《Data is just a supporting role, the market is the script》
Many friends who have just entered the market tend to stay up late staring at data and refreshing news. I was like this at first, and the more I stared, the more I lost.
It wasn't until I started to study and build my own trading system that I realized the market itself could provide answers in advance.
Take yesterday as an example. The CPI announcement was indeed positive, but what truly drove the price was not the news, but the market structure that had been brewing for a long time.
Data like non-farm payrolls and CPI can be adjusted or even "modified," but every K-line on the chart is created with real capital from major players, and cannot be deceived.
How do we see it from the market?
1️⃣ First, draw the fluctuation range
2️⃣ Confirm that the larger background is an upward trend
3️⃣ Volume decreases during pullbacks → Bulls are stable
4️⃣ Bulls gradually increase volume within the range → Bulls are strong
5️⃣ Price is above 50% of the range → Bulls are dominant
6️⃣ A solid bullish candlestick breaks the range → Confirmation of the start
It's like watching the weather: ants moving, clouds lowering, wind direction changing; even before it rains, you have a sense of what’s coming.
The market is the same; the trend is there, so don’t go against it with preconceived notions.
If you always think your judgment is correct but you can't make money, it's likely that your method is wrong—investment is not about random guesses, but about following the trend, understanding the market, and seizing opportunities with certainty.
