金链说币

From 'Air Coin' to Payment Revolution: Musk's Move Shatters the Pure Faith in Dogecoin

Musk's Blade: The Collapse of Dogecoin Belief, Miners and Retail Investors in a Life-and-Death Struggle
Crypto blogger Jin Lian's Quick Review: When Musk connects Tesla charging stations to Dogecoin payments, a revolutionary change that disrupts the crypto world is set in motion. This carnival, which started from meme culture, is undergoing painful value conflicts.

48-Hour Payment Revolution
12 Tesla charging stations worldwide have launched DOGE payment testing, and SpaceX satellite procurement has integrated small-scale settlements. On-chain transaction volume surged by 320%, and transfers below 0.1 DOGE increased from 3.7% to 28.3%. Once regarded as an 'Air Coin', Dogecoin sheds its pure speculation label.

Miners in Revolt: The Collapse of the Hashing Dynasty
Old Wang from the Texas mining farm chuckles bitterly at the idle mining machines: 'The dedicated node cluster hangs like a sword of Damocles.' Protocol upgrades caused the profits of small and medium-sized mines to shrink by 40%, with the entire network's computing power plummeting by 18% in 24 hours, and second-hand mining machines crashing by 30%. The decentralized sanctuary faces an efficiency revolution, and small miners become sacrifices to technological upgrades.

Retail Investor Civil War: Faith vs. Speculation
Two factions clash in Twitter spaces: the faith faction celebrates 'finally not relying on Musk's Twitter', while speculators roar 'how do we play with half the volatility?' 37% of holders sold off their positions, and new developers are constructing a payment ecosystem.

Three Deadly Traps
Pilot Dilemma: Charging station payments require switching to third-party wallets, with an experience far inferior to the Lightning Network.
Regulatory Cliff: The EU's MiCA regulations may block DOGE payments due to anti-money laundering loopholes.

Centralization Ghost: Musk's node cluster improves efficiency but strays from the original 'decentralization' intention.
A Gamble at the Crossroads
Dogecoin stands at the crossroads of the payment revolution: miners hope for an adjustment of the POW mechanism to regain fairness, developers are building compliant gateways, and retail investors are hopping between faith and speculation. Musk's 'To the moon' tweets may become prophetic—only this time, the lunar surface is covered with the thorns of technological upgrades.

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#加密概念美股普涨

Beware! SOL 1-hour line reveals a secret, significant actions will occur by the main force at 16:00 on August 25!

The upper track 184.91 → lower track 179.40 interval is rapidly narrowing, which is a typical precursor to a trend reversal. Historical data shows: every time the Bollinger Bands contract, SOL's average increase reaches double digits; last time after the contraction, it surged to 210 USD in 3 days.

MACD hidden secrets
Although the DIF and DEA are below the 0 axis, the MACD histogram has turned red, forming a "submerged golden cross" pattern. After this signal appears in 2024, SOL's average increase exceeds 20%.

Volume conundrum
Current trading volume is significantly shrinking, but the real trading volume is much higher, indicating that the main force is creating panic through fake orders. Remember: a drop in volume to a critical level is a golden pit.

Path to wealth
Death line at 182.15 USD: The middle support level of the Bollinger Bands, the possibility of breaking below is extremely low. On-chain data shows multiple whales have placed large buy orders at this price level.

Breakthrough at 184.91 USD: Upper track pressure turns into support, and a rapid rise will follow after the breakthrough. 200 USD is just the starting point: weekly targets point to higher price levels (near the upper track of the monthly Bollinger Bands).

Nuclear-level warning must-see before August 25
Note! 179 USD is the psychological bottom line for the main force, but if the price briefly drops below 180 USD, please fully invest immediately. A certain exchange has placed a large number of support orders at this price level, and the signal is very clear.

Exclusive spoiler
The next article will expose "SOL main force control group chat records," revealing details of their plan to launch a surprise attack at 16:00 Beijing time on August 25.

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#加密概念美股普涨

ETH Showdown at 4280 Tonight: How Will Powell's Speech Ignite ±5% Volatility?

ETH Night Battle at Jackson Hole: Key Levels and Strategy Essentials
Ethereum's 1-hour K-line has broken through the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, targeting the upper resistance area at $4340. Currently, $4280 is the pivotal point for bulls and bears: if it stabilizes with volume, look towards $4381→$4430→$4500; if it loses support at $4214, be cautious of a pullback to $4160-4100.

