Core contradiction: Technical death cross vs news nuclear bomb

  1. Current technical situation

    • Uptrend but death cross is emerging: BNB surged along the upper Bollinger band (857 USD), but the MACD death cross indicates a weakening bullish momentum. If it falls below the 5-day line (around 850), it may trigger technical sell-off.

    • Key watershed: 880 USD is strong resistance at the previous high, while 830 USD is the life support of the 30-day moving average.

  2. Data explosion point tomorrow night at 20:30

    • Bullish scenario (actual value > 228,000):
      Probability of breaking 880 > 70%Unemployment rises = Fed rate cut expectations heat up → USD weakens → Crypto market surges. BNB will strive for a breakthrough, targeting 900~920 USD.
      Retail strategy: Current price 857, light long position ambush, increase position upon breaking 865, stop loss at 848!

    • Bearish scenario (actual value ≤ 226,000):
      Plunge to 830 or even 800!Strong employment = rate hike expectations revived → Risk assets collapse. BNB's death cross will amplify selling pressure, and if it breaks 830, it may panic sell down to 800.
      Retail strategy: Reduce positions to 50% before the data, if it falls below 845, go short with a target of 820!

Explosion point analysis: How news influences the battle

  • Historical case: July PPI data exceeded expectations (previous value 0.00% → announced 0.20%). On that day, BTC plunged 5%, and BNB fell 7%! If this initial jobless data moves, volatility will be even more severe.

  • On-chain alert: BNB futures open interest surged by 30%! Long and short leveraged funds are betting tonight, a liquidation storm is imminent.

Retail survival manual

  1. Radicals:

    • Five minutes before data release, two-way orders:

      • Place long order: chase long on breaking 860 (take profit 880, stop loss 852)

      • Place short order: chase short on breaking 845 (take profit 820, stop loss 855)

  2. Conservatives:

    • Clear leveraged positions before data! Spot holders place limit buy at 830.

  3. Ultimate warning:

    • If the data meets expectations (226,000~228,000), BNB may consolidate sideways! Do not chase highs or lows, patiently wait for directional breakout.

"The Wall Street wolves have ambushed BNB options! After the data at 22:30, retail will either become rich or lose everything!"

Is the market battle too brutal? Say goodbye to solo fighting! Mig's top think tank only takes on mad ambition trades!

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