📍#ETH Technical Analysis (Evening Analysis on 2025/08/14)
Tonight's focus: The medium to long-term trend remains in a bullish upward trajectory, but the short-term shows signs of weakness and a pullback. The intraday strategy is mainly a "two-phase" operation of being bearish on highs and bullish on pullbacks, with key levels at 4,660 resistance and 4,560/4,500 support. Details are as follows.
---
#ETH 12H
Trend: Strong Bullish
The candlestick is above EMA9 (approximately 4,497) and EMA21 (approximately 4,235), far from EMA200 (approximately 3,062). RSI is around 71, MACD is positively expanding, ADX > 20 and +DI > -DI, indicating that the right-side bullish trend is still valid, but facing profit-taking pressure above R1 (4,653).
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 4,480 (invalid if it falls back below 12H EMA9)
🟢 Add Long: 4,540 (close to 4H EMA21, not yet triggered), 4,500 (retesting 12H EMA9, not yet triggered)
🚀 Breakout Long: 4,660 (staying above R1)
🎯 Take Profit: 4,720, 4,800, 4,866 (R2), 5,040 (R3)
---
Price has pulled back below EMA9 (approximately 4,684) but remains above EMA21 (approximately 4,536), indicating a healthy pullback. RSI > 50, MACD is positive, ADX > 20 and +DI > -DI, indicating that the right-side bullish trend is still in play.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 4,490 (valid break below EMA21 indicates weakness)
🟢 Add Long: 4,560 (close to EMA21, not yet triggered), 4,536 (precisely testing the moving average, not yet triggered)
🚀 Breakout Long: 4,690 (recovering EMA9 and R2 area)
🎯 Take Profit: 4,720, 4,800, 4,866
---
#ETH 1H
Trend #ETH
The candlestick has broken below EMA9 and EMA21 but remains above EMA200 (approximately 4,248). RSI is around 35, crossing below 50, KD has a death cross, MACD bars are turning negative, and DMI shows ADX > 20 and -DI > +DI, indicating that the right-side bearish trend is established.
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 4,660 (recovering above R1 and short-term moving averages)
🟢 Add Short: 4,620 (retesting EMA9, not yet triggered), 4,650 (close to R1, not yet triggered)
🚨 Breakout Short: 4,560 (breaking below short-term neckline)
🎯 Take Profit: 4,520, 4,480, 4,376 (S1)
---
【#ETH Strategy Summary】
Operational strategy #ETH : Periodic differentiation: 12H and 4H maintain bullish, while 1H short-term turns bearish. Intraday positioning for short positions on rebounds, and for long positions on pullbacks.
- Bullish: Accumulate positions in batches in the 4,560~4,500 range, with a stop at 4,480; breaking above 4,660 can chase long positions, targeting 4,800 and 4,866.
- Bearish: 1H rebounds in the 4,620~4,650 range lean towards bearish trials, strictly maintaining at 4,660; breaking below 4,560 can chase shorts, targeting 4,520/4,480/4,376.
- Risk Control: Individual risk of 1%~2%, exit in batches to lock in profits.
- Options Opportunity: Short-term bearish can use 4,600/4,450 bear spreads; if breaking above 4,660, switch to 4,700/4,900 bull spreads to chase the trend.
