📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/08/12) Morning Take

Short-term bearish, mid-term bullish! 1H shows clean short signals, while 4H and Daily still hold above MAs. The tug-of-war hinges on reclaiming the 1H MAs and a breakout over R1. Full plan below👇

---

#BTC 【1D】

Trend: Mild Bullish. Price above EMA9/21 with RSI>50 and MACD>0; however KD has a bearish cross and ADX<20, so trend is bullish but weak.

🔹 Long Setup:

🛑 Stop: Lose and fail to reclaim Daily EMA21 116,862

🟢 Add: Pullback to EMA9 117,423 not triggered; to EMA21 116,862 not triggered

🚀 Breakout Long: Hold above Daily R1 ~121,200

🎯 Take Profit: 121,200; 127,300(R2); stretch to 130,000 if volume expands

---

#BTC #BTC

Trend: Moderate Bullish. Holding EMA21 (118,563) and pivot area; RSI>50, KD golden cross, MACD>0; ADX≈34 with +DI>−DI confirms right-side bullish momentum.

🔹 Long Setup:

🛑 Stop: Close below EMA21 118,563

🟢 Add: Reload at 118,900~118,600 (pivot/EMA21 zone) not triggered

🚀 Breakout Long: Clear 4H R1 ~121,200

🎯 Take Profit: 121,200; 123,700(R2); 126,000 zone

---

#BTC 【1H】#BTC nd: Moderate Bearish. Price below EMA9/21/200; RSI<50; KD bearish; MACD negative with ADX>20 and −DI>+DI.

🔻 Short Setup:

🛑 Stop: Above EMA21 ~119,442 or above EMA200 ~119,568

🟢 Add: Bounce to EMA9 119,093 not triggered; to EMA21 119,442 not triggered

🚨 Breakdown Short: Flush below 118,500 (pivot/previous low area) with volume

🎯 Take Profit: 118,000; 114,858(S1); extension toward 112,000 zone

---

【#BTC Strategy #BTC ry】

- Short-term: Trade bounces short per 1H; preferred add zone 119,100–119,450; exit if price reclaims 119,600.

- Medium-term: Bias long while above 118,600 on 4H/D; targets R1→R2; if 118,600 fails, reduce risk or step aside.

- Long-term: Daily mild uptrend intact while holding EMA21 (116,862); a breakdown would shift to range or deeper pullback.

- Options idea: With timeframe divergence, if near-term IV is low, consider buying a weekly ATM straddle for a potential range break; if IV is high, stick to spot/futures trend-following.