The Bank of Japan is saying "assessing the impact," while the market votes with its feet— the yen instantly dropped 60 points. This is fundamentally not about whether to raise interest rates; it is a nail being officially driven into the coffin of the "cheap yen era."
What you need to do most urgently is: immediately check your positions and see how much is driven up by the lie of "global liquidity flooding."
Kazuo Ueda's "assessment" is equivalent to announcing to the world: Japan, which has been supplying cheap funds globally for thirty years, has officially entered a "period of unpredictable tightening observation." Countless institutions have taken advantage of borrowing nearly zero-cost yen to flood into U.S. stocks, U.S. bonds, and of course, to engage in arbitrage in cryptocurrencies. Now, this core driving force has begun to flash red lights.
What the market has not realized is: the first to collapse may not be the yen, but those "high-risk assets" bought with yen leverage. When Japanese funds begin to be forced to close overseas positions to cope with rising domestic interest rates and potential losses, the sell-off will be like a domino effect, spreading from U.S. bonds to tech stocks, and eventually to the most volatile cryptocurrency markets.
So, don’t just stare at the candlestick chart.
The real action is:
1. Keep your yen exchange rate window next to the Bitcoin chart. Every plunge it makes could be a precursor to a spasm in risk markets. 156 is not the top; if it breaks 158, it will mean a massive arbitrage position facing systemic liquidation.
2. Add the "Nikkei 225 Index" and "U.S. tech stocks" to your monitor. They are the thermometer for global liquidity tightening and loosening. If they start to turn down due to expectations of tightening liquidity, cryptocurrencies will not be a safe haven; they will only fall harder.
3. Reassess all the "narrative-type" assets you hold. Those grand stories that depend on new funds to maintain them will be the first riverbeds to dry up when Japan starts to withdraw from the global pool. When liquidity recedes, only the most core assets and strongest consensus will remain.
Follow Zhou Yi and participate in every attack by the Zhou Yi villagers! Zhou Yi will announce specific entry times and real-time news in the village every day! #日本加息 $SOL
