Dear crypto friends, I am Chan Lian.
Without further ado, let's get straight to the point. Facing tonight's macro storm and technical turning point, knowing the direction is not enough; we must have specific strategies and plans. Below are two battle plans I've organized for you, please take note!
Core Idea:
Use the two key points of 185 and 179 as the dividing line for long and short positions, with Powell's speech (22:00) as the market trigger point. Strictly control positions, and absolutely prohibit heavy betting on direction.
Scenario 1: Bullish breakout, go long in the direction.
Trigger Conditions: Dovish speech from Powell, market sentiment warms up, SOL price increases in volume (Note! It must be sustained volume) and stabilizes above 185 USDT.
Operation Strategy:
First Breakout Follow Long: You can enter long with a light position (10-20%) after breaking above 185 and confirming it does not break during the pullback, with stop loss set at 183 (below the breakout level).
Secondary Breakout Add Position: If the price strongly pushes towards 190 and stabilizes, it can be seen as a second confirmation signal. You may add a 10% position after a pullback to around 188, with stop loss pushed to 186.
Target Levels: First target 190, second target 195, ultimate target 200-205.
Risk Warning: Beware of 'false breakthroughs', trading volume is key! If the price quickly falls back below 185 after a breakout, immediately stop loss and wait.
Scenario 2: Bearish breakdown, go short in the direction.
Trigger Conditions: Hawkish speech from Powell, market panic, SOL price effectively breaks below the support level of 179 USDT.
Operation Strategy:
Breakout Short: When the price falls below 179 and rebounds weakly, enter short with a light position (10-20%), with stop loss set at 181 (above the support turning pressure level).
Rebound Add Position: If the price rebounds after breaking below and fails to rise above the 179-180 resistance zone, it is the second entry point for short positions, with stop loss set uniformly at 182.
Target Levels: First target 175, second target 170.
Risk Warning: Pay attention to the rebound strength after breaking 179. If it quickly recovers, be cautious with short positions.
Third possibility: sideways consolidation
Scene: Powell's speech is ambiguous, the market chooses to hold still, and the price continues to fluctuate between 179-185.
Operation Strategy: Wait! Or only take light long positions at the lower boundary and light short positions at the upper boundary, making short-term swings, in and out quickly. Preserving ammunition is key before the direction is clear.
Chan Lian's personal views and foreshadowing:
I tend to believe that the market won't change overnight; even if it breaks 185, there might be a sharp washout near 190. The low point of that washout will be the best entry opportunity after the trend is established. I will promptly indicate the position of this 'golden pit' in the community.
Remember, successful trading is 80% waiting + 20% action. Tonight, let our bullets fly with greater value!
So can 190 really be surpassed in one go? Where will the trap of a false breakout be set? Keep a close watch on me, and I will issue alerts at the first signs of any unusual movements.
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If you don't know what an effective breakout is, you can come find me, I'll guide you step by step. Are you stuck? Don't know when to enter? As I always say, if you feel lost and helpless, just comment on my profile. I need fans, and you need references.