🚨 This week's global heavyweight data and events preview (be sure to bookmark)
How the US stock market moves = How cryptocurrencies move.
This week, key data is piled up, combined with a sharp drop in liquidity due to Thanksgiving—markets will face a directional moment.
📉 Monday: Setting the Mood
Dallas Fed Business Activity Index (23:30)
Leading indicators of the southern manufacturing & energy sectors
A light data day, expectations are more easily amplified
Institutions are reducing positions in advance, market is weak and cautious
⚠️ Tuesday: High-Energy Warning Day
① US September Retail Sales (resubmission) — “Terrifying Data”
Consumer spending accounts for about 70% of US GDP, its strength directly impacts policy expectations and asset pricing.
② September PPI Producer Price Index
Key upstream indicator in the inflation chain, looking at whether prices will continue to cool.
🧱 Wednesday: Inflation Anchor Debuts
Initial Jobless Claims
Employment strength remains a sensitive point for the Federal Reserve.
Core PCE (October)
No CPI this month → Core PCE = The most critical inflation indicator
The Fed's 2% target is focused on it.
📘 Thursday Midnight: Beige Book
First-hand business surveys from 12 regional Fed banks:
The “on-site situation” of the real economy, employment, and prices
Highly relevant during data gaps.
🦃 Thanksgiving Trading Reminder
Thursday: US stock market closed
Friday: Early closing 3 hours
➡️ Liquidity sharply declines, volatility is easily amplified
The crypto market may experience “massive volatility with low volume”.
🎯 The 4 Most Important Things This Week
Terrifying Data: Retail Sales
Inflation Anchor: Core PCE
Fed Sentiment: Beige Book
Liquidity Trap: Thanksgiving Holiday
