ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, crypto analyst PlanC stated on the X platform that anyone who thinks Bitcoin will peak in the fourth quarter of this year does not understand statistics or probability, because from a statistical and probabilistic perspective, this is equivalent to flipping a coin and getting tails three times in a row, then betting all your money that the fourth flip will definitely be tails; however, relying on the first three halving cycles does not provide enough statistical significance data.

Today, with the rise of Bitcoin funding companies and a large inflow of funds into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs, the halving cycles are no longer relevant to Bitcoin; apart from psychological and self-fulfilling prophecies, there are no fundamental reasons to explain why Bitcoin might peak in the fourth quarter of 2025.