Today's market analysis is roughly as follows:
On-chain key signals: Long-term holders sold 240,000 bitcoins, the largest scale since early 2025, significantly increasing the probability of BTC peaking.
$BTC: Showing a volatile trend, with minor resistance levels at $112,000-$113,000. The market is experiencing low volatility and low trading volume over the weekend, and true supply and demand will be revealed after the U.S. stock market opens. Large-scale considerations are postponed; strategies will be formulated after this rebound ends.
$ETH: The adjustment cycle is relatively long, and market supply is relatively strong, with future performance dependent on demand. In terms of pattern, it is still in the adjustment phase of an upward trend; holding positions and waiting is advisable, with $4,200 being a key support level.
Altcoin market: The market is approaching, and market makers will be eager to pull prices and offload due to reduced liquidity in the late bull market; investors need to seize the opportunity.
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