90,000 People Liquidated! BTC Life and Death Battle Under Policy Storm: Is it a Pullback Trap or a Bear Trap?
Today's BTC shows a fluctuating downtrend on the hourly chart, with the current price at $109,449, down 2.82% from yesterday. The 4-hour candlestick chart shows:
Key Levels: Support level raised to $110,071, resistance level at $117,875, reversal signals: Hammer candlestick + KDJ Oversold, indicating a short-term rebound, but the MACD histogram remains negative, showing only a 'weak recovery' from the bulls. Trading volume: Selling pressure dominates, with institutions clearly adopting a 'rebound shorting' strategy.
Trump Overturns the Federal Reserve, Market Sentiment Cautious
Today's core contradiction lies in the suppression of technical aspects by policy uncertainty:
Trump fired Federal Reserve board member Cook, raising doubts about 'policy independence' in the market. Similar to the 12% one-day plunge in BTC caused by the Fed's interest rate hike in 2023, although it hasn't broken support today, institutions choose to 'wait and see.' Rate cut expectations hedge: Goldman Sachs' three rate cut predictions are in a tug-of-war with Trump's tariff policy, causing funds to flow between BTC and ETH—Ethereum strongly broke through $4,835 today, with some funds withdrawing from BTC. Liquidation data: Nearly 90,000 people liquidated, with long positions liquidated at $287 million, indicating retail investors' helplessness in the 'policy market.'
Capturing Technical Rebounds Amid Policy Gaps
Given the current situation, recommendations are:
Short-term operation: Short at $112,472 on a light position, stop loss at $113,100, target at $109,500 - $110,071; Swing opportunity: If the support at $110,071 is held, a rebound after the hammer candlestick may be played, targeting $112,000.
Risk Control Focus: Be wary of Trump mentioning 'digital currency tariffs' in tonight's Twitter; if 'Reciprocal Tariff 2.0' statements emerge, BTC may instantly drop below $105,000.
The current market is in a combined state of 'policy disturbance period + technical correction period,' where each rebound in BTC may be a 'false breakout.' The real opportunity may lie in the power struggle between Trump and the Federal Reserve—only when policy black swans resonate with technical signals is the time to strike hard.
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