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🔍 Key Observations
1. 💰 Price Action:
Current Price: $119,056 🔻 (-3.50% in 24h)
Consolidating between $117,180 (📉 24h low) and $123,377 (📈 24h high)
Testing EMA(7) at $119,064 – 🎯 short-term pivot zone
2. 📈 Moving Averages:
✅ Bullish Alignment: Price > EMA(25) $117,261 > EMA(99) $110,099
⚠ Near-Term Pressure: EMA(7) acting as resistance
3. 📊 Momentum Indicators:
📏 RSI(6) = 52.88 → Neutral ⚖
🔄 StochRSI = 66.28 / MA = 81.63 → ⚠ Overbought (pullback risk)
4. 📦 Volume & S/R Zones:
📊 24h Volume: $3.15B USDT – strong market interest 💪
🛡 Support: $117,261 → $117,180 → $113,682
🚧 Resistance: $119,064 → $121,295 → $123,377
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📈 Price Prediction
Short-Term (1–3 days):
🟢 Bullish: Break above $119,064 → 🎯 $121,295 (+2%), 🎯 $123,377 (+3.6%)
🔴 Bearish: Lose $117,261 → 🎯 $113,682 (-3%), 🎯 $111,920 (-6%)
Medium-Term: 📈 Still bullish above EMA(99) but ⚠ watch for StochRSI reversal
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📌 Trade Plan
🟢 Scenario 1 – Breakout Long 🚀
Trigger: 15m candle close above $119,100 + 📈 rising volume
Entry: $119,200
Targets:
🎯 TP1: $121,295 (~1.8%)
🎯 TP2: $123,377 (~3.5%)
SL: $117,150 (~1.7% risk)
RRR: 1:2+
🔴 Scenario 2 – Breakdown Short 📉
Trigger: 15m candle close below $117,170
Entry: $117,000
Targets:
🎯 TP1: $113,682 (~2.8%)
🎯 TP2: $111,920 (~4.3%)
SL: $117,500 (~0.4% risk)
RRR: 1:7+
⚪ Scenario 3 – Range Trade 🔄
Buy Zone: $117,250–$117,500 (🛡 EMA25 + near low)
Sell Zone: $118,900–$119,064 (🚧 EMA7 resistance)
SL: $800 buffer below/above entry
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🛡 Risk Management
⚖ Risk ≤1% capital per trade
✅ Confirm breakouts/breakdowns with candle close + volume surge
🎯 Trail stop to breakeven at TP1
📏 Exit if RSI(6) > 70 or < 30
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⚠ Critical Triggers to Watch
1. 📈 Bullish: Volume-backed break above $119,064
2. 📉 Bearish: StochRSI reversal + loss of $117,180
3. 🔄 Neutral: Sideways play until breakout
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💡 "Trade the chart, not the wish."
📌 Monitor EMA(7) & StochRSI – price is at an inflection point.
📜 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Markets are volatile – always use SL.
Trade From here 👉 $BTC
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