Empty, empty, empty, so meow! But let's calm down—where is Bitcoin really headed?

First, the conclusion: In the next three months, it is highly likely to follow the script of 'rebound—pressure—second bottoming'. The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is still there, but the marginal tightening of liquidity is a fact, and global market risk appetite is retreating. Therefore, each decent rebound could be a point for short positions.

So the question arises:

  1. In a bear market, which coin can have 20 times the potential?
    I am most optimistic about public chains or infrastructure tokens with actual ecological applications, healthy cash flow, and severely oversold in this round. Specific names will not be mentioned here (to avoid being accused of promoting), but it must address real needs in the next bull market, not just speculative narratives. Remember: accumulate value in a bear market, sell dreams in a bull market.

  2. Can ZEC still be shorted?
    Yes, but it is recommended to try with a small position only at key resistance levels (such as the 470-500 range). If it has already fallen for a while, wait for a rebound before shorting, do not chase.

  3. Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates again in January?
    Market expectations are still present, but the competition will be very intense. If the data slightly deviates from expectations, the market could fluctuate dramatically. Remember: during the expectation stage, the market is volatile; during the implementation stage, it moves in one direction—though it may not be the direction you want.

Regardless of whether you want to position for a short or wait to buy at the bottom, one thing that is easily overlooked in extreme market conditions is: capital management. Many people do not lose money because they are wrong about the direction, but because they are overwhelmed by the volatility. This is also why I always keep a portion of my position in stable assets like @usddio—when the market is unclear, it helps me stay calm; and when opportunities arise, it is a 'reserve team' that can be mobilized at any time. #USDD is seen as stable; the less clear things are, the more you need to have a portion of your assets 'stable' there.

Remember: in a bear market, it's not about who makes money faster, but who lasts longer. Let's discuss in the comments: which sector do you think has the most potential and value for money next?

@USDD - Decentralized USD #USDD以稳见信