BTC High Wire Act: Low Volume Fluctuations Hide the Risk of a Trend Reversal!
Friends, the current market is like walking a tightrope—both bulls and bears are on cliffs, and one wrong step could lead to a painful fall! Combining the latest news and technical analysis, here are three key points to understand today's market situation:
1. The Game of Funds and News
ETF Lifeline: BlackRock ETF attracted another $50.87 million last night (net inflow for 3 consecutive days), major institutions are selling miners' chips with their left hand while buying retail investors' liquidated positions with their right, clearly playing the game of 'sell high, buy low'.Interest Rate Smoke Bomb: The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 50 basis points in September is only 1.4%, but Treasury Secretary Yellen is loudly calling for a 150 basis point cut, creating a policy game that makes the main players hesitant to bet on a direction.
2. Key Technical Resistance
Price is stuck at 113000 playing a 'push game', behind which are three major contradictions:
Volume Running Out: Trading volume has shrunk to 50% of normal, like running a marathon but lacking oxygen, the risk of a false breakout is extremely high. Bulls and Bears Divide: The BOLL middle line at 112500 acts as a strong boundary, the MACD red bars are shortening but haven't turned green—bulls are lifting dumbbells and are running out of strength. Coffin Nail Resistance: 114000 is like an 'iron coffin lid', last year before the breakout at 60k there was also a 7-day volume shrink, history might repeat itself.
3. My Aggressive Operation Plan
Having experienced 17 bull and bear cycles, here's two tips for you:
Breakout Script: If it breaks above 114000 with increased volume, chase the long position with eyes closed (stop loss at 113000), targeting the previous high of 117000. Crash Script: If it breaks below 112500, place a buy order at 110000 to 'catch the falling knife', this is the institutional cost zone, with a rebound probability exceeding 70%.
Tonight at 20:30, keep a close eye on NVIDIA's earnings report! If AI data exceeds expectations, ETH might pull BTC along. For those who want to follow my trades in real-time, pay attention to pinned updates—those who like now will receive an escape pod position map before the crash! President Fuqi's team is dedicated to serving ambitious lunatics! Follow President Fuqi to navigate the market through thorns and obstacles. $BTC #比特币巨鲸换仓以太坊
