📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/08/14 Evening Analysis)
Evening Highlights: BTC short-term weakening, mainly bearish operations. First look for resistance on the rebound, then check whether the 118,800 level holds. To know precise entry and exit points along with profit-taking and stop-loss strategies, see the complete strategy below.
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#BTC 12H
Trend: Consolidation, Long/Short
Price is between EMA9 (119,851) and EMA21 (118,550), RSI about 53 leaning bullish but KD shows a death cross, MACD bars are still positive, ADX about 18 not reaching trend threshold. No clear right-side signals on 12H, patiently waiting for a breakout from the range.
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#BTC #BTC Momentum: Small Bearish
K-line closes below EMA9 (120,980) and EMA21 (120,335) but above EMA200 (116,273). RSI about 45 crosses below 50, KD death cross, belongs to the right-side bearish pullback.
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 121,600 (invalid if it returns above R1)
🟢 Add Short: 120,300 (near EMA21, not triggered yet), 121,300 (near R1, not triggered yet)
🚨 Break to Chase Short: 118,800 (key intraday neckline, not triggered yet)
🎯 Take Profit: 117,200, 116,300 (EMA200), 114,800
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#BTC 1H
Trend #BTC
Price breaks below EMA9 (121,198) and EMA21 (121,583), still above EMA200 (118,804), RSI about 26 shows weakening momentum. Meets right-side bearish conditions, short-term rebounds viewed as bearish.
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 121,700 (recovers above EMA21 and R1)
🟢 Add Short: 120,800 (near EMA9, not triggered yet), 121,300 (near R1, not triggered yet)
🚨 Break to Chase Short: 118,800 (breaks EMA200 confirms weakening, not triggered yet)
🎯 Take Profit: 117,800, 116,800, 114,800 (S1)
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【#BTC Strategy Summary】
Operation builds on #BTC 12H range oscillation, no right-side signals, waiting to break EMA9 or attack 123,746 before proceeding.
- 4H and 1H have synchronized weakening, meeting right-side bearish conditions. The strategy is to accumulate short positions in batches at the rebound to 120,300~121,300, strictly maintaining stop loss above 121,600.
- Breaking below 118,800 can enter short, targeting first at 117,200 and 116,300, continuing to look at 114,800.
- Risk Management: Single trade risk not exceeding 1%~2% of total capital, exit in batches to lock in profits.
- Options Opportunity: Short-term bearish cost-performance is good, consider 118k/115k bear spreads to control risk.