📍#solana Technical Analysis (Evening Analysis on 2025/08/14)
Tonight's Main Theme: SOL pulls back from a high position, short-term turns bearish, while the medium-term remains biased towards bullish. If you want to follow the trend, wait for 192 to be breached to short; to buy back, hold the 191~188 area for gradual accumulation, with 206 as the dividing line between bullish and bearish above. Details below.
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#SOL 12H
Trend: Strong Bullish
Price is above EMA9 (around 191.8) and EMA21 (around 184.3), far from EMA200 (around 166.1). RSI > 60, MACD is positive, ADX > 20 and +DI > -DI, the right side is still bullish, but KD death cross indicates waning momentum.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 191.0 (falls back below 12H EMA9)
🟢 Add Long: 194.0 (tests R1 turning support, not yet triggered), 188.5 (close to EMA21, not yet triggered)
🚀 Breakthrough to Add Long: 206.0 (breaks recent high and stabilizes)
🎯 Take Profit: 202.0, 207.7 (R2), 217.2 (R3)
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#SOL 4H
Trend: Medium Bullish
Price has retraced below EMA9 (around 199.9) but remains above EMA21 (around 193.4) and EMA200 (around 175.4). RSI > 50, MACD is positive, indicating a healthy pullback within the bullish trend.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 191.5 (effectively breaks R1 and EMA21 turning weak)
🟢 Add Long: 195.0 (close to the lower edge of the moving average, not yet triggered), 193.5 (EMA21, not yet triggered)
🚀 Breakthrough to Add Long: 200.0 (recovers above EMA9)
🎯 Take Profit: 203.0, 207.0, 213.0
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#SOL 1H
Trend: Medium Bearish
Candles break below EMA9/EMA21 (around 202.8), still above EMA200 (around 168). RSI < 40, KD death cross, MACD histogram turns negative, DMI shows ADX > 20 and -DI > +DI, the right side is bearish.
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 203.5 (recovers below short moving average and near R2)
🟢 Add Short: 199.0 (close to EMA9 retracement, not yet triggered), 201.0 (near R2, not yet triggered)
🚨 Breakdown to Short: 192.2 (breaks below R1 neckline)
🎯 Take Profit: 195.0, 192.2, 188.0
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【#SOL Strategy Summary】
Operation Suggestions:
- Cycle Differentiation: 12H and 4H maintain bullish, while 1H turns bearish. A dual strategy of short-term bearish and medium-term bullish operates in parallel.
- Bullish Side: Accumulate gradually in the 194~188 area, strictly hold 191; break through 206 to add long, targets at 207.7 and 217.2.
- Bearish Side: 1H rebound in the 199~201 area to set up short positions, strictly hold 203.5; if 192.2 is breached, short can be pursued, initially targeting 195/192, then 188.
- Risk Control: Single trade risk at 1%~2%, take profit in batches to lock in gains.
- Options: For short-term bearish outlook, use 200/190 bear spread; if breaking above 206, switch to 205/215 bull spread.
