Data Nuclear Explosion! 229,000 Unemployment Claims Tear the Market, Bitcoin's 100,000 Defense Line is Urgent! Whale Slaughter Manual Exposed

​Truth Behind the Data​​

The number of initial unemployment claims in the U.S. announced tonight at 20:30 is 229,000​. This data shows a resilient job market, but it should be noted:​ the U.S. dollar index did not surge as expected, instead it has fallen for two consecutive days to 98.135​, and the market's expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut in September remains as high as 84%​!

Bull-Bear Logic Reversal

Strong unemployment claims data should be bearish for risk assets, but tonight the market's reaction is unusual! The core contradiction lies in:

​Rate Cut Expectations Not Extinguished​: New York Fed President Williams stated "action may be taken at every meeting", compounded by consumer confidence dropping to 97.4 and the proportion of the job market where "jobs are hard to find" rising to a 2021 high, economic concerns support the rate cut logic;​ Key Price Level Game​: The current support zone for BTC is between $100,000 - $108,800​, as this is the cost line for short-term holders, once it breaks below, it will trigger panic selling;​ Correction of Liquidation Scale​: The actual amount of leveraged liquidation is $900 million​, far from the rumored $6 billion, but ETH volatility has surged to 70%, and derivative risks remain high.

​Tonight's Life-and-Death Game Simulation

​Bearish Killing Weapon​: If BTC falls below $107,000 (strong on-chain support), it may quickly dip to $93,000, triggering a bloodbath in altcoins;​Bullish Hidden Card​: Whales are accumulating by leveraging panic; Derive data shows institutions have buy orders at $103,000, and the gap at $92,000 in CME futures is creating a magnetic effect;​Ultimate Alarm​: Tomorrow night at 20:30, the non-farm payroll data (predicted at 163,000) is the real market nuclear bomb!

​Survivor Strategy​​

​Leverage Players​: Immediately reduce positions! ETH's 70% volatility means the risk of contract liquidation has doubled;​Spot Positions​: Set buy orders at 103,000/BTC and 4,000/ETH to bet on the CME gap filling;​Hedging is Essential​: Buy BTC put options (the 25-delta skew turning negative indicates lower hedging costs).

​Follow Real-Time On-Chain Data:​​

Whale Address Movements + Fed Dovish Signals = Get Rich Code

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