1. Current Update 💥
BTC/USDT price: 114,900–115,200 USDT, slightly down from the peak of 124,474 USDT
MA(9) & MA(25) have crossed below the price, MA(49) still maintains an upward trend 🚀
RSI(12) ~38 (near the oversold area), MACD histogram deep in the negative 🔻
High trading volume, liquidity remains stable 💧
2. Trend Analysis 🔍
Hourly (0–72 hours) ⏱
Price fluctuates between 114,600–116,000 USDT
Short-term selling pressure remains, H1 RSI < 35 triggers buying force to catch the bottom 🤿
Daily (1–3 days) 📅
Accumulating between 112,000–120,000 USDT
MA(49) (~117.250 USDT) is the main resistance level 🚧
Staying above 112K opens the path to 120–124K; breaking 112K tests 108–110K 🎯
Weekly (in the week) 🗓
Long-term trend remains upward, just need to hold the 98,000–100,000 USDT range 🛡
Breaking 110K pushes the price up to 125–130K USDT 🌄
3. Key News to Watch 📢
20/08/2025 – Russia–Ukraine Negotiation (Brussels): A variable that determines risk sentiment.
Success will soothe the market, supporting BTC to rise sharply 🎉
Failure pulls negative sentiment, easily pushing prices to test the bottom 👀
4. Trading Plan 🧭
⏱ Hourly
Buy 114,600–114,800 USDT when H1 RSI < 35
Take profit: 116,000 USDT
Stop loss: 114,300 USDT
📅 Daily
Buy 112,000–113,000 USDT around MA(49)
Take profit: 120,000–124,000 USDT
Stop loss: 111,000 USDT
🗓 Weekly
Buy an additional 100,000–105,000 USDT during weekly support retest
Take profit: 150,000–200,000 USDT
Stop loss: 98,000 USDT
5. Conclusion 🎯
The Russia–Ukraine negotiation on 20/08/2025 is a key variable.
Success: BTC breaks up to 125K–130K 🚀
Failure: BTC easily falls back to 112K–108K 📉
Which scenario will you choose above, or do you have another plan? Please comment!
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🤔 The above is my personal opinion, folks. Correct it if I'm wrong => Take advantage of the opportunity and manage risks to optimize profits! 💸