Today's non-farm payroll and the adjusted data from previous months give the illusion that the Federal Reserve is about to ease up and welcome a raging bull market. However, many community bloggers have not noticed one thing: this data deviates too much from expectations. Such a significant deviation will become a long-term bearish signal because, at this point, it is not just about the slowdown in U.S. growth; instead, the market may very well bet on the risk of a U.S. recession. It is important to note that if the Federal Reserve believes there is a risk of recession in the U.S., it will also cut interest rates, and the magnitude of the cuts could be very large. However, this is actually a huge bearish signal because an economic recession will trigger a flow of funds towards safe-haven assets. The trends of the past few years tell us that Bitcoin is not a safe-haven asset; gold is. So now we will see how many basis points the Federal Reserve cuts this month. If it exceeds 50, then run as fast as you can.
I just hung a big pancake for a moment, and what I need to tell everyone is that after the evening session opens today, the capital flow of the big pancake is somewhat similar to the trend when Ethereum plummeted from above 4700 to around 4090 two weeks ago, that is, large orders smashing the market while small orders accumulate. As for Ethereum's subsequent low curve, there's no need to elaborate. The big pancake will probably start to rise after absorbing for another two days, but I still recommend more Ethereum, after all, it is inherently stronger than the big pancake and will only go higher $BTC
It is expected that someone with your intelligence won't make money.
进入币圈就没赚过钱
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The violent rise against humanity has triggered a short squeeze, causing retail investors to get liquidated and no one is playing anymore; withdrawals will only become more difficult. Just look at the withdrawal amount: when I was playing, it was 7.35, now it’s only 7.11.
It's been ten years and you're still speaking in the square trying to deceive newcomers. I'm telling you the truth, you're not suited for the crypto world. Your views and statements are like dog poop on the roadside; apart from grossing out passersby, they have no meaning.
十年玩家
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Bearish
$ETH looks like 21 years Three Peaks Bear This wave is looking at 1000 Ethereum
There's no need; just control the liquidation price and exhaust the market maker.
长缨缚苍龙
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$LTC cannot understand the logic of the Air Force's hard sell, there are obviously favorable expectations, just follow the market, and yet they lead the sell-off, is it really controlled? Want to pull up, pull up; want to sell, sell?
That's how it is. At first, I could only trade spot, losing money when the price fell. Later, I learned about contracts and lost money when the price rose. After that, I learned about options, and now it's great—I'm losing money whether the price goes up or down.
麻子新
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At first, I only knew how to trade cryptocurrencies. I only lost money when the price dropped. Later, I learned how to short sell. I also lost money when the price rose. Later, I learned about contracts. I would lose money regardless of whether the price of the cryptocurrencies went up or down. I really fucked up.
Currently, the market can be roughly divided into four types of people:
1: The ones who missed out while being out of the market, the most anxious group
2: Those who sold too early, deeply regretful
3: Those who shorted ETH at a low position and are currently suffering
4: Those who are stuck at a high position, these people tend to be more stable in mindset because they are far from breaking even and do not have particularly high emotional fluctuations
If you trust him, you'll have it for the rest of your life
u5428466
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The general Liang Xi's overall view is generally not a big problem, and he has indeed fought against the "conspiracy group" he mentioned countless times. It is absolutely impossible for domestic cryptocurrencies to be on the hot search before the cryptocurrency trading is openly supported, which means that this wave of hot searches is indeed purely capital manipulation.
The logic behind it is nothing more than telling the masses who don't understand that buying virtual currency is good for making money, thereby attracting novices to enter the market to take over at high positions, making it easier for dealers to sell and smash the market.
Can it be considered that Ethereum 2600 has reached the top? For entertainment only, please do not exaggerate!
Prepare funds to buy the dip, it's not normal for BTC to rise like this, a major crash is about to come.
Split the funds into two batches to buy the dip. In terms of time, the real bull market will also start in the next 1-2 months.