Technical Double-Edged Sword: MACD golden cross releases bullish momentum, but the upper Bollinger band pressure looms like a sword hanging overhead. On-chain data shows that whales have increased their holdings by over 120,000 ETH in the last 24 hours, with massive buy orders accumulating in the $4227-$4297 range, a breakout may trigger a short squeeze. Beware of a double explosion trap near $4280, it is advised to "lightly test positions, increase on breakout".

Powell's speech at 22:00 tonight will ignite the market: dovish signals may help bulls break through $4430; hawkish statements necessitate a strict defense of the $4214 line to prevent capital withdrawal. Historical data shows that during meetings, ETH's volatility often exceeds ±5%, making it a "night of terror in the crypto world".

Mig Strategy: Certainty in the Storm
Bullish Path: After confirming a breakout at $4280, gradually position towards $4380→$4430; if breaking $4430, hold until $4500.

Bearish Script: If $4214 is lost, wait for a pullback to short, targeting $4160-4100, with a stop loss set at $4280.

Retail Key Points: Closely monitor whale chip movements, a breakout in the $4227-$4297 range determines the direction, avoid heavy bets at key levels.

Tonight, the ultimate collision of technical and news factors, a watershed moment for professionals and retail investors. In a market with volatility exceeding 5%, strategy is more important than luck. Follow institutional thinking to navigate the storm confidently.

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#美国初请失业金人数

币圈老兵怒斥：没见过LUNA崩盘周50%+跌幅，凭什么说自己懂熊市？

作为币圈博主金链，我得说点实在的：

最近这波下跌就把不少新入场的散户吓坏了，但你们真没见过世面。2022年5月LUNA崩盘那才叫惨烈——当时市值排名第四的币种，第一天暴跌90%，第二天接着再跌90%，相当于现在SOL或BNB这种主流币连续两天腰斩再腰斩。价格从120美元直接归零，前后不到一周时间。

这波地震直接带崩整个币圈，当时山寨币平均跌幅都超过50%，很多项目直接清零。现在这行情算个啥？有些新韭菜跌了几天就哭爹喊娘，真要到了熊市漫漫，你们拿什么扛？记住，在加密市场，没见过归零潮的都不算经历过熊市。

机会稍纵即逝，回调在即，抄底布局现货，山寨币暴利等你拿！翻倍不是梦，点点头像关注金链，共赴牛市盛宴！

#美国初请失业金人数

At ten o'clock tonight, how will Powell's speech stir the crypto market? Three signals will determine September's trend

Tonight's Golden Chain Talk, Powell's speech may become a turning point for the crypto market
At 10 PM Beijing time tonight, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech at Jackson Hole will resonate with global capital. This 'unveiling' of policy direction poses both challenges and opportunities for the crypto market.

Key Highlights:
Interest Rate Pace: If a 'slowing rate hike' signal is released, Bitcoin may experience a short-term rebound (historical case: over 10% rise in a single day last August, V-shaped reversal after rate hike in June this year). Inflation and Economy: If he emphasizes 'controlled inflation,' market risk appetite may increase; if he mentions 'recession risks,' traditional safe-haven funds may turn to Bitcoin (recognized for its 'digital gold' attributes).

Operational Strategy:
Short-term: Reduce positions before the speech and wait for clear direction to re-enter. Contracts: Be sure to set stop-loss orders to prevent extreme volatility from triggering liquidation. Spot: If Bitcoin falls below $25,000, consider building positions gradually (historical lows often foster rebounds).

Linked Signals: Nasdaq futures volatility may convey sentiment; a surge in gold prices reinforces Bitcoin's 'digital gold' narrative; if the dollar index falls below 103, liquidity easing benefits cryptocurrencies.
Final Reminder: During heightened volatility, rationality and discipline are the greatest assets. Avoid emotional chasing of highs and lows, and use plans to cope with uncertainty.

Tonight, the winds of Jackson Hole may bring new variables, but the outcome always belongs to the rational. Stay clear-headed and seize opportunities.

