Key takeaways:
Over $177,000 has been wagered on Polymarket regarding a potential Ripple ETF approval in 2025.
99% of bets currently expect approval this year.
Ripple CEO previously hinted at regulatory momentum for an XRP-linked ETF.
Ripple ETF Approval Odds Surge on Polymarket
Prediction market Polymarket shows overwhelming trader confidence in a Ripple exchange-traded fund (ETF) launching in 2025.
As of Sept. 17, bets on the “Ripple ETF approved in 2025” market have surpassed $177,000, with more than 99% of participants predicting ‘Yes’.
Ripple CEO’s Previous Comments
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has previously signaled optimism regarding the potential approval of an XRP-linked ETF, following the wave of U.S. approvals for spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier this year. Market speculation has grown that the SEC could face mounting pressure to consider ETFs tied to additional cryptocurrencies.
Wider ETF Context
The surge in Polymarket bets reflects the broader crypto ETF boom in 2025:
Spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted billions in inflows, setting institutional adoption records.
Ethereum ETFs have gained traction, with multiple products now live in the U.S. and Europe.
Traders are increasingly betting that XRP could be next in line, especially as Ripple continues to expand its payments partnerships worldwide.
Market Implications
If approved, a Ripple ETF would mark a major milestone for XRP and could boost its institutional adoption, similar to the rally seen in Bitcoin and Ethereum following ETF launches.
At the time of writing, XRP trades at $0.56, with traders closely watching for updates from the SEC and Ripple’s ongoing regulatory positioning.
