act ahead of the deadline of 19/7.
$BTC

Update $Xau on 15/7:
Gold prices have adjusted again after completing the GAP fill around the 4100 area, facing pressure from remarks with a “hawkish” stance by Fed officials Kevin Warsh and Christopher Waller. Although CPI has shown signs of cooling, inflation has not returned to the 2% target, making it likely that the Fed will continue to maintain a cautious policy. This limits gold’s room to rise in the short term.
However, the market is still waiting for the U.S. PPI to be released today. If the data comes in below expectations, the USD could weaken and provide conditions for gold to recover technically before facing renewed selling pressure.
$BTC

Update $BTC.D July 14:
BTC Dominance is trading just below the important resistance zone of the triangle pattern, indicating that resistance is still present after several consecutive bullish sessions. Meanwhile, the Ichimoku cloud below continues to act as a dynamic support zone, helping ensure that BTC.D’s uptrend has not been invalidated.
If BTC.D successfully breaks out above the upper edge of the pattern, capital flows are likely to keep focusing on Bitcoin, which would put pressure on altcoins and make it difficult to see a strong rally.
On the other hand, if BTC.D loses the Ichimoku cloud support zone and breaks down below the pattern, that would be a positive signal for altcoins, as money could shift from BTC to smaller-cap coins, creating an opportunity for a short-term Altcoin Season.
$BTCDOM #BTC.Dominance

Update $Xau on 14/7:
Gold prices continue to face strong selling pressure as U.S.–Iran tensions escalate again, along with the risk of disruption at the Strait of Hormuz, which pushes oil prices sharply higher and raises concerns that inflation may return. This leads to expectations that the Fed will keep monetary policy tight for longer, thereby putting pressure on gold.
On the technical side, the price losing the 4022 support zone completes the Double Top pattern, opening up the possibility of the downtrend continuing in the short term. Although the GAP zone above has not yet been filled, selling pressure is still dominant and no clear reversal signal has appeared.
Under the current scenario, if the selling pressure continues to be maintained, GOLD is likely to move toward the important support area of 3940. Therefore, the priority for today’s session is to look for SELL opportunities on pullbacks, and to avoid catching the bottom while the downtrend still dominates.
$XAU

Update $Xau on 10/7:
In the previous session, gold prices continued to maintain the rebound momentum and regained the 4,100 level as market sentiment improved following news that the US and Iran had temporarily halted airstrikes. In addition, easing oil prices helped weaken the US dollar, creating conditions for gold to rise again.
From a technical perspective, GOLD is currently moving closer to the descending trendline extending from prior peaks. Although this remains a notable resistance zone, buying pressure shows signs of improving, and the trendline could be broken soon if prices stay above the short-term support area.
$XAU

Update $BTC day 9/7 :
BTC has confirmed a breakdown below the Rising Wedge pattern with increasing trading volume, indicating that the sell-side is dominant in the short term. At present, the price is undergoing a rebound to retest the trendline area that was just broken.
On the D1 timeframe, the Ichimoku cloud is still acting as an important support zone, so bearish pressure has not completely taken over and the market may still show some technical pullback moves.
♦ If BTC is rejected at the retest zone and cannot return inside the pattern, it is likely that the price will continue extending the corrective move toward lower support areas.
♦ Conversely, if the buyers reclaim the lost trendline zone and the candle closes back within the pattern, this would be a signal of a false breakdown, creating an opportunity for a short-term rebound.
$BTC

Update $Xau on 9/7:
Gold prices continue to face selling pressure and fall back toward the psychological support zone of 4,000 amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, along with concerns surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. However, the market has not yet shown signs of panic, indicating that investors are assessing the likelihood of the conflict expanding further as not too high.
In my personal view, a complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz would bring about many economic and political consequences; therefore, the probability of this scenario occurring in the short term is not very large. This may also cause the downward momentum of gold to gradually slow down after it approaches a strong support area.
➡️ Priority strategy: Continue monitoring the price reaction around the 4,000 zone. If reversal confirmation signals appear, this would be a suitable area to consider a Buy setup, with the expectation that gold will accumulate before rebounding again.
$XAU