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#加密市场回调

From Mortgage Loans to Financial Engineering: The USDS Upgrade Exposes MakerDAO's Strategic Transformation Ambition

As an observer of the cryptocurrency space, I must say that the changes in the stablecoin sector are more exciting than expected. Data from the past three months shows that the on-chain synthetic stablecoin USDe launched by Ethena is emerging as a dark horse—this project has achieved annualized returns through a delta-neutral strategy, and its capital growth rate has overtaken traditional players.

More noteworthy is the movement of MakerDAO. They not only upgraded the classic stablecoin DAI to USDS, but the market share of the original DAI is also rising against the trend. What does this indicate? It indicates that in the DeFi winter, protocols with genuine technological innovation can actually attract capital back. The current heat of on-chain finance is being reignited through the stablecoin sector.

In contrast, the once-dominant USDC finds itself in a somewhat awkward position. Although backed by the compliance licenses of Coinbase and Circle, it is clearly losing market share to these innovative players. This reminds me of the time when Ethereum surpassed Bitcoin in computing power—when there is a generational gap in technology, traditional giants often find themselves unprepared.

It is particularly noteworthy to mention Ethena's approach, where they hedge spot freight with ETH futures, combining stablecoin yields with DeFi leverage—a model that simply cannot exist in traditional finance. The upgrade of USDS shows that MakerDAO is transforming from a mortgage loan model to more complex financial engineering. These changes are reinforcing a trend: in the era of stablecoin 2.0, the competition is no longer about licenses and endorsements, but rather about the depth of protocol design innovation.

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#加密市场回调

Lightning moments must be present: Why is the long-term value curve of SOL still in an upward channel?

The opportunity window for SOL has arrived: Seize the key to this round of ecological dividends
The current crypto market is in a phase of correction and resonance with positive news. As the leader in the public chain track, SOL is entering a strategic layout period. Technically, this round of adjustments is a great opportunity for smart money to enter in batches—when ETH's valuation is partially overdrawn, SOL's cost-performance advantage continues to stand out.

On a macro level, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September will improve liquidity for global risk assets, and the TVL scale locked on the SOL chain and its ecological prosperity make it the preferred target for incremental funds. Even more exciting is that if the SOL ETF is approved in October, it will become the third crypto asset to obtain a traditional financial license after Bitcoin and Ethereum, with historical significance comparable to the opening of the gold ETF in 2020, potentially opening a trillion-dollar capital channel.

Specifically, it is recommended to focus on two types of assets: first, DEX leaders like JUP, which serve as traffic entrances for the SOL ecosystem and often exhibit the characteristic of “a rising tide lifts all boats” in a bull market; second, innovative protocols like RAY, whose business models are deeply integrated with the SOL ecosystem, possessing stronger value capture capabilities during the ecological expansion period. The suggested operational strategy is to adopt a “core + satellite” allocation, using 30-50% of the position to layout the above-mentioned targets, with the remaining funds flexibly responding to volatility.

It is important to emphasize that the current market needs to establish a three-dimensional analysis framework of “macro cycle + ecological narrative + technical verification.” As one of the most certain narrative main lines of this cycle, SOL's long-term value remains in an upward channel. For investors with strong risk tolerance, this moment is a strategic layout period to exchange time for space—just as Wall Street says: “When lightning strikes, you must be present.” In the crypto field, patience and vision are always the best investment partners.

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#亚洲家族办公室加密资产配置

Must-see for Retail Investors: Watch out for the pullback risk if the XRP 3.3810 resistance level is not broken!

XRP Today's Trend Change Warning: The 3.3810 resistance level becomes a key watershed
The current XRP market has entered a critical observation period. The 1-hour candlestick chart shows that the price is oscillating narrowly between the strong resistance level of 3.3810 and the support level of 2.8175, with the MACD indicator continuously converging and trading volume shrinking to a low level, resulting in a stalemate between bulls and bears.

Two major technical characteristics are present:
Effectiveness of Resistance Level
Using technical analysis to draw lines at key positions, 3.3810 serves as the core resistance level in the recent period. If it can break through with volume, it will open up upward space; however, if it continues to test unsuccessfully, one must be wary of the risk of retracing to the support level.

Signal of Shrinking Volume
The sustained low trading volume reflects cautious market sentiment, and large funds have yet to clarify their direction. Retail investors face high risks of blindly chasing highs and cutting losses at this time.
Although the news front appears calm, there are undercurrents: potential variables such as the Ripple lawsuit progress and institutional position adjustments are brewing. According to reliable sources, some whales have quietly positioned themselves at lower levels.

