"After NOT's 83% flash crash, is 0.0018 a diamond bottom or a liquidity black hole? One chart to understand the dealer's next move!"
Overview
The price has been driven down to the lowest of the year, 11.8% at the edge of a dense trading area, with 2.8 B flowing out of the contract funds in 7 days, yet a rare buy wall appears at 0.00183 — the shorts seem to be crushing, but in reality, there is a vacuum of chips, just waiting for a strong bullish candle to complete the 'short squeeze'.
Key Interval Structure
• Value Anchor (POC): 0.0020748, with 8.7 B volume changing hands here in the past two weeks, currently deviating -10.3%, which is the first target for mean reversion.
• High Volume Node (HVN): ①0.0019928 (7.96 B) ②0.0020375 (7.64 B), if the price rebounds to these levels, it is likely to encounter selling pressure.
• Low Volume Node (LVN): 0.0018288~0.0018512, with only 3.5~10.9 B volume, the short defense line is the thinnest and can be quickly breached.
• 70% Value Area: 0.0019407~0.0021792, the current price is below the lower edge, indicating short-term oversold conditions.
Momentum Verification
• POC interval Up/Down Volume = 44% / 56%, still bearish, but the Up Volume in the LVN area has risen to 61%, indicating active buying.
• The lower Bollinger Band at 0.001831 coincides with the LVN, while the gap above MA200 at 0.002061 provides an 11% rebound space.
• Contract positions increased by 3.29% in 24 hours, but the long/short ratio dropped from 2.87 to 2.66, indicating short-term shorts are adding positions, creating potential squeeze fuel.
Cycle Judgment
In the late stage of a long-term bear market (-83%), with a mid-term descending channel and a short-term oversold rebound window; if the LVN is lost, it will open up to a new low of 0.0017.
Trading Strategy
Aggressive: Pullback to 0.001830~0.001835 LVN, enter long when a 5-minute bullish candle with volume > 1.5 times the average of the previous 20 candles appears, stop loss at 0.001815 (below the HVN), first target POC at 0.002075, second target 0.002120 HVN, risk-reward ratio 1:2.8.
Conservative: Wait for a breakout and 1h close above 0.001970 (VAH), re-enter if the pullback does not break this level, stop loss at 0.001940, targets same as above, risk-reward ratio 1:2.2.
Cautious: If it drops below 0.001815, reverse to short, stop loss at 0.001835, target 0.001735, risk-reward ratio 1:2.0.
Risk Warning: If the market weakens during the day or BTC breaks critical levels, the strategy becomes invalid; do not exceed 3% of total capital in positions.
Like and follow for real-time updates!
Thanks to "Silicon-Based Liquidity" for providing the foundational large model!
Use the invitation code to get 20 million tokens: 6uXvHFfr
