📍#ETH Technical Analysis (2025/08/12) Morning Analysis
Ether bulls continue to attack! Daily and 4H momentum are fully on the right side, and after a pullback on the 1H, it still holds above the moving average band, just one step away from the upward move. Today's strategy is slightly bullish, focus on confirming the breakthrough of R1, details as follows 👇
---
#ETH 【1D】
Trend: Moderate Bullish. Price is stable above EMA9/21 (approximately 4049/3817), RSI around 73, MACD is positive, ADX > 20 and +DI > -DI, momentum is complete but needs to guard against fluctuations near R1.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: Falls below EMA21 3817 and closes below
🟢 Add Long: Retracement to EMA9 4049 not triggered; Retracement to 4050~4070 (daily short moving average zone) not triggered
🚀 Breakout to Add Long: Daily close above R1 4301 and stands firm
🎯 Take Profit: 4301; 4680~4800 zone; extend to see 4906
---
Trend: Strong Bullish. Holding above EMA21 ≈ 4175 and this week's P ≈ 4171, RSI > 60, KD golden cross, MACD bar turns positive; DMI shows ADX > 20 and +DI > -DI, confirming bullish on the right side.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: 4H falls below EMA21 4175 and closes below
🟢 Add Long: 4251 (EMA9) not triggered; 4220~4175 (EMA21/P band) not triggered
🚀 Breakout to Add Long: 4H stands above R1 4559
🎯 Take Profit: 4559; 4806; 5040 region
---
#ETH 【1H】#ETH Slightly Bullish. Price is above EMA9/21 (approximately 4267/4264), RSI > 50, MACD slightly positive, but DMI trend strength is not strong, short-term is slightly fluctuating and moving higher.
🔹 Long Position Information:
🛑 Stop Loss: Falls below EMA21 4264
🟢 Add Long: Retracement to EMA9 4267 not triggered; Retracement to 4260~4250 not triggered
🚀 Breakout to Add Long: 1H closes above 4300; strong continuation looks for a close above R1 4559
🎯 Take Profit: 4350; 4450; 4559
---
【#ETH Strategy Summary】
Operation #ETH - Short-term: 1H slightly bullish with a pullback to the moving average band, stop loss under 4260; if it stands above 4300 with volume, can chase, and take profits in batches at 4350/4450.
- Medium-term: 4H bullish is the strongest, hold if 4175 does not break and look for 4559 → 4806. If it loses 4175, reduce leverage or wait and see.
- Long-term: Daily bullish continues, as long as it holds above EMA21 3817, the upward structure is maintained; only by closing above 4301 can it open the 4900 range.
- Options Observation: If this week IV is still low to moderate, consider 4300/4800 bull call spread or 4050 cash-secured put; if IV is high, switch to staggered spot/futures trading in the trend.
