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据 Coinglass 数据显示，若 BTC 跌破 83,456 美元，主流 CEX 累计多单清算强度将达 11. 43 亿美元。反之，若 BTC 突破 91,555 美元，主流 CEX 累计空单清算强度将达 9. 18 亿美元。

据 Coinglass 数据显示，若 ETH 突破 3,077 美元，主流 CEX 累计空单清算强度将达 8. 25 亿美元。反之，若 ETH 跌破 2,801 美元，主流 CEX 累计多单清算强度将达 7. 82 亿美元。

据链上数据，ETH 价格近期跌至特定鲸鱼群体的平均持仓成本后三次反弹。该指标追踪满足特定条件的鲸鱼钱包：单笔买入 100+ ETH、至少买入两次、从未卖出、当前余额 100+ ETH 且排除 CEX 地址。 链上数据显示，每当价格触及该成本线时，这些地址的买入量出现强劲峰值。自 11 月 21 日价格首次触及该水平以来，这些鲸鱼已累积超过 480 万枚 ETH，占流通量 4%，余额从 2240 万枚增至 2720 万枚。 若该支撑位被破，下方还有整体市场实现价格约 2300 美元作为支撑。链上分析显示，低于实现价格意味着相对便宜，对看好后市的投资者具有吸引力。

据 Gate 研究院观察，本周五 BTC 与 ETH 期权合计约 285 亿美元集中交割，而 BTC、ETH IV 分别回落至 43% 与 67%，显示市场对短期剧烈波动的定价趋于降温；偏度结构上，BTC 各期限 Skew 收敛至约 −4 vol、短期限修复最为明显，反映短线看跌对冲需求明显回落，而 ETH 偏度分化上行但长期限保持稳定，显示中长期下行风险预期仍受控；同时，市场最大规模大宗交易为：买入 BTC 92,000 看涨、卖出 85,000 看跌，表明主流资金更倾向于在关键支撑上方布局温和偏多结构。

According to Coinglass data, in the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount across the network was $167 million, with long liquidations amounting to $102 million and short liquidations amounting to $65.147 million. Among them, Bitcoin long liquidations reached $29.2717 million, Bitcoin short liquidations totaled $24.4228 million, Ethereum long liquidations amounted to $30.3841 million, and Ethereum short liquidations were $7.6556 million. Additionally, in the last 24 hours, a total of 84,440 people were liquidated globally, with the largest single liquidation occurring on Hyperliquid - BTC-USD worth $7.0072 million.

据 HyperInsight 监测，麻吉地址内持有的以太坊多单现已浮亏超 23 万美元：以 25 倍做多 7400 枚 ETH，开仓价 2,976. 22 美元，爆仓价 2,866. 48 美元。 其地址过去 7 日盈利 20 万美元，过去 1 月亏损 346 万美元。

12 月 25 日，据 HyperInsight 监测，「BTC OG 内幕巨鲸」继续扛单总计 7. 179 亿美元的 BTC、ETH 与 SOL 多单，总浮亏达 5323 万美元，并已支付 261. 4 万美元资金费，目前仓位如下：做多 5. 96 亿美元 ETH，开仓价 3147. 39 美元，浮亏 4503 万美元；做多 8715 万美元 BTC，开仓价 91,506. 7 美元，浮亏 446 万美元；做多 3700 万美元 SOL，开仓价 135. 2 美元，浮亏 374 万美元。

12 月 25 日，据 Coinglass 数据显示，过去 24 小时全网爆仓 1. 82 亿美元，其中多单爆仓 1. 21 亿美元，空单爆仓 6035 万美元。

据 Lookonchain 监测，今日美国比特币 ETF 净流出 2873 枚 BTC，以太坊 ETF 净流入 13500 枚 ETH。
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On December 24, according to Arkham monitoring, a certain segment trader has currently realized and unrealized profits of 12.5 million USD from a BTC short position held for 2 months. Due to the extremely long holding period, the funding fee earnings generated from this single trade alone amount to as much as 9.6 million USD. In addition, they also hold BTCB valued at 3.5 million USD on the BNB Chain.

