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💠 $BTC (Bitcoin)

Price: $104 517

Change over 24h: −2.66%

RSI (15m/1h/4h/24h/7d): 30.4 / 33.6 / 31.0 / 36.1 / 46.4

RSI analysis:

All timeframes show oversold conditions — especially on 4h and 24h. RSI below 35 indicates a possible technical rebound in the next 24–48 hours. The daily RSI (36.1) is holding at the lower end of the neutral zone, indicating a temporary cooldown after a strong upward impulse in the previous weeks.

Key levels:

• Support — $103,000 and $101,800 (strong clusters of volumes and long liquidations).

• Resistance — $106,200 and $108,500 (area of previous rebounds, high short activity).

Comment:

Bitcoin is at the lower boundary of the short-term channel. Sellers are losing strength, but the momentum for recovery is not yet confirmed. If the level of $103,000 holds, a rebound to $106,000–$107,000 is possible.

Forecast:

Short-term (1–2 days) — high probability of a local rebound (growth) at 60%.

Target levels for growth: $106,000 → $107,800.

Risk zones when falling: $101,500 and $100,000 — a break may accelerate the decline.

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$ETH (Ethereum)

Price: $3,495

Change over 24h: −5.81%

RSI (15m/1h/4h/24h/7d): 29.5 / 29.4 / 27.0 / 33.6 / 47.5

RSI analysis:

Ethereum shows deep oversold conditions across all timeframes. RSI values below 30 on 1h and 4h indicate strong selling pressure, but also a high likelihood of a technical rebound. RSI (24h) = 33.6 shows the beginning of the formation of a local bottom.

Key levels:

• Support — $3,400 and $3,280 (dense volume and long liquidations zone).

• Resistance — $3,560 and $3,680 (previous consolidation zones and profit-taking).

Comment:

ETH is testing the lower boundary of strong support. A drop of 5.8% in one day may signal the final phase of correction. If $3,400 holds, a rebound to around $3,600 is possible.

Forecast:

Short-term (1–2 days) — probability of growth 65%, correction 35%.

Target levels for growth: $3,600 → $3,700.

Risks when falling: breaking $3,280 will open the way to $3,150–$3,050.

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General market conclusions:

Both top coins show oversold conditions across most timeframes. RSI on average across the market remains below 35 — this is a zone where reversal movements often form. Market capitalization has temporarily corrected after last week's active growth, indicating a phase of consolidation before potential recovery.

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Trading strategies:

• Long is preferred only from support with confirmation of a rebound on the 1h RSI.

• Take part of the profit at the nearest resistances ($106,000 for BTC, $3,600 for ETH).

• Caution when entering with leverage: downward momentum is not yet fully exhausted.

• For conservative traders — waiting for confirmation of a reversal on 4h timeframes (RSI > 40).

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📈 Conclusion: the market is in a state of local oversold conditions, the probability of a technical rebound in the next 24–48 hours is high. The optimal tactic is to observe the reaction to key support levels and limited entries into long positions based on RSI signals.

🔍 Analytics and insights from INVESTIDEAUA: the market in numbers, dynamics and logic of movement.

Detailed models and analyses — in my author channel @INVESTIDEAUA.