12.16 Brother Lin's BTC/ETH Asset Strategy

Sleepless Night Ahead! The U.S. Non-Farm Payroll Data is Coming, the Crypto Market Will Face a "Heaven and Hell" Test

Tonight, the financial market is destined to have a sleepless night—the U.S. non-farm employment data for November is about to be revealed. This long-awaited report is the first employment "report card" issued after the U.S. government shutdown of 43 days, and every change in the numbers could lead to a dramatic reversal script of "heaven and hell" in the crypto market!

Why does this non-farm data stir the market nerves so much?

A special background sets the heavy tone: as the first data disclosure after the government shutdown, the market urgently needs to clarify the real bottom line of the U.S. job market. Even more worrisome is that Powell has long issued a warning signal: the unemployment rate may rise to 4.5%, and job growth may even fall into negative territory.

For the crypto market, this is a life-and-death gamble:

If the data shows weakness, the market's expectation for the Fed to cut interest rates will instantly surge, and the expectation of global liquidity easing could create a frenzy, with Bitcoin potentially surging 8% in a single day; however, if the data unexpectedly shows strength, investors' hopes for rate cuts will be completely shattered, and a stronger dollar could become the straw that breaks the camel's back for crypto prices, potentially leading to a deep correction affecting 400,000 people.

This is undoubtedly a high-stakes bet on the direction of Fed policy, but do you really want to bet all your chips on this data guessing game?

Looking at the current state of the crypto market: Bitcoin has broken through the $86,000 mark for the first time in two weeks, but has fallen about 30% from the historical high in early October, currently in an extreme oversold state. Although there is a demand for a rebound, the upward momentum is clearly insufficient.

Operational Strategy

• BTC: Consider placing long positions in the range of 85000-85500, targeting around 88000.

• ETH: It is recommended to enter long in the range of 2880-2900, targeting the 3000 level. #ETH走势分析 #BTC走势分析