The U.S. Senate has actually formally authorized Trump to wield the highest 500% tariff stick against us! As an old hand who has been watching the crypto circle for 8 years, I instantly woke up staring at my position list: this wave of geopolitical storm can be dodged on the first day but not the fifteenth in the crypto circle!
Let me first expose the absurdity of this matter: the U.S. side says that China's purchase of energy from Russia and Iran is indirectly 'aiding the war,' so they want to take tariff action. They even calculated it clearly, saying that China bought 60% of Russia's energy and 90% of Iran's exports, insisting that all the funds flowed into the military sector. I really want to laugh! So, buying energy is 'normal trade' for your side, but when others buy it, it's 'stabbing with a knife'? This double standard is played better than contract leverage!
Ironically, the attitudes on both sides have reversed: not long ago, Trump was shouting 'We should help China,' but then he turned around and wielded the tariff stick louder than anyone else. This change of face is faster than a contract liquidation; China directly pointed out this is a 'double standard,' and even the U.S. Vice President added a jab, 'Don't underestimate America's chips'—the tension is so thick it could ignite volatility in the crypto market!
I dare say: this is not an 'energy problem' at all; it's just an upgrade of the trade game in a new guise! But the crypto circle shouldn't think it can stay unscathed—let's not forget that during the trade war in 2018, mainstream coins dropped directly by over 30%. Now, the global market's correlation is 10 times stronger than back then. U.S. stocks and crude oil have already started to fluctuate violently, and crypto assets, being high-volatility risk assets, will only bounce around with the capital.
As someone who has been through it, here are 3 heartfelt, practical suggestions that can help you minimize losses if you follow them:
Don't just stare at K-lines! Spend 10 minutes every day monitoring 3 channels: White House statements, U.S.-China economic and trade rhetoric, Brent crude oil trends. These signals are much more flexible than technical indicators, and predicting volatility in advance is 10 times better than cutting losses after being trapped.
Check your positions immediately! Don't let risk assets exceed 40%, especially don't pile up too many small coins; keep enough cash as a 'firefighting team' and don't think about 'buying the dip.' The margin for error is thinner than your face now; holding a full position through volatility is gambling with your life.
Don't be lazy with stop losses! For mainstream coins, set stop losses 5% below key support levels, and for small coins, set hard stop losses of 15%-20%. Remember, preserving your principal is more important than anything else; if it drops, you can re-enter the market, but if you lose your principal, you're really done for.
Honestly, the crypto circle has never been a 'lawless land.' Geopolitical situations and macro policies have always been the 'invisible hand' affecting the market. This wave of turmoil has just begun; how things will develop, which coins can withstand, and when to buy the dip, I will analyze and break down the situation every day.
