Today's non-farm payroll and the adjusted data from previous months give the illusion that the Federal Reserve is about to ease up and welcome a raging bull market. However, many community bloggers have not noticed one thing: this data deviates too much from expectations. Such a significant deviation will become a long-term bearish signal because, at this point, it is not just about the slowdown in U.S. growth; instead, the market may very well bet on the risk of a U.S. recession. It is important to note that if the Federal Reserve believes there is a risk of recession in the U.S., it will also cut interest rates, and the magnitude of the cuts could be very large. However, this is actually a huge bearish signal because an economic recession will trigger a flow of funds towards safe-haven assets. The trends of the past few years tell us that Bitcoin is not a safe-haven asset; gold is. So now we will see how many basis points the Federal Reserve cuts this month. If it exceeds 50, then run as fast as you can.