【After G plummeted 8.6%, is there a golden opportunity around 0.012? Low buy strategy exposed】

Overview: G experienced a double hit with a 9.66% reduction in contracts and a net outflow of 12.94M in spot trading within 24 hours, with the price dropping to the lower edge of the 2-week VPVR value area. It is short-term oversold, but buy orders are accumulating, and a "deep squat jump" may happen anytime.

Key Range Structure

1. Value Anchoring Area: POC = 0.011934, with a transaction volume of 297 million coins; the Down Volume above accounts for 66%, still a short-term heavy pressure.

2. High Transaction Volume Area: 0.011852-0.012037 (HVN three consecutive), with a total transaction volume of 722 million coins, serving as the first buffer during price corrections.

3. Low Transaction Volume Gap: Lower LVN 0.011358-0.011523, Upper LVN 0.013293-0.013499, both are "hollow" areas, and the speed of breakthrough/retest will increase.

4. 70% Transaction Volume Coverage Area: 0.011811-0.013170, current price 0.01208 is at 38% of the range, slightly oversold.

Momentum Verification

• Up Volume near POC is only 32%, with sellers still dominating; however, recent 15-minute net inflow of contracts + spot totaled 945,000 coins, indicating short-term buying attempts.

• The lower Bollinger Band at 0.01161 is only 3.8% away from the current price, with MA200 divergence at -3.5%, RSI at 36, and all three indicators are simultaneously oversold, with a rebound probability >60%.

Order Book Anomaly

• 0.5% depth buy orders of 2.69M vs sell orders of 1.30M, with buying leading; however, there are over 120 million sell orders at the far end 0.03-0.06, limiting rebound space.

Market Cycle

In the "oscillation bottom-seeking" phase after the main decline of a bear market, short-term watch for range rebounds, and still leaning bearish in the medium term.

Trading Strategy

① Aggressive: Go long when a long lower shadow appears in the LVN 0.01136-0.01146 range + 15min Up Volume >60%, stop-loss at 0.01129, target POC 0.01193, risk-reward ratio ≈2.8.

② Conservative: Wait for the price to return to HVN 0.01185-0.01190 and 15min bullish volume, enter at 0.01188, stop-loss at 0.01175, first target 0.01247 (previous HVN), second target 0.01284 (Bollinger upper band), risk-reward ratio ≈2.4.

Risk Warning: If the 1h closing price falls below 0.01161, the strategy is invalid; if macro sentiment worsens or there is a large unlocking event, stop-loss in advance.

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