Scenario 1: BTC will hover between 100,000 and 105,000 for 3 days, then start to plummet next week, losing the gains of the past month in 7 days. By the end of May, it will dip to 78,000, then fluctuate between 78,000 and 85,000.
At the end of June, it will test 80,000 again, and in July, the bull market will kick off, with the crypto world flourishing, reaching the peak of this bull market in October-November.
Scenario 2: BTC will directly surge to 110,000 at the current price, ETH will reach 3,000, and altcoins will rotate, leaving me completely out, becoming a joke.
From mid-May to mid-June, the summer of altcoins, without new external retail investors entering and no interest rate cuts, altcoins and meme coins will collectively climax, completing a mini bull market.
By late June, the crypto market will completely crash, and the subsequent path has not been thought out yet.
Your short-term trading isn't working either. Last time you told me that for short-term trading, you only look a few days ahead. After Ethereum's price stabilizes above 1750, the next resistance will be in the 1950-2050 range. You're still shorting here, unbeatable.
专注波段交易东哥
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Ethereum is awesome, but it's been hit again. No more empty talk, let's be honest and live our lives.
And even from a technical perspective, it's a weekly rebound.
神不信多军
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Bearish
Did I perhaps lose? As I said, if I blow up this position, I will definitely exit the crypto market and move to other markets. If I blow up this position, it will prove that the crypto market has reached a point where it is a pure casino with no technical analysis possible, reversing out of thin air without any fundamental background. I may really not be suitable for this anymore. Let's wait another half month, or we'll see the outcome at the end of May.
Isn't the US stock market also doing this? What's wrong, you don't trade US stocks either?
神不信多军
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Bearish
Did I perhaps lose? As I said, if I blow up this position, I will definitely exit the crypto market and move to other markets. If I blow up this position, it will prove that the crypto market has reached a point where it is a pure casino with no technical analysis possible, reversing out of thin air without any fundamental background. I may really not be suitable for this anymore. Let's wait another half month, or we'll see the outcome at the end of May.
He relies solely on infinite bullets, betting right once to turn things around; it's better for you to take a look at the transactions of the waves.
好想躺平的大学牲
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Bearish
Following Liangxi around, starving for nine meals in three days 😂 I'm still shorting, stubborn as ever Currently holding a short position at 96500, with orders to short at 97500 and 98500. I just don't believe it can keep rising?
Entered at 95000 yesterday, stopped out Will it give me more losses today? Impossible! Absolutely impossible! Originally, my stop loss for the second contract was at 1860, and I thought it was close enough so I manually closed it, but unexpectedly, it didn't go up. I really feel like throwing up 🙁.
ps: This little hairpin on my hair is the most ridiculous thing I've ever bought, packaged with three layers inside and three layers outside. If you didn't know better, you'd think I bought some big treasure. 😏
Don't be afraid of heights, the Ethereum weekly rebound has already started. Today we have stabilized above 1750, so we can prepare to look at the 2000 resistance level. Charge! (This is just personal analysis and does not constitute investment advice) $ETH
Anyone who carves a boat to seek a sword should know that the big pancake has only adjusted for two months in a 21-year bull market.
专注波段交易东哥
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Let's briefly analyze the current market situation. 94,000 is a major resistance level with a lot of trapped positions. Unless Bitcoin goes crazy, the possibility of continuing to rise sharply is quite low. Although Bitcoin's significant increase has broken the downward trend of the past two months, it is still far from saying that a bull market has returned. First, there hasn't been enough time; the adjustment from the recent high has only been two months. Second, there are several resistance levels above at 96,000, 98,000, and 100,000 waiting to be broken. Based on our experience, after such a horizontal breakout and significant rise, there usually needs to be a consolidation structure, which could be a range-bound fluctuation or a bull flag pullback. Regardless of the form, it requires time to digest and strategize. Here, we will have many short-term opportunities. Everyone, please be patient.