ETH has dropped back to 4k1, so is it time to long? The answer is no. ETH is still in a correction phase and has not shown signs of reversal. Why? Let's analyze the chart.

*After ETH reached its peak at the 4,700 – 4,800 range, the price shifted from rising to falling.

Many BOS appeared in the downward direction → confirming the short-term downtrend.

The price continuously creates lower highs and lower lows.

Recently formed a Weak Low ~4,100 → indicating that this bottom is not really solid.

The downward momentum still prevails, and any upward retracements are rejected at the supply zone above (~4,300 – 4,400).

Long red candles interspersed with small green ones → characteristic of a downtrend.

Strong resistance zone: 4,400 – 4,500. When the price falls, the selling volume is usually greater than the buying volume.

These small retracements, with weak volume → buyers are not strong enough, just a pause in the downtrend.

+Meaning & Scenario

Short-term: ETH is still in a downtrend, the circling candles indicate no reversal signal yet.

If it breaks 4,100: the price could quickly slide to the 3,950 – 3,900 range (Fib 0.618).

If it holds above 4,100 and bounces back strongly: it needs to break 4,250 – 4,300 with large volume to be considered a recovery signal.

+When the price starts to fall from the 4,400 – 4,500 range, selling volume increases significantly → indicating that the sellers are actively unloading.

In short-term retracements, low green volume → confirms that the buying strength is only technical (pullback), there is no real money flowing in.

There are several large red candles accompanying the break of the low (BOS down) → this is a sign of organized sell-off.

CONCLUSION

Currently, ETH has not reversed upward, still in a short-term downtrend.

If it holds 4,100 → it may have a technical bounce.

If it breaks 4,100 → there is a high possibility of dropping to 3,900. #ETH ,#Altcoin ,#BTC