“OP flash crash 11% after surprising bottom signal? 0.75 value anchor + low volatility gap, short-term long and short game about to erupt!”

【Quick Overview】

24h contract net outflow 29M, price plummeted 11%, but brought OP down to around 0.75, the “value magnet” — POC and Bollinger Bands lower band double resonance, short-term bearish momentum fading, mean reversion window quietly opening.

【Key Ranges and Volume Distribution】

1. Value anchoring zone (POC): 0.8127 (2.17 billion volume), past two weeks 70% cost zone 0.7368-0.8506, current price 0.759 has fallen to the lower edge of this zone, slightly oversold.

2. High volume buffer (HVN): 0.7575, 0.7609, 0.7644 — forming a strong support zone of 0.757-0.764, previously multiple times stopped falling.

3. Low volume gap (LVN): above 0.8678-0.8851 bearish gap, if it rebounds to this point, it will easily accelerate; below 0.6126-0.6402 also a vacuum zone, once broken, it will quickly slide to 0.58.

4. Momentum verification: Up Vol around POC accounts for 59%, though slightly below the 60% threshold, it has increased by 12% from yesterday, buying pressure begins to test; Up Vol at HVN 0.7575 is 57.7%, support is effective.

【Auxiliary Judgment】

• Bollinger Bands: Price close to lower band 0.7237, RSI 30.9, short-term oversold.

• MA200: 0.7689, price deviation -1.29%, need for deviation repair.

• Contract Position: 24h down 4.28%, funding rate -0.0059%, short covering not yet over.

【Market Cycle】

Mid-term oscillation down to the end, short-term entering “oversold-repair” phase, no clear bull or bear, range 0.73-0.85.

【Trading Strategy】

Aggressive: Buy at market price 0.759±0.002, stop loss 0.748 (outside HVN 0.7575 -0.5×ATR), target 0.785 (upper HVN), risk-reward ratio ≈2.0.

Conservative: Wait for a pullback to LVN 0.748-0.750 to see a PinBar and Up Vol >60% before re-entering, stop loss 0.744, target 0.774, risk-reward ratio ≈2.6.

Cautious: If volume breaks below 0.744, reverse and short, stop loss 0.750, target 0.723, risk-reward ratio ≈2.2.

Risk Warning: If daily close falls below 0.723, range structure fails, bulls exit immediately.

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$OP