Update $BTC day 8/7 :
BTC has rebounded to the 64k area, matching the previous scenario. However, when entering an important resistance zone, the increasing momentum shows signs of slowing down, and the market may enter a short-term correction before determining the next trend.
After a streak of 6 consecutive bullish sessions, BTC formed a Pin Bar candle with a long lower wick, indicating that profit-taking selling pressure is quite strong, but it has still been absorbed well by the buyers. Even so, the subsequent bearish candle confirmed that selling supply pressure is increasing at the 64k zone, and also suggests that the uptrend’s momentum is no longer as dominant as in the earlier phase.
➡️ The scenario I prioritize is that BTC will have a pullback to the 60k–61k area to absorb supply before finding an opportunity to continue the rebound trend.
$BTC

- Update $Xau on 7/7:
The gold price from yesterday continued to face adjustment pressure and broke the previous short-term uptrend structure, indicating that the rebound momentum is gradually weakening. Currently, the price is also approaching an important resistance area—the descending trendline—making sell pressure likely to increase.
The medium-term trend is still in the accumulation phase with a relatively wide range. The price has not been able to break out above the descending trendline, so the sellers still hold the advantage in the resistance zone.

Update $BTC day 3/7 :
Yesterday’s candle closed up strongly with improving trading volume, showing that buying pressure is clearly returning in the support zone of 58k–59k. Currently, BTC is moving into a confluence resistance area between the EMA20 and a horizontal resistance around 62k, so the appearance of a consolidation move or a short pullback is entirely normal. However, at this point I still haven’t seen any confirmation signal that the selling side has regained control. At the same time, the daily timeframe RSI is still maintaining a bullish divergence, indicating that weakening downward momentum is losing strength. Therefore, I still prioritize the scenario where BTC continues upward toward the 64k–66k zone before facing stronger selling pressure from the larger trend.
=> Preferred strategy: Prioritize waiting for pullback moves into the support zone to look for Buy entries following the recovery trend, and limit FOMO when price is right near the 62k resistance area. In the event that BTC breaks out and closes an H4 candle firmly above 62k with positive trading volume, it may be worth considering adding to the position, with expectations for targets moving toward 64k–66k.
$BTC

Update $XAU day 3/7 :
Gold prices have had a very positive breakout session after the US Nonfarm Payrolls data came in much lower than expected, thereby reducing expectations that the Fed will continue raising interest rates in the coming period. The weakening of the US dollar also helped support the upward momentum of precious metals.
In the short term, the trend still leans bullish as the price holds above key support zones. However, after a strong rally, it is highly likely that GOLD will experience a technical correction to absorb profit-taking pressure.
* I prefer to wait for the price to correct into the 4060 area to observe the reaction, and consider a Buy setup if a confirmation signal for a bullish reversal appears.
* In case the price does not pull back and continues breaking out above the nearest resistance highs, fellow traders should limit FOMO and stay patient, waiting for a retracement to find a safer entry point.
➡️ Preferred strategy: Look for BUY opportunities at the 4060 support zone, manage risk tightly because today is the final trading session of the week and volatility may increase.
$XAU

- UPDATE BTC 02/07 :
BTC has broken down below the short-term sideway range and swept liquidity below the support zone as well as the most recent bottom. However, a quick buying force appeared, helping the price rebound after the sweep.
The positive point is that the short-term structure has improved: BTC broke above the previous sideway range’s top, indicating that the buyers are gradually regaining an advantage after absorbing the sell supply at the support zone.
In the short term, if the price continues to hold above the breakout zone, BTC may move upward to test nearby resistance zones. Conversely, if this zone is lost again, the likelihood of the price reverting to an accumulation phase will be prioritized.
➡️ For now, I still lean toward the scenario that BTC will continue to recover after the recent liquidity sweep. However, everyone should prioritize waiting for a pullback to the support zones to find a good entry point rather than FOMO buying after the move.
$BTC

