📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/08/12) Morning Analysis
Short-term bearish, medium-term bullish! 1H bearish signals are all present, but 4H and daily charts still hold above the moving averages. The key to the tug-of-war between bulls and bears is whether it can recover the 1H moving average and break through today's/this week's R1. Want to know precise entry and exit points and stop loss? Scroll down👇
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#BTC 【1D】
Trend: Slight bullish. Price is above EMA9/21, RSI>50, MACD maintains positive values, but KD has a death cross and ADX<20, indicating a weak continuation of the bulls.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: Falls below daily EMA21 116,862 and fails to regain
🟢 Add Long: Backtest EMA9 117,423 not triggered; Backtest EMA21 116,862 not triggered
🚀 Breakout Add Long: Effectively breaks through daily R1 around 121,200 and holds
🎯 Take Profit: 121,200 in batches; near 127,300 (R2); if volume continues, look at 130,000 area
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Trend: Medium bullish. Price holds above EMA21 (118,563) and near pivot P, RSI>50, KD golden cross, MACD histogram turns positive, ADX≈34 and +DI>−DI, momentum is slightly bullish.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: Falls below EMA21 118,563 and fails to regain
🟢 Add Long: Backtest 118,900~118,600 (P/EMA21 area) not triggered
🚀 Breakout Add Long: 4H holds above R1 around 121,200
🎯 Take Profit: 121,200; 123,700 (R2); 126,000 area
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#BTC 【1H】#BTC Medium bearish. Price is below EMA9/21/200, RSI<50, KD death cross, MACD histogram is negative and ADX>20 and −DI>+DI, short-term slightly bearish.
🔻 Short Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: Crosses above EMA21 around 119,442 or crosses above EMA200 around 119,568
🟢 Add Short: Rebound to EMA9 119,093 not triggered; Rebound to EMA21 119,442 not triggered
🚨 Breakout Add Short: Breaks below 118,500 (1H P lower edge/previous low area) with volume
🎯 Take Profit: 118,000; 114,858 (S1); extend to 112,000 area
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【#BTC Strategy Summary】
Operation #BTC - Short-term: Operate bearish on 1H pullbacks; 119,100~119,450 is the short side add position area, break above 119,600 to retreat.
- Medium-term: 4H/daily still bullish, look at R1→R2 above 118,600; if it loses 118,600, change to wait and see or reduce leverage.
- Long-term: Daily slight bullish continuation, holding EMA21 (116,862) is slightly bullish; if it loses, shift to consolidation or backtest 115k~114k.
- Increasing volatility due to divergence between bulls and bears: If this week's IV is low, consider buying this week's ATM straddle waiting for a breakout; if IV is high, focus on spot/contracts in the direction of the trend.