Personal Judgment: The current market is in a "calm before the storm," and the 3.3810 resistance level is a key point for the short-term battle between bulls and bears. If it breaks through effectively, it may trigger follow-up buying to push the price higher; if it struggles to break through, beware of pullback risks. Remember: the market always moves faster than the news, and the candlestick chart has already given signals in advance. Retail investors must remain vigilant and wait for a clear direction before making decisions.

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#俄乌冲突即将结束？

Bitcoin Bulls Assemble! The Technicals Hide the "Tear Rebound" Code

Golden Chain Insight: A tear-style rebound in Bitcoin is imminent, and Powell's speech may be a key variable.

The market holds its breath, waiting for Federal Reserve Chairman Powell to speak, while Bitcoin's technicals have quietly revealed signs of a "tear-style rebound." The chart created by Sean Haf serves as a torch in the dark night, as bullish forces accumulate breakthrough energy amidst repeated fluctuations at key resistance levels, with hidden volume and "new high predictions" creating a resonance of sentiment.

At this moment, the crypto market is like a fully drawn bowstring—technical analysts are capturing the faint traces of a bullish probing attack, but caution is needed: a breakout without volume confirmation is ultimately a castle in the air. Until Powell's monetary policy direction is clear, optimistic sentiment is as fragile as a sandcastle. However, once the Fed releases a signal of a shift, the resonance between traditional finance and the crypto market could very well ignite Bitcoin's wealth effect fuse.

For investors, this is both a psychological war and a hunting moment. It is advisable to maintain a clear "awe for the market": not missing the signals of trend initiation while not blindly chasing prices. Seek certainty in the intersection of technicals and fundamentals, and maintain a rational baseline between greed and fear.

This chart is the crypto telegram delivered by the market, and it is also a silent inquiry into the judgment of every participant—when the horn of the tear-style rebound is about to sound, will you choose to ride the waves or wait for the dust to settle? The answer may lie in the insights of the market details.

#美国初请失业金人数

The Fed's Interest Rate Cut Expectations 'Dived' - Countdown of 27 Days from Frenzy to Lying Flat in the Crypto Market

Have the Fed's interest rate cut expectations collapsed? The crypto market is experiencing a 'face-slapping moment.'
Recently, the most magical plot in the crypto circle is the continuous reversal of the Fed's interest rate cut expectations.

The market was initially convinced that there would be a rate cut in September, but the FOMC meeting minutes poured cold water on that belief—two voting members had already voted to cut by 25 basis points in July, and now the predicted market can barely hold onto a 50% majority support.

It's like pursuing a goddess for half a year, only to suddenly find out that she isn't even responding on WeChat. The FOMC meeting minutes released yesterday directly exposed the internal divisions within the Fed; the interest rate range of 4.25%-4.5% remained unchanged, but Waller and Bowman are insistent on a rate cut, which left the market bewildered—where's the promised united front?

The most awkward part now is that the U.S. economy is playing 'The Boy Who Cried Wolf.' Poor employment data keeps sounding the alarm for recession, but the stock market opened flat today; this scene is like a patient who clearly should be hospitalized but insists on going to work. Ironically, the current economic uncertainty is so high that even the Fed's 'old doctor' may have no medicine left—if Powell were to pull out an interest rate cut prescription, it might already be expired.

For the crypto market, this year feels like watching a poorly concluded drama. At the beginning of the year, everyone bet that a rate cut would boost coin prices, but expectations have been repeatedly slapped in the face. Now the industry consensus has turned into: a rate cut is at most a consolation prize; what really matters is whether the AI revolution can drive up the market or if regulators suddenly create some big news.

As I often say, the crypto circle is never short of black swans, but this time the biggest uncertainty might be that even the Fed is feeling its way across the river in the dark.

Finally, let's highlight: the crypto industry has become smarter now and no longer bets everything on rate cuts. If there really is a cut in September, there might be a short-term pulse market, but long-term trends still depend on real capabilities. After all, in this magical realism market, yesterday's truth might just be tomorrow's lie; staying flexible is the way to survive.

