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André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators
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Remember when foreign investors used Mag7 stocks to park Dollars because TINA? That seems to be changing…
Remember when foreign investors used Mag7 stocks to park Dollars because TINA?

That seems to be changing…
What a difference a week makes. "Bitcoin Outpaces Stocks in Biggest Gain Since Election." via @TheTerminal
What a difference a week makes.

"Bitcoin Outpaces Stocks in Biggest Gain Since Election." via @TheTerminal
GM from Europe ☕️ Over the past 5 trading days, US spot Bitcoin ETFs bought *checks notes* 29,217 BTC. That's 13x times the amount of new supply.
GM from Europe ☕️

Over the past 5 trading days, US spot Bitcoin ETFs bought

*checks notes*

29,217 BTC.

That's 13x times the amount of new supply.
Be honest — Nobody predicted that corporations would be the major buying force in Bitcoin in 2025. Sovereigns, ETFs, institutional investors — all have been leapfrogged by corporate purchases.
Be honest —

Nobody predicted that corporations would be the major buying force in Bitcoin in 2025.

Sovereigns, ETFs, institutional investors — all have been leapfrogged by corporate purchases.
GM from Vienna! ☕️💻
GM from Vienna! ☕️💻
Great to see very positive net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs again -- In fact, they have become "the marginal buyer" in Bitcoin since Jan 2024. The can actually determine whether you see negative or positive net buying volumes on BTC spot exchanges.
Great to see very positive net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs again --

In fact, they have become "the marginal buyer" in Bitcoin since Jan 2024.

The can actually determine whether you see negative or positive net buying volumes on BTC spot exchanges.
I hate to break it to you but if you're really trading on Trump tariff headlines only right now you're NGMI.
I hate to break it to you but if you're really trading on Trump tariff headlines only right now you're NGMI.
@crossbordercap 's Michael Howell on global liquidity: "It edged up to US$176.2 tr last week - a new record high."
@crossbordercap 's Michael Howell on global liquidity:

"It edged up to US$176.2 tr last week - a new record high."
Whole Bitcoin Twitter: "Bitcoin is finally decoupling from US equities. This is unprecedented and really bullish. Bitcoin is gradually maturing into a safe-haven asset." Meanwhile JPM:
Whole Bitcoin Twitter:

"Bitcoin is finally decoupling from US equities. This is unprecedented and really bullish. Bitcoin is gradually maturing into a safe-haven asset."

Meanwhile JPM:
Don't know who needs to hear this but Bitcoin is now the 5th biggest single asset in the world. Becoming harder and harder for asset managers to ignore.
Don't know who needs to hear this but Bitcoin is now the 5th biggest single asset in the world.

Becoming harder and harder for asset managers to ignore.
BLOOMBERG: Cantor prepares $3 Billion Crypto Firm with Tether and Softbank
BLOOMBERG: Cantor prepares $3 Billion Crypto Firm with Tether and Softbank
Wild to think that Bitcoin is dodging a likely US recession with only a -30% max drawdown so far. During the Covid recession in 2020, Bitcoin retraced -75% peak to trough. Bitcoin is maturing.
Wild to think that Bitcoin is dodging a likely US recession with only a -30% max drawdown so far.

During the Covid recession in 2020, Bitcoin retraced -75% peak to trough.

Bitcoin is maturing.
GM from Europe. Shorts are getting squeezed. 🍋 $23.8 million over the past 24 hrs - highest since the cycle lows in early April. But generally not that high compared to earlier periods (like in November 2024).
GM from Europe.

Shorts are getting squeezed. 🍋

$23.8 million over the past 24 hrs - highest since the cycle lows in early April.

But generally not that high compared to earlier periods (like in November 2024).
Looks like Gold is pretty much overvalued right now. *ducks / mutes replies*
Looks like Gold is pretty much overvalued right now.

*ducks / mutes replies*
GM from Europe ☕️ ICYMI -- Inflows into global crypto ETPs have been picking up again lately, led by inflows into Bitcoin ETPs. Yesterday, US spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted +$383 million - highest daily net inflows since January 2025.
GM from Europe ☕️

ICYMI -- Inflows into global crypto ETPs have been picking up again lately, led by inflows into Bitcoin ETPs.

Yesterday, US spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted +$383 million - highest daily net inflows since January 2025.
And Bitcoin is already rallying. Imagine what will happen if financial conditions actually start loosening again?
And Bitcoin is already rallying.

Imagine what will happen if financial conditions actually start loosening again?
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