#Bitcoin Price Forecast: Could $BTC Drop to $50K or Hit $140K as Cycle Nears End?

Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, is currently trading at around $111,000, showing resilience amid recent market volatility. As investors grapple with the possibility of an impending shift in its four-year cycle, fresh insights from crypto analytics expert Joao Wedson suggest that #BTC could be on the cusp of dramatic price movements. With the potential for a surge to $140,000 or a steep correction to $50,000, the coming months could define the trajectory for Bitcoin in 2025 and beyond. This analysis delves into the factors at play, exploring whether Bitcoin can evade a traditional bear market or if history is poised to repeat itself in a new era dominated by institutional players.

Understanding Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle

At the heart of the discussion is Bitcoin's renowned four-year cycle, a pattern tied to its halving events that reduce mining rewards and historically influence supply dynamics. Every four years, the reward for mining new blocks is halved, creating scarcity that often fuels bull runs followed by corrections. The most recent halving occurred in April 2024, setting the stage for what many expected to be another explosive growth phase. However, as we approach the latter stages of this cycle, signs of fatigue are emerging.

Wedson, founder and CEO of the analytics platform Alphractal, has highlighted a "Repetition Fractal Cycle" model that maps out recurring patterns in Bitcoin's price behavior. This fractal suggests that bull markets typically give way to bears around specific timelines, with the current cycle potentially wrapping up as early as October 2025. While acknowledging the risks of over-reliance on historical charts, Wedson points to a scenario where Bitcoin could briefly dip toward the $100,000 range before catapulting beyond $140,000 in a final parabolic push.

This cycle isn't just about numbers—it's influenced by broader economic forces. In previous cycles, retail enthusiasm drove much of the action...

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