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#美联储7月会议纪要

Market Focus! The destruction of Lista DAO tokens triggers value reconstruction and future strategic layout outlook

The explosion of the Lista DAO ecosystem: The growth secrets and future opportunities behind the $3 billion TVL
Recently,

The news that the total locked value (TVL) of Lista DAO has surpassed $3 billion has attracted attention in the DeFi industry.

This milestone not only marks its transformation from a 'promising newcomer' to a 'core of the BNB chain ecosystem', but also confirms the team's precise grasp of market demand—from the critical start of breaking through $100 million in TVL on the World Liberty Financial platform, to now becoming a liquidity hub relied upon by many projects, Lista has completed exponential expansion in just a few months.

Its recent announcement to destroy 20% of tokens (equivalent to a market value of $200 million) is a strategic model in the DeFi field. The deflationary mechanism directly enhances the scarcity of LISTA tokens, with the supply-demand relationship driving the value center upwards, while market activity not only remains stable but increases, proving that this strategy accurately hits users' dual needs for 'value storage' and 'long-term returns'.

The core supporting Lista's rapid development is continuous innovation. By optimizing the CDP (Collateralized Debt Position) mechanism to lower participation thresholds, launching low-slippage algorithm stablecoin protocols to anchor value, and introducing liquidity staking products to bridge PoS assets and the DeFi ecosystem, Lista has built an ecological closed loop of 'asset collateralization - stablecoin issuance - staking appreciation', enabling users to achieve diversified earnings through one-stop operations, which is key to its explosive TVL growth.

Looking ahead, Lista DAO is evolving from a 'project' to a 'standard'. The compatibility of its technical architecture and the scalability of its deflationary model lay the foundation for accessing cross-chain assets and laying out new tracks such as NFT finance. As the DeFi industry shifts from 'scale competition' to 'quality competition', Lista, with its triple advantages of 'technology + strategy + ecosystem', is expected to become a core participant in the global DeFi market.

For investors, Lista's airdrop opportunity (ending August 23) and ecological dividends are not only a window for short-term gains but also a barometer for long-term value. Every strategic move of this DeFi dark horse is worth close attention.

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#名人MEME热潮

Crypto blogger knocks on the blackboard: No matter how strong the rise of OK Coin is, don’t exchange BNB bottom chips for it

Traveling is like the market, only happy at the beginning and the end, with exhaustion in between — the current crypto market is just like this: daily fluctuations, 4-hour corrections, before institutions clarify their direction, the market is consolidating sideways, with both rises and falls lacking sustainability, don’t expect a big trend

Short-term opportunities: for day traders, it’s rather a "sure profit market." The tops and bottoms are relatively clear, operate according to the attached chart indicator points: don’t enter when it breaks below the support line, wait for it to return; don’t enter when it breaks above the resistance line, wait for it to drop back. Set stop-loss at the upper and lower edges of the previous candlestick body, control leverage and position, and patiently "take a bite and run," essentially ensuring profit.

Medium to long-term strategy: it’s quite torturous now. After entering the market, one must endure the pullbacks, fearing missing out on gains/selling too early, while holding on feels like a rollercoaster. If mainstream coins like BTC, ETH, and SOL have already been positioned near previous lows, it’s advisable to hold steady — there are still two anticipated interest rate cuts ahead, but the premise is to avoid "wild altcoins."
Key coins: BTC: Holding above $11,300 remains bullish (though weak); ETH: The range of $4,192-$4,140 is key support, as long as it doesn’t break below it, the bullish trend remains; SOL: Recently strong, as long as it doesn’t break $180, the bullish trend is dominant, if it can close above $187, it will directly enter a strong bullish state.

Operational suggestions: This market position changes rapidly, suitable for short-term swings. The risk of shorting is higher than going long, the downside space for the four giants is limited, the upside potential is greater, if it’s consistently hard to make money, it might be worth trying "only going long."

Final reminder: Don’t be envious of OK Coin’s strong rise; its ecological development is far from catching up to BNB in just a year or two. If you hold bottom BNB chips, don’t exchange them for OK Coin just because of its rise — converting BNB to OK Coin,

Click on the avatar to follow Jinlian, and engage in real-time market discussions and strategy sharing with over 50,000 seasoned crypto traders? Let’s enjoy the bull market feast together!

