单杀 BTCdansha

The lobster’s operator deposited 100 million tokens into the Aster address—what is he trying to do? Let’s take a look at the data together

2026.8.28 <#龙虾 Changes in data for the top 40 token-holding addresses

1：Gate account net inflow 4.36%
Binance account net inflow 1.84%
MEXC account net inflow 8.18%
pancake account net outflow 8.43%

2：Top 10 holders' addresses: no change
Top 20 holders' addresses: 3 people newly entered, 1 person reduced position
Top 40 personal addresses: 8 newly entered, 7 reduced positions

$龙虾 Daily key summary:
Today, the lobster rose 30% in a single day. After a quick check and整理 of the data, I found that centralized exchanges are all seeing inflows, but the amounts are not very large. However, one more Aster address appeared. This signal is very important. Later, Single Kill will interpret it. In the first 40 addresses, 8 people reduced their positions; among them, 7 were true position reductions and 1 was a transfer out. The amounts are not large. The biggest address reduced by over a million tokens. In the first 40 addresses, nobody added to their positions. There are 11 newly entered addresses. I pulled the chain data for Single Kill: 7 of the addresses were transferred in from Gate before the first 40; 3 addresses were entered in a staggered/continued way; and 1 address entered with an added position. Overall, 13 addresses saw a decline. Of these, 10 addresses sent the tokens into the Aster bridge address, and 3 addresses transferred into the Gate address. That’s roughly the data. Now let’s break down and analyze it.
From the data, it looks like the first 40 addresses are already filled with the shrewd/whale (the “operator”) addresses. Almost all addresses are the operator’s. There are hardly any personal-user addresses left. The operator has also basically distributed the tokens to the corresponding addresses and is ready.
The addresses that reduced today were genuinely reducing. In the first 40, there were no addresses that added positions; yet the token price went up. This proves that the “adding” is probably not happening on-chain. Most likely, it’s being used to pull the price up by addresses on MEXC and Gate, and by the Alpha address.
The address to focus on today is the Aster address. Based on the Single Kill query: of the 10 addresses that transferred into Aster today, 10 of them were among the 14 addresses that had previously been distributed by MEXC on the same day. After those addresses pushed the coins into the Aster address, Single Kill tracking shows that they then transferred out from the Aster address and did small-scale sell-offs.
As you can see in the attached figures, overall it feels like the lobster’s peak phase may be coming. The operator is already laying groundwork for distributing/selling off (creating an exit plan). Even though there’s a pump, the on-chain behavior already covers essentially every place where tokens can be sold. Please do not over-interpret this. Single Kill here means the operator has completed all the preparations; it doesn’t mean an immediate crash. The operator may continue to pump and then sell off later—he has simply already prepared to sell.
That’s about all the data. Everyone can analyze on your own according to the figures. This post is only the personal view of Single Kill and does not constitute investment advice. Wherever fate brings you, we’ll meet. See you next time!!

Niu Lai: Many of the increases are happening through alpha operations. Is someone hiding something? Let’s take a look at the data together!

2026.8.27 #牛来 Top 40 token holder addresses data changes

1: Pancake address: outflow of 10.6%
Alpha address: Inflow of 3.86%

2: Address list of the first 10 people: 3 increased their positions, 1 reduced their positions, 1 newly entered
Address list of the first 20 people: 3 people reduced their positions, 2 people increased their positions
Address list of the first 40 people: 2 people reduced their positions, 5 people newly entered, 1 person increased their positions

Daily key summary:3 days have passed. Today, some brother wants to see if the market is bullish—so a solo kill arranged it immediately. Now let’s look at the overall data. First, the alpha address saw an inflow of 3.86%. In these 3 days, only this amount flowed in, which proves that the overall inflow has become stable. Among the top 40 addresses, 6 people increased their positions: 4 of them transferred in, and the other 2 are real on-chain buys and position increases. Among the top 40, a total of 6 people reduced their positions: 5 are genuine reductions, and 1 transferred the tokens away. The solo kill compared the numbers of increases and reductions. The difference is huge—there are many more tokens increased than reduced. In the top 40, there are 6 addresses newly entering: 2 transferred in, 2 entered via increased positions, and the remaining 2 entered due to ranking rise. For the 6 addresses that dropped out, 4 cleared their positions completely, 1 address transferred tokens to the KuCoin exchange, and the other one reduced half of their holdings. That’s basically all the overall data. Next, let’s do a simple analysis. Last time, the solo kill said that if the on-chain data is good, then the price of Niu Lai must rise. I don’t know if the market reaction is slow or what—because it only went up after a day. The solo kill just compared the Niu Lai price: from the last time to now, it has risen by 30%. And today’s data still shows that the top ranks are still fighting it out with each other; it’s just that the buy side is stronger. However, based on the solo kill’s comparison of today’s top-40 data, the addresses that pushed this rally likely don’t belong entirely to the top 40. In the solo kill’s estimate, the top-40 buyers would only be able to push Niu Lai up about 20%, and the remaining 10% should come from addresses ranked after the first 40. Also, the solo kill has noticed that now there are more position-increasing actions, and many are happening in Binance Alpha. Many addresses have been transferred out from Binance Alpha. I don’t know whether it’s because of how the solo kill’s statistics work, or whether someone is hiding something. Right now, purely from the data side, the overall data hasn’t been broken—so please don’t over-interpret it here. The solo kill is only giving opinions based on today’s data. Even if data were broken, it could happen in an instant, but currently, from the data perspective, everything still looks quite complete. That’s about it, brothers—see you next time!!

