September 4 Doge0.21 retracement does not break, look 📈. Di | 新哥XBro on Binance Square

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September 4 Doge0.21 retracement does not break, look 📈. Did you understand the 10%? $BTC $ETH $DOGE 
#美联储降息预期  

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Btc目前站上113.4K上方，但是上冲无量最高涨到114.2K遇阻回落；整体属于4小时结构上涨，重点还是关注晚间8点30CPI年率，谨防上下插针，可做插针单；支撑（多）：113.4K（激进） 109.4K 111.5K 压力（空）：115.6K 117K$BTC $ETH #CPI数据来袭

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Btc目前站上113.4K上方，但是上冲无量最高涨到114.2K遇阻回落；整体属于4小时结构上涨，重点还是关注晚间8点30CPI年率，谨防上下插针，可做插针单；支撑（多）：113.4K（激进） 109.4K 111.5K 压力（空）：115.6K 117K $BTC $ETH #CPI数据来袭

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核心博弈点：非9月是否降息，而是9月降息50BP的可能性及2025年整体降息空间。关键数据影响：就业市场加速下滑、通胀放缓，若8月CPI如PPI般下降，将加剧利率博弈情绪；若CPI低于预期且明显低于前值，9月降息50BP概率或提升（当前仅9.9%），有望推动风险市场上涨至利率公布日。议息会议重点：除利率决议外，点阵图对2025年利率路线的表决至关重要。若2025年降息空间达100BP（利率将至3.25%-3.5%），则9月若未降50BP，10月或12月必降一次，届时利率加速下行，经济、资本市场及风险资产将受益于宽松环境。$BTC $ETH #PPI数据来袭

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美国8月PPI数据显著低于预期与前值：PPI年率2.6%、月率-0.01%，为4月以来供给端通胀压力首次负增长。数据表明当前市场供给端通胀压力下滑，对明天公布的8月CPI数据下降形成利好支撑。$BTC $ETH #PPI数据来袭

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9月9日昨天，以太坊ETF净流入只有4420万美元。 $BTC $ETH #山寨币市场回暖

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