$BTC is facing a real test — and this is what needs to happen for the price to reach 115,000 USD

Have you guys noticed these past few days... the market is strangely quiet. The price of BTC climbed from the 103,500 range to 114,000 USD, as if entering a new wave... but then it stalled.

That feeling — like a predator holding its breath before pouncing.

But for Bitcoin to truly break through 115,000 USD, a few things need to happen.

1. $114,000 — the boundary between confidence and collapse.

This is not just a technical number. It is the psychological boundary where the market confirms whether the "bottom has formed" or not.

According to Swissblock, the entire upward trend of BTC now depends on whether the buyers can protect the $114,000 area.

"This week is about confirmation — proving that Bitcoin can hold support," they said.

If BTC slips below this level, everything will return to the old spiral: fear, capital withdrawal, and accumulation from scratch.

But if it can hold... that will be the first signal for a new growth cycle.

2. The upward momentum does not come from FOMO — but from real money.

Anyone who follows Glassnode will see:

Spot trading volume decreased by more than 17% in the past week, down to $12.5 billion.

Cumulative volume delta (CVD) is still below 0.

That means, there has not been any real new money entering the market.

Glassnode speaks very frankly:

"The recent bounce of Bitcoin to $116,000 has not been confirmed by stronger capital inflows."

What does this mean? It means that the recent increase has not yet gained public confidence.

That is not a "sustainable speculative" capital flow – just a reflex from the previous drop.

3. Every big wave starts from silence.

Currently, on-chain activity is low — the number of active addresses, trading volume, and network fees are all decreasing.

The market seems to be sleeping... but it is during these quiet times that the greatest momentum is often built up.

Rekt Capital once said:

"If the weekly closing price is above $114,500 and turns that area into support, the upward trend will be officially confirmed."

That means, as long as BTC successfully tests this area again, a new wave can unfold.

And with the Fed keeping open the possibility of rate cuts... the macro picture is gradually supporting the return of capital.

4. The market does not need more good news — but needs real confidence.

Anyone who has gone through many cycles will understand:

Prices do not rise because of good news.

Prices rise when people believe that the market has stopped being afraid.

Currently, defense is gradually giving way to cautious optimism.

If capital really returns, BTC may not only touch $115,000... but also pave the way back to the old peak of $126,000.

This phase is not about excitement... but about patience.

When the whole world is silent, only those who understand the market structure can hear its heartbeat.

Bitcoin is not dead, it is just taking a deep breath... before swimming further than ever.
#BTC