In the front-row whale vs. whale exchanges, who would’ve thought they weren’t the ones dominating the price in the end? Come on, let’s look at the data together—you’ll know it once you see it!!

2026.8.22, #币有 Changes in the top 40 token-holding addresses data

1: Pancake Inflow: 25.98%

2: Top 10 addresses: 2 added to holdings
Top 20 addresses: 2 newly entered, 2 added to holdings
Top 40 addresses: 1 added to holdings, 1 reduced holdings, 6 newly entered
$Coin Daily key summary: Some brothers want to see data for the coin. I was really too busy the past few days doing single-person checks, so I couldn’t update in time. I’ve quickly整理ed it today, and I also want to apologize to the brothers who were waiting. Alright, let’s take a look at the data now. In the liquidity pool, token inflow reached 25.98%, which clearly shows the token price is dropping. Among the top 40 addresses, 5 people added to their positions—of those, 3 were truly adding, and the other two came in from other addresses. The two incoming amounts are relatively large, but the “adding” amount is extremely, extremely small. Among the top 40 addresses, 1 person reduced holdings—this was a real sell. Total sold: 5 million tokens. Currently, they still hold over 6 million tokens, so you could say they are a big whale in the front row. In total, 8 new addresses entered the top 40: 6 of them newly bought in; the remaining 2 are still there—1 entered the top 40 through adding to holdings, and the other entered from another address transfer into the top 40. These correspond to the 8 addresses that exited due to the drop. I checked with single-person on-chain lookups: 7 of those addresses fully cleared out, and only 1 address remained, reducing its position by half and keeping the other half. That’s roughly the data. Next, let’s do a simple analysis. Comparing the adding and reducing data: clearly, the amount reduced is greater than the amount added. From the newly entered addresses and the addresses that exited, the newly entered addresses are all genuine buys, but the people who cleared out are also genuinely clearing out. It’s basically big whales exchanging blows against each other. I compared the single-person checks on the amounts these whales exchanged, and the difference is not that huge. Also, I compared the token price in the latest statistical snapshot: the token price dropped by roughly 30–50%. But if we analyze based on the top 40 addresses, theoretically it shouldn’t drop that much, because the newly entered addresses in the front row are genuine buys and can absorb most sell orders. Since the token price still dropped a lot, it proves that addresses ranked beyond the top 40 reduced their holdings a lot too, which led to the current situation. That’s about it. I won’t comment too much on the single-person checks—single-person checks are just reporting what the data reflects from the data side!!

Purely looking at on-chain data—if Niu Lai’s price must rise, but in reality the price fell. Where do you think the problem is? Let’s take a look at the data together!

2026.8.24, #牛来 Data changes in the top 40 token-holding addresses

1: Pancake address: inflow 17.02%
alpha address: inflow 20.04%

2: Top 10 people’s addresses: 6 people added to their positions
Top 20 people’s addresses: 2 people reduced their positions, and 1 person newly entered
Top 40 people’s addresses: 1 reduced their position, 2 newly entered, 1 added to their position

$牛来 Daily key point summary:Today, a brother told me that for best single-kill results, you should update daily the movements of Niu Lai and MarsCoin. Single-kill feels that daily updates may be a bit difficult, because there are other coins that brothers also need to check. But since the request is from fans, and within what I can control, I’ll do my best to meet the fans’ requirements. After all, what that brother said is also right. Right now, the two hottest coins on BSC are these. So today I updated the Niu Lai data. Since the interval time is relatively short, I think the data might not look very interesting at first glance, but after整理ing it, I found that the alpha inflow speed is way too fast. A single day brought in 26 million coins—this already exceeds the normal inflow range.

Next, let me talk about the top 40 token-holding addresses. There are 7 people who added to their positions. Of these 7, 6 are addresses ranked in the top 10. Single-kill finds that really strange, so I quickly dug in. It turns out these addresses transferred from alpha into some tokens, and the displayed holding amounts increased. As for whether they bought and added positions directly using alpha, I don’t know.

Then there are 3 people who reduced positions among the top 40. Because the amounts were indeed too small, I ignored them.

After that, there were 3 new addresses entering. Of the 3, 1 address entered the top 40 after transferring from alpha. The other two can be seen to have entered the top 40 through on-chain purchases. One of them bought 3 days ago; today, it transferred 4.3 million coins from alpha into the top 40. As for the 3 addresses that dropped out, 2 of them have already fully cleared their holdings. 1 transferred the tokens into Binance alpha’s address. That’s roughly the data.

Now, I’ll give a simple overall analysis and breakdown. From the data, whether it’s an individual user or the “whales/big players,” they all seem to choose to put the tokens into alpha. Not sure if it’s due to the way I’m统计ing the data, but setting aside the trades within alpha for now—if we only look at on-chain data, the token’s price theory suggests it should rise. But in reality, the token price fell. So more of the selling pressure is coming from Binance alpha. Since there are very few people selling on-chain, it’s not enough to have any real impact on the order book.

There are too many things that would need guessing here, so I won’t speculate too much. Just look at the data yourselves and imagine what you think!

Single-kill caution reminder: The lobster’s whale has basically completed the token distribution. Next comes either a storm or a rainbow—let’s take a look at the data!

On 2026.8.24, data changes for the top 40 token-holding addresses #龙虾

1: Gate Total inflow to the account: 12%
Binance Total inflow to the account: 3.86%
MEXC Total outflow from the account: 13.25%
Pancake Total inflow to the account: 0.74%

2: Addresses of the top 10 people: 1 new participant, 1 added to position, 1 reduced position
Addresses of the top 20 people: 2 reduced positions, 3 added to positions
Addresses of the top 40 people: 8 new participants, 4 reduced positions