The idea is that every rally start has the same signs regardless of the coin.
✅ How does a rally start?
A real rally always goes through 3 clear stages: if you understand them, you’ll be able to identify the start of any upward wave yourself.
✅ 1️⃣ Stage One: Downtrend Weakening (Stopping the Decline)
Before the market goes up… the down move must look like it’s “dying.”
You can see this in 3 ways:
✅ 1. Red candles get smaller
Instead of being long and harsh… they become short and weak.
✅ 2. Selling volume falls
The red bars under the chart start shortening. That means sellers have lost strength.
✅ 3. Price moves sideways
It’s not clearly going up or down — this means the market is accumulating positions.
📌 BNB actually entered this stage around 970–1000 then 930–960.
✅ 2️⃣ Stage Two: First Bounce
This is what happened at 880 → 1014, but it’s still not a confirmed rally.
In this stage:
Buyers try to push the market up
But resistance usually stops them
Then price drops to “test support”
This test is necessary before any uptrend begins.
📌 BNB had a first bounce, but it failed above 1014.
✅ 3️⃣ Stage Three: “Reversal Confirmation”
This is the most important step… without it we can’t say the trend actually reversed.
A reversal signal is made when:
✅ 1. A higher high
Meaning the price breaks the last peak made during the first bounce. For BNB → that peak was near 1014–1020; if price breaks it → initial uptrend begins.
✅ 2. A higher low
The price drops… but does not make a new low. It reverses from a higher level.
So if it drops now to 950–960 then rises again → that’s an excellent sign.
✅ 3. A key resistance breakout with a close
For example on your chart:
Daily close above 1000–1016 = first real sign of a rally
Close above 1040 = stronger confirmation
Close above 1107 (MA25) = full trend reversal
✅ 4. Clear increase in green volume
A rise without strong volume → likely false. A rise with volume = real buyers entering.
✅ 5. MACD starts to cross up
Especially when the DIF line crosses above the DEA.
✅ Simple summary
A rally start forms when the following happens:
The decline weakens
The market bounces
The bounce slightly fails
Price makes a higher low
Then it breaks the last high → the uptrend begins
This is the “shape of a real rally” on any chart.
✅ And for BNB specifically?
Step-by-step from this chart:
✅ Stage 1: happened
✅ Stage 2: happened (880 → 1014)
⏳ Stage 3: not yet…
It will start when one of these occurs:
✅ First sign:
Daily close above 1000 – 1016
✅ Stronger sign:
Higher low at 950–960 then a rise
✅ Decisive sign:
Close above 1040, then a close above 1107 (MA25)
If those signs appear → the move is not just a bounce… it’s a real new trend.