Update $XAU day 2/7:
Gold prices in the previous session saw a fairly positive upward move, approaching the 4100 zone. However, after remarks from the Fed, profit-taking pressure emerged along with the USD’s rebound, causing GOLD to reverse and fall again. This suggests the market is still in a period of consolidation as investors continue to assess the impact of macroeconomic information.
From a technical perspective, the current trend has not changed much, as GOLD is still trading within the accumulation range of 3900–4100. Although correction pressure remains, this area is still considered an important support zone and has the potential to form a short-term bottom if buying strength is maintained.
I’ll update the detailed plan in the group—wishing everyone success!!!
$XAU

Update $BTC day 1/7:
BTC continues to test the 58k support zone this morning session. Although there were moments when the price was pushed below this level, the selling pressure could not hold. Buyers quickly stepped in, pulling the price back up, which allows the H4 candle to close above the support zone and shows that the 58k area is still being protected.
Regarding technical signals, the RSI on the H4 timeframe is showing bullish divergence, indicating that the downtrend momentum is starting to slow. This is a signal supporting the possibility that BTC may have another short-term rebound before the market decides on its next direction.
At the moment, I still prioritize the price-rebound scenario toward the 62k–63k range. This is an important resistance zone, so if signals of price rejection or a clear reversal appear, I will continue looking for Short opportunities following the downtrend of the higher timeframe.
$BTC

Update $BTC ngày 30/6:
BTC continues to firmly hold the 58k–59k support zone after a fairly clear buying pressure emerged to defend the price. On the D1 timeframe, the most recent candlestick closed higher with improved volume, indicating that buyers are still responding positively at this important support area. At the same time, the bullish divergence signal of the daily RSI is still working, strengthening the likelihood of a technical rebound in the short term.
Regarding the current scenario, I still maintain the view that BTC may continue rebounding toward the 61k–62k zone, corresponding to the D1 EMA20 area. However, this remains an important resistance zone, so price reactions need to be monitored closely; prioritize looking for confirmation signals to consider a Short in line with the downward trend on the larger timeframe if there are signs of weakening.
On the H4 timeframe, BTC has tested the 58k–59k area multiple times but still cannot break through decisively. H4 candles keep showing long lower wicks, suggesting that buying power is still protecting this support zone in the near term. Therefore, the prioritized scenario remains a rebound up to the 61k–62k zone before the market shows a clearer reaction at resistance.
$BTC

Update $XAU on June 30:
Gold prices continue to face strong selling pressure and have broken through the 4000–4010 support zone. They are currently trading around the 3960 area. Although the US dollar has not shown a significant breakthrough, selling pressure still dominates, indicating that market sentiment remains tilted toward the bears in the short term.
From a technical perspective, after breaking the key 4000 support zone, GOLD is entering a phase of finding a new equilibrium point. However, the 3950–3960 area is a notable support zone, as it is the low-price region following the sharp sell-off, and it may see bargain-buying demand in the final trading session of the month.
$XAU

Update $BTC day 29/6:
Within the daily timeframe, the consecutive appearance of candles with long lower wicks along with a bullish divergence signal from the RSI indicates that selling pressure is weakening. If the buying side can continue to hold the current support zone, BTC is likely to rebound to test the 61K–62K area.
However, the 61K–62K zone remains an important resistance. If BTC cannot break out and close above this area, it is likely to keep reverting back toward the downtrend and move toward the strong support zone of 54K–56K.
Preferred scenario: Wait for the rebound into the 61K–62K area to observe the price reaction. The medium-term trend still leans toward consolidation, while the 54K–56K range continues to be a notable support target if selling pressure increases.
$BTC