#BNB创新高

Capital Evidence of an Ongoing Bull Market: Crypto Whales Use Real Money to Break the 'Top Panic' Myth

The pulse of the market is quietly influenced by those whales who deeply understand the rhythms of the tides.
They are the 'smart money' in the crypto world,

the keenest perceivers in the wave of capital. Looking back at history, on the eve of Bitcoin's surge to $20,000 in 2017 and at dawn before the $69,000 historical high in 2021, these market giants always managed to quietly fold their wings before the frenzy reached its boiling point.

In this cycle, their footprints remain clearly discernible: When the price reached $73,000, they first adjusted their positions in phases; at the $109,000 threshold, they tightened their capital ropes for the second time; and most intriguingly, when the price fell back to around $96,000 by the end of 2024, the market saw a significant withdrawal—like a whale testing the depth of the sand before the tide retreats.

But the script is being rewritten at this moment. While most people are still hesitating over short-term fluctuations, on-chain data reveals an intriguing shift: those whales that once accurately escaped the peak are quietly increasing their positions.

In their wallet addresses, the flow trajectory of Bitcoin has shifted from net outflow to net inflow, like a lighthouse in the dark night, injecting confidence into the market with the weight of capital.

This conveys a clear signal: the current price correction is merely a technical adjustment on the way up. The real top is never forged by panic but occurs when whales begin systematic withdrawals, when their holding curves form a clear downward channel, and when every on-chain transfer is accompanied by massive selling pressure—that is when it's time to fasten the seatbelt.

The wisdom of the market often hides in the folds of capital flow. At this moment, the whales are using real money to write their judgments about the future market: the story of this bull market is far from reaching its conclusion.

Opportunities and risks coexist in the crypto world; staying vigilant and finding the right timing is key. Jin Chain has also discovered a short-term skyrocketing project with enormous doubling potential! If you want to keep up with the trends, follow Jin Chain for free sharing!

#BNB创新高

The Lunar Economics of Digital Gold: Cryptocurrency Market Cycles Revealed by 15 Years of Data

The Tidal Code of Digital Gold: Unveiling Bitcoin's Monthly Investment Patterns

In the waves of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin stands as a defiant navigator, its price fluctuations consistently tugging at the nerves of global investors. According to a 15-year data tracking by Bitwise Asset Management (2010.8.1-2025.6.30), the trajectory of this "digital gold" conceals a mysterious seasonal rhythm, seemingly drawn by some invisible tidal force.

The Ice and Fire of Monthly Gains and Losses
Breaking down the timeline, a tumultuous monthly tapestry comes to life:
November: In the traditional financial off-season, the crypto market puts on an annual grand performance, with an average increase of 38.5% shining like the Northern Lights. April and October: The 32.85% increase in spring and the 27.3% return in autumn validate the metamorphosis of "Golden September and Silver October" in the digital age. September: While the global market revels in the joy of harvest, Bitcoin alone tastes bitterness with a 4.68% decline, becoming the only month that makes bulls frown throughout the year.

The Mysterious Forces Behind the Tides
This monthly anomaly is a product of multiple intertwining factors:
Macro Cycles: Year-end financial settlements and institutional reallocation act like lunar gravity, disturbing market tides. Emotional Cycles: Investor psychology swings between greed and fear, reflecting a true seasonal emotional curve. Industry Resonance: Major conferences, technological upgrades, and regulatory dynamics resonate in specific months, impacting price trajectories.

Insights for Investors
Historical data serves as a nautical chart rather than a prophecy; it reveals patterns but cannot guarantee the future. The monsoons of the crypto world are unpredictable; the clouds of September may quickly transform into the rainbow of November. True wisdom lies in both riding the tides and firmly holding the helm in the storm.

The monthly poems written by Bitcoin over 15 years are both the navigation logs of the brave and the risk warning inscribed on the blockchain. When you gaze at the candlestick chart, perhaps you should listen to the voice of the tides— in the crypto world, there are no eternal ups and downs, only eternal reverence.

If you want to delve deeper into the crypto sphere but find yourself at a loss, seeking quick entry into understanding the information gap, tap on the profile to follow Jinlian, and gain firsthand information and in-depth analysis!

#BNB创新高

The "Midnight Variation" of Global Financial Markets: How Will Powell's Speech Rewrite the Market Script?

