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$BTC Do you dare to believe it? Compared to the last time, the time when it hit 2 lower points is surprisingly the same, and the position of the current consolidation is also exactly the same as before. This still belongs to the left-side betting position, so position control must be strictly managed. The reason for saying to buy at 85000 is that this is the fibo 0.886 position.

$BTC Yesterday, it indicated a downward trend line pressure zone and neckline pressure level. We must wait for a breakout to enter the market, but the result was that it was directly pushed down without a breakout. Currently, it is lingering at this position of the blue daily downward trend, and the current fluctuation range is 83800 to 89800. From the perspective of contracts, the current price is in the middle position, making the chances for both long and short positions 50-50, like gambling. Enter when close to 83700 on the left side, and enter when breaking 89800 on the right side. Exit if the entity falls below 82400.

$BTC The rebound target is still the same as the one sent on the 25th, aiming for the 0.382, in the 9.8–9.9 range. Currently, it has reached the pressure zone of a descending trend line over three time frames, which is also the neck line pressure level that was broken in the previous head and shoulders pattern. We need to wait for a breakthrough here to continue looking at the target level. Currently, the hourly moving average is crossing upwards, so it is not advisable to go short here; those who haven't entered should wait for a breakthrough and pullback to enter.

$BTC 82400 Looking at the rebound to 94000, when it reaches 94000, I will remind you to take profits, and then I will post a reminder to bottom fish at 85000. Recently, there hasn't been that much nonsense. I won't frequently post to flood the screen, nor will I be like those who earn every day by going both long and short.

This week's line dog makes everyone shake their heads, just buy it, one buy without a sound $ASTER

Is $BTC a golden pit? Anyway, it has already reached 5000 points.

$BTC I ate the melon in the square, and I will give you something nutritious. This 1518 rolling warehouse strategy, I took a look at it, which is to set the EMA15 and EMA18 lines. You only need to click on the gear in the time level section of the K-line interface, then click on indicators, select EMA (Exponential Moving Average), check the two, and set the parameter values to 15 and 18 respectively, and then change the colors to different ones. There is no such strategy's inventor; you can invent a 1619 strategy, and you will find that it is basically the same thing.

$BTC is currently still in a triangular consolidation range. The left side order range given on the 12th is 88000～85000. This morning, the lowest dipped to 87500. To continue upwards, it needs to recover above 90,000. From the perspective of the US dollar index, the daily level has completely broken below the moving average, which is good news for the crypto market. The fundamentals of Bitcoin have not changed; the short-term decline is due to some other negative news. As long as the US dollar index cannot form a daily bullish trend, I believe the Bitcoin bull market is still on.

The daily line of $ASTER 2 looks like it has continuously broken below without recovering for 5 consecutive times. Be aware of the risks; you might not know that this coin has risen from 0.0x. The K-line on Binance is not a complete K-line at all. What you see as the bottom is not the real bottom.

$BTC The US Dollar Index (DXY) and Bitcoin (BTC) primarily exhibit a negative (inverse) relationship, but this relationship is not absolute and can change with macroeconomic conditions and market narratives.
In simple terms: when the dollar is strong, Bitcoin is usually weak; when the dollar is weak, Bitcoin is usually strong.

From the chart, it can be seen that the points where the US Dollar Index encounters resistance and declines are the lowest points for Bitcoin's rebound. Similarly, the points where the US Dollar Index rebounds are also the points where Bitcoin reaches a short-term peak.

Current situation analysis:
The market is currently in a delicate balance. In the second half of 2025, as the Federal Reserve deepens its interest rate cut cycle, the US Dollar Index is expected to retreat from the high above 100, providing a macro basis for Bitcoin to challenge the $90,000-$100,000 range. Currently, both have temporarily returned to a relatively typical negative correlation logic: as long as the US Dollar Index does not rebound significantly back above 103, the high support for Bitcoin remains relatively solid.

The US Dollar Index is the "inverse wind vane" for Bitcoin prices.
Short term outlook: Watch the 15-minute or 1-hour K-line of DXY; if DXY surges rapidly, BTC usually experiences a sharp drop.
Long term outlook: As long as the dollar remains in a weak range below 100, the logic of a major bull market for Bitcoin usually still holds.

If you are trading BTC, it is advisable to use the US Dollar Index as an auxiliary filtering indicator, rather than the sole basis for entering trades:
Observe trend divergence:
If you want to go long on Bitcoin, it is best to wait for DXY to show a clear top structure or be in a downtrend.
If you find DXY strongly breaking through key resistance levels (e.g., breaking the 100 mark), the risk of going long on BTC is very high, and you should reduce your position or wait.
Key point resonance:
When BTC drops to key support levels while DXY rises to key resistance levels and shows signs of stagnation, this is a high-probability buying (going long) signal.
Pay attention to "decoupling" signals:
If DXY drops sharply, but BTC does not rise and even declines, it indicates that the internal funds in the crypto space are extremely weak (the main force is unloading), which is a very dangerous bearish signal.

$BTC Don't just look at the big whales operating behind the scenes, how much has he invested? His current positions actually have only 3 times leverage. It is impossible to liquidate him in the short term.

$BTC Do not act rashly at this position now, the amplitude has narrowed, wait until it comes out to make a decision.

$BTC has not broken the upward channel rebound and still looks at 0.382 here. Currently, it is above the 20-day moving average at the daily level, and after the 3-day line recovers EMA200, it has not broken below.

No. $BTC 23 is looking at a rebound of 9.4, 9.4 has already been touched, continue to touch 9.9, provided that 9.2 cannot break down

The U.S. stock market can navigate through wars, bubbles, and crises while continuously hitting new highs, not because of money printing, but because companies like Apple, Microsoft, and NVIDIA continue to create globally high-profit products. Innovation and buybacks are the true forces pushing the indices upward.

The long-term trend of BTC is highly synchronized with the U.S. stock market:

When technological innovation is strong, liquidity is healthy, and risk appetite is rising, the U.S. stock market hits new highs, and BTC often enters a major upward phase;

When American tech companies enter a new cycle (such as the explosion of AI computing power), the risk asset properties of BTC will be magnified in sync.

So, whether it’s the U.S. stock market or BTC, what determines the long-term trend is not events, but the innovation cycle + capital return.

Before the main trend ends, do not easily get off the train.

$BTC The Federal Reserve bought $26 billion in bonds, now it’s like an appetizer. When will the real easing begin?

The precise definition at this stage is:
"Stop tapering + slight easing," which belongs to "a little easing on the throttle," but it is still far from "flooring the throttle and speeding up."
The real feast (restart of QE) is likely to wait for any of the following conditions to trigger:

Non-farm payrolls significantly below expectations for 2–3 consecutive months (e.g., +50,000, negative employment), unemployment rate rapidly rising to 5.0–5.5%, stock or bond market suddenly plummeting by 15–20%, triggering a liquidity crisis, the deficit exploding after Trump took office, the Treasury issuing too many bonds, forcing the Fed to step in. Before that, this little operation now is:
To serve the market a small glass of aperitif, while subtly hinting: buddy, there’s plenty more wine in the cellar, don’t panic. So you can totally remain calm, eat your popcorn, and wait until the real feast is served before raising your glass.

If easing is about to happen, you tell me the bear market is here? Can the bear market have such a big fluctuation?

$ZEC Look at this winding condition, it is definitely not acceptable if it is less than 247.