12 月 24 日，据 DL News 报道，尽管数字资产财库（DAT）面临的压力不断加大，Metaplanet 仍朝着其目标迈进了一步，计划在 2027 年底前持有 21 万枚比特币。Metaplanet 战略总监 Dylan LeClair 表示，公司在一次临时股东大会上通过了多项与股权相关的提案，这将有助于公司筹集资金，用于进一步购买比特币。此举实际上使 Metaplanet 能够利用金融工具增持比特币，而无需立即稀释现有股东的持股比例。

12 月 24 日，据 Onchain Lens 监测，贝莱德刚刚向 Coinbase 存入 2292 枚比特币（约 1. 998 亿美元）以及 9976 枚以太坊（约 2923 万美元）。

December 24, this Friday, approximately 23.6 billion dollars worth of Bitcoin options will expire, marking the largest options expiration date in Bitcoin's history. Analysis indicates that the scale of this expiration date is enormous and generally leaning bullish. The maximum pain point (referring to the price level at which option buyers suffer the greatest loss and sellers gain the most profit at expiration) is 96,000 dollars, which will reinforce the upward price trend.

12 月 24 日，据分析师 @alicharts 统计，历史上，比特币的主要周期在时间和深度上都遵循着令人惊讶的一致节奏：• 从市场底部到顶部大约需要 1064 天；• 从最高点回落到下一个最低点大约需要 364 天；@alicharts 推断，若这种模式持续下去，比特币目前正处于 364 天的调整窗口内，这表明其底部可能出现在 2026 年 10 月左右，触底价格可能在 37,500 美元左右。

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a certain Ethereum IC0 address (0x3495) has transferred all 2000 ETH it held to a new wallet today after being dormant for over 10 years, worth 5.85 million dollars. This address invested only 620 dollars to acquire 2000 ETH during the IC0 period, and the current return rate has reached 9435 times.

On December 24, CryptoQuant analyst @AxelAdlerJr posted that the net pressure slope indicator, which measures the buying and selling pressure ratio of short-term holders, has dropped to the bottom 5% of its three-year distribution. The current level indicates that buyers and sellers are in a state of balance. The net pressure slope indicator is calculated as the difference between the weighted selling pressure and buying pressure of short-term holders. Positive values indicate that current selling pressure is high, while negative values indicate that buying pressure is high. The current 24-hour net pressure moving average value is 4.79, with a price of $87,324. The median over the past three years is 73.17, indicating that during growth periods, selling pressure typically dominates. The analyst points out that the market shows that the buying and selling pressure of short-term holders is in a balanced state. Historically, this balance period has not been stable, often turning upward during bull markets, and then reverting to selling pressure. However, the current situation is more complex, with prices having remained below the STH actual price by 13.9% for nearly two months, causing short-term holders to incur losses, and the market has entered a bear phase. If prices fall below $85,000 and net pressure is below -15, it would indicate that the magnitude of the pullback will further increase.

According to Jin Shi reports, CME's "Federal Reserve Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 13.3%, while the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is 86.7%. By March next year, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 40.7%, while the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is 54.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 5%.

据 Coinglass 数据，过去 24 小时全网爆仓 2. 5 亿美元，多单爆仓 2. 05 亿美元，空单爆仓 4,491. 48 万美元。其中比特币多单爆仓 6,081. 44 万美元，比特币空单爆仓 1,488. 77 万美元，以太坊多单爆仓 5,284. 56 万美元，以太坊空单爆仓 984. 88 万美元。此外，最近 24 小时，全球共有 85,302 人被爆仓，最大单笔爆仓单发生在 Hyperliquid - BTC-USD 价值 792 万美元。

According to Coinglass data, if ETH breaks through $3,086, the cumulative short liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach $1.599 billion. Conversely, if ETH falls below $2,796, the cumulative long liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach $791 million.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC breaks through $92,167, the cumulative short liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach $2.108 billion. Conversely, if BTC falls below $83,427, the cumulative long liquidation intensity of mainstream CEX will reach $1.367 billion.