When the clock strikes 10 PM Beijing time tonight, the global capital markets will focus on the stage of the Jackson Hole central bank annual meeting—Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech, destined to become the "key note" of this sleepless night. This speech, regarded as a "policy barometer," may inject new variables into market sentiment.

The "Bipolar Script" of Market Games
If Powell delivers a hawkish signal, emphasizing his determination to combat inflation, the short-term market may enter a "risk-off mode": U.S. stocks could come under pressure, the dollar index is expected to strengthen, and funds will surge like a tide toward traditional safe havens such as U.S. Treasuries and gold. Conversely, if he conveys a dovish tone, suggesting that the rate hike cycle is nearing its end, risk assets may迎来反弹契机—cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin may break out first, and tech growth stocks are also expected to regain upward momentum.

The "Golden Window" Amid Volatility
Historical experience shows that major policy junctures often accompany excessive market reactions. The current intense volatility is akin to hidden pearls beneath the surface of a turbulent sea. For rational investors, rather than being swept away by short-term emotions, it is better to view this as a strategic window of "buying expectations, selling facts": if the market experiences an irrational pullback, it may actually present a good opportunity to position high-quality assets at lower levels.

The "Stabilizing Needle" Through the Fog
In the face of this capital feast, maintaining strategic resolve is particularly important. Investors are advised to:
Position Management: Control risk exposure within a comfortable range and avoid "all-in" style gambling; Value Anchoring: Distinguish between noise and signals, closely monitor corporate fundamentals and long-term trends; Psychological Building: View fluctuations with a "bystander" mentality, avoiding being led by emotions.

Just as tides rise and fall, the market pendulum will inevitably return to rationality. When the fireworks fade, truly valuable assets will ultimately stand out. The current dormancy and waiting may just be to welcome a more magnificent wave of market trends.

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#美国初请失业金人数

Gold Chain Exclusive: Tonight's meeting results may become the catalyst for a bull market, stabilizing at $4300 will initiate the main upward wave

Tonight, the crypto market may welcome a critical market event!

First, let's review yesterday's performance: The US stock market opened low and continued to decline last night, dragging the crypto market to adjust in sync. However, a large amount of institutional capital has quietly entered the market recently, and the price floor is expected not to fall below $4100. From a two-hour technical perspective, if the price can stabilize above $4300, the current downtrend may essentially come to an end.

The important meeting results at ten o'clock tonight are expected to be reflected in the market around nine o'clock Beijing time, which we can use to judge whether it is bullish or bearish.

My personal opinion: The current market sentiment is highly bullish, and the meeting results are unlikely to reverse the rising trend of the crypto market. After all, the Trump team may also be looking forward to the crypto market bringing more political or economic benefits.

Bitcoin's recent performance has been relatively flat, but usually, its consolidation period is when altcoins become active. Ethereum, as the leading altcoin, has recently performed significantly better than Bitcoin, which is also why I have mainly analyzed Ethereum in the past month—its market strength and operational opportunities.

In terms of future positioning, Gold Chain intends to help everyone find those lucrative opportunities in altcoins, and a tenfold return is definitely not a problem. Like and comment, and Gold Chain will guide you in positioning for the entire bull market!

#美联储7月会议纪要

Deep Observation of the Cryptocurrency Circle: Capital Games and Future Expectations in Ethereum Fluctuations

Recently, the Ethereum market is undergoing a subtle capital narrative.

From a technical perspective, the 30-minute candlestick chart frequently shows long lower shadows and shrinking downward trends. This 'falling without breaking' trend often suggests that major funds are accumulating chips at low levels.

Combining the main fund monitoring data from the Mythical Sentinel system, the abnormal volume occurring between August 12 and 14 coincides with the public information regarding adjustments in holdings of BlackRock's ETF products—when the market focuses on the 'institutional selling' appearance, the real capital flow might be performing a 'brightly lit path while secretly using another route' act.

The cruelty of this capital game lies in the fact that retail investors are often caught up in short-term fluctuations.

As the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations gradually become clearer in September, the market, however, falls into panic selling ahead of time. This 'last drop before the expectation is fulfilled' is a classic washout technique.

It is worth noting that Trump's recent public statements about cryptocurrencies form a subtle echo with the hawkish stance of Federal Reserve officials. This 'combination punch' at the policy level seems to be building momentum for the subsequent market trends—just like the script played out in the early days of the pandemic in 2020, where the market initially fell before rising.

The resonance between technical and fundamental aspects is becoming evident: the deflationary effect brought by Ethereum network upgrades is continuously fermenting, institutional investors are gradually deepening their layout through ETF channels, and the liquidity to be released after the interest rate cut period may ignite a new round of narrative speculation.

At this current point, we might as well take a more macro perspective: at the intersection of traditional finance and the crypto world, every policy fluctuation and capital operation is writing a new wealth myth.

For long-term holders who firmly believe in blockchain value, the current fluctuations may just be the 'darkness before the dawn.' When the Federal Reserve finally presses the interest rate cut button, and when policymakers and market leaders complete their tacit cooperation, the day Ethereum breaks through the $5000 mark may come sooner than most people expect. This capital game has never ceased, and the true winners are always those who can see through the narrative fog.

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XNY operation review: Accurately capturing hourly pullbacks, the strategy of building positions in batches proves effective. After the initial position is taken,

the market dips to 0.009107 as expected to add positions, optimizing costs. Subsequently, the market quickly rebounds,

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How does Federal Reserve policy manipulate cryptocurrency? Decoding the secret connection between Bitcoin and global liquidity

The cryptocurrency market in the interest rate cut storm: a game of liquidity and expectations

Federal Reserve policy is the "invisible hand" of the cryptocurrency market.

From May to September, Bitcoin has fluctuated and plummeted multiple times due to interest rate cut expectations. Powell's ambiguous statements of "dovish with a hint of hawkish" have caused the market to oscillate repeatedly amid rate cut expectations—when expectations heat up, funds pour in; when expectations weaken, panic selling occurs. This 24-hour global capital game is essentially a struggle for liquidity.

As the "value anchor" of the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin's price is deeply linked to global liquidity.

When the M2 of the four major economies—US, Europe, China, and Japan—expands, Bitcoin often rises in sync. The $3 trillion liquidity injection in 2020 directly propelled it to break through $60,000, and if the Federal Reserve cumulatively cuts interest rates by 150-200 basis points in 2024-2025, it may release $6-8 trillion in liquidity, a portion of which will inevitably flow into the cryptocurrency market.

Based on the liquidity transmission model, it has become highly probable for Bitcoin to break through its previous high of $124,000, but it requires time to ferment: monetary policy transmission takes 6-12 months, and the effects of interest rate cuts in 2024 will manifest in 2025; the allocation ratio of traditional giants like pension funds moving from 1% to 5% requires a process; technically, Bitcoin's weekly chart has formed an ascending triangle, and after breaking the $60,000 neckline, the target will come within reach.

On a deeper level, the cryptocurrency market is undergoing a paradigm shift. In a downcycle of traditional asset yields, Bitcoin is evolving from a "speculative asset" to a "safe-haven asset"—when fiat currency can be supplied infinitely, scarce digital assets naturally become a new choice for value storage. Behind this transformation is the redefinition of the essence of money by digital natives, as well as a microcosm of the reconstruction of the global monetary system.

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Leverage Funds Life and Death Game: AIOT Negative Rate Longs Pay Sky-High Interest Daily

The AIOT market is currently experiencing severe volatility, with the funding rate dropping to -0.845%. Bearish sentiment continues to spread, which may trigger a chain reaction of liquidation.

The exchange's recharge volume has increased by 300% week-on-week, indicating that some funds are attempting to bottom out or increase short positions, but the behavior of large whales transferring out 8.5 million tokens in 24 hours suggests that institutions or large holders are withdrawing.
The current market presents three major contradictions:

1. Under negative rates, longs are forced to pay high interest, which may accelerate leveraged liquidation.

2. The surge in recharge and the exit of whales coexist, leading to a divergence in fund flow.

3. A bearish technical outlook is hedged by some bottom-fishing funds. If the price breaks below key support levels, it may trigger a "flooding effect," where domino-style liquidations cause a short-term price collapse.

Leverage risk, avoid going against the trend. Closely monitor the fund flow of exchanges, unusual movements of whale addresses, and rate changes. If all three resonate downward, decisive reduction of positions is necessary. Market bottoms are usually accompanied by the release of panic sentiment, but currently, there are no clear signals indicating a stop